Navigating your fantasy football draft can be tricky, especially when certain players come with more risk than reward. To help you dodge potential pitfalls, we’ve gathered insights from our collection of Featured Pros to highlight the biggest 2025 draft landmines to avoid. These are the players our fantasy football experts believe are overvalued, injury risks or simply unlikely to live up to their average draft position (ADP) this season. Before you make a costly mistake on draft day, check out who the pros are steering clear of-and why.
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Fantasy Football Draft Landmines to Avoid
What one WR inside the top 50 overall in our consensus ADP do you plan on avoiding in all or most of your drafts relative to their price and why?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR – SEA)
“Jaxon Smith-Njigba is a high catch percentage and low average depth of target (aDOT) player who relies heavily on volume. Due to the offensive coordinator they had in 2024, who produced the potent Washington offense with Michael Penix Jr. and Rome Odunze, they passed at a much higher rate than any average team would. They went from 17th in pass attempts in 2023 to seventh with the same cast on offense. With a solid defense, run game and normal offensive coordinator, Smith-Njigba does not have the skill set to produce as WR13, where he will likely see around 115 targets.”
– Justin Weigal (FantasySharks)
“In 17 games last season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba had over 100 yards just three times and scored only six touchdowns. Smith-Njigba just doesn’t have the speed or burst to generate big plays. He’s a slot receiver, which is great in PPR leagues, but not as valuable in half-PPR settings. And while the departures of DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett leave a vast amount of targets there for the taking, new Seahawks starting quarterback Sam Darnold gives me reason for pause when it comes to Smith-Njigba’s fantasy outlook. Darnold laid an egg last year in the playoffs for the Vikings, and that was in the weather-controlled dome of State Farm Stadium, not outdoors in the rain and sleet of the Pacific Northwest. Smith-Njigba’s current lofty ADP of WR12 is way too risky.”
– Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)
Mike Evans (WR – TB)
“It’s Mike Evans. It’s sad to say, but Father Time is finally catching up with Evans, who needed every bit of the 2024 season to eclipse 1,000 receiving yards. Part of the issue is that Evans is 31 years old, but most of it has to do with the other weapons in Tampa. Emeka Egbuka has already seemingly paid off his first-round draft capital if you think the incessant camp hype will translate immediately, like many, including myself, believe. Chris Godwin is on the mend and will also return at some point this season. Evans averaged just 6.4 targets per game with Godwin on the field last year. He averaged 9.2 targets when Godwin was out with injury. And then there’s Baker Mayfield‘s insane touchdown rate of 7.2% a year ago. He had only eclipsed 5% twice in his career, so we can expect Evans’ 11 touchdowns to regress a little as his quarterback should throw fewer touchdowns himself. Evans is a great player, but all of these factors push me toward the running back value in the early fourth-round, where he’s currently going.”
– Jeremy Shulman (Fantasy Football Universe)
DJ Moore (WR – CHI)
“Many were afraid to draft DJ Moore last year after the Bears added Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze in the offseason. However, the former Maryland star finished the year as the WR16, averaging 11.1 half-PPR fantasy points per game despite playing on a dysfunctional offense. Unfortunately, fantasy players should avoid drafting Moore at his WR20 ADP. The veteran will have even more target competition this season than last year after Chicago used their top two picks in the 2025 NFL Draft on Colston Loveland and Luther Burden III. More importantly, Moore has had a rocky offseason, reportedly having issues with Ben Johnson. Meanwhile, Odunze could break out and be the Bears’ No. 1 wide receiver in 2025. Fantasy players should target DK Metcalf, Tetairoa McMillan and Xavier Worthy with later ADPs over Moore.”
– Mike Fanelli (FantasyPros)
“DJ Moore is a top-50 wide receiver I’m avoiding in most drafts relative to his ADP. He’s currently going off the board as the WR20 (47th overall), but I have zero faith in the Bears’ offense with Caleb Williams under center and a shaky coaching situation. Chicago just added Luther Burden III and Colston Loveland to a room that already includes Rome Odunze, making this one of the most volatile pass-catching corps in fantasy. Moore is a great player. This fade isn’t about talent; it’s about situation, and the Bears look like a mess on and off the field. Unless Moore falls well past his ADP, I’m not touching him in redraft.”
– Lawrence Iacona (Gridiron Experts)
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