Today’s MLB DFS main slate starts at 1:05 p.m. ET at DraftKings and has five games. FanDuel is treating the three late games as its main slate. Fortunately, they’re also offering the five-game early slate. The suggested pick ’em choices from Underdog are also from the five-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Thursday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Garrett Crochet is having an outstanding season. Moreover, he’s sharp on the road. According to FanGraphs, in 156 innings on the road since last year, Crochet has a 3.06 ERA, 2.76 xFIP, 1.10 WHIP, 6.6 BB% and 32.4 K%. The lefty’s matchup is mixed, but his betting info is sweet.
The Orioles are 20th in wRC+ (84) with a 24.2 K% versus lefties but eighth in wRC+ (112) with a 23.1 K% at home in 2025. Baltimore was below average in the previous 30 days, ranking 18th in wRC+ (99) with a 24.1 K%. So, the Red Sox are listed as sizable -170 favorites, and the game’s total is 8.0 runs.
Logan Webb is on a roll. In his previous five starts spanning 31 innings, he’s had the following stats.
- 2.03 ERA
- 2.70 xFIP
- 2.75 SIERA
- 1.13 WHIP
- Three wins
- Three quality starts
- 30.4 CSW%
- 106 stuff+
- 104 location+
- 110 pitching+
Webb is also a monster at home. The righty’s matchup isn’t optimal, but he’s catching his opponent at the right time.
The Cubs are seventh in wRC+ (110) with a 20.0 K% versus righties and tied for second in wRC+ (112) with a 20.3 K% on the road this year. However, Chicago was tied for 27th in wRC+ (84) with a 21.5 K% in the previous 30 days. As a result, the Giants are -120 favorites, and the game’s total is a pitcher-friendly 7.0 runs.
Jason Alexander isn’t a special pitcher. Nevertheless, he’s in a groove. Alexander has had the following stats in his previous five starts spanning 28 innings.
- 1.93 ERA
- 3.68 xFIP
- 3.89 SIERA
- 0.96 WHIP
- Three wins
- Three quality starts
- 6.3 BB%
- 21.6 K%
- 28.5 CSW%
- 89 stuff+
- 107 location+
- 95 pitching+
Alexander’s ERA estimators were rock-solid, albeit with an unsustainable ERA. Thankfully, he has a mouthwatering matchup today.
The Rockies are 30th in wRC+ (77) with a 25.9 K% versus righties and 30th in wRC+ (68) with a 27.3 K% on the road this season. Colorado was also 26th in wRC+ (88) with a 21.2 K% in the previous 30 days. Finally, the Astros are monstrous -240 favorites, and the game’s total is 9.0 runs.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
Kyle Freeland isn’t just an unlucky sap who pitches his home games at Coors Field. Instead, he’s tallied a 5.19 ERA, 4.20 xFIP and 1.37 WHIP in 131.2 innings on the road since last season. The veteran lefty has ceded a .320 wOBA to 111 left-handed batters and a .368 wOBA to 444 right-handed batters this season. Finally, Colorado’s bullpen has the second-highest ERA (5.23) in 2025.
According to Baseball Savant’s 2025 park factors, Oriole Park at Camden Yards is tied for the third-highest park factor for runs (114), and it has the second-highest park factor for homers (133). Cade Povich has been unable to navigate the pitfalls of his home ballpark, as evidenced by his 6.22 ERA, 4.16 xFIP and 1.62 WHIP in 46.1 innings at home in 2025. Povich has coughed up a .446 wOBA to 49 lefties and a .349 wOBA to 161 righties at home this season.
Core Studs
- Jose Altuve has hit 12 homers with a .386 OBP, .178 ISO, .380 wOBA and 148 wRC+ in 383 plate appearances against lefties since 2023.
- Christian Walker has ripped six round-trippers with 16 runs 19 RBIs, a .327 OBP, .255 ISO, .349 wOBA and 125 wRC+ in his previous 107 plate appearances.
- Carlos Correa has hit three dongs with 12 runs, 12 RBIs, a .412 OBP, .130 ISO, .390 wOBA and 153 wRC+ in his past 102 plate appearances.
Value Plays/Punts
- Rob Refsnyder has launched 14 long-balls with a .403 OBP, .188 ISO, .386 wOBA and 147 wRC+ in 402 plate appearances against southpaws since 2023.
- Cam Smith has hit four homers with a .371 OBP, .211 ISO, .372 wOBA and 140 wRC+ in 105 plate appearances against lefties in his rookie campaign.
- Chas McCormick is a DraftKings-specific suggestion, as I don’t recommend using one of the maximum four hitter selections from the Astros on the punt-priced outfielder. Still, McCormick has hit 11 homers with a .339 OBP, .197 ISO, .347 wOBA and 124 wRC+ in 273 plate appearances against lefties since 2023.
Thursday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Alex Bregman (3B – BOS): 7.5 Fantasy Points – Higher
Alex Bregman’s having a monstrous season at the dish. In 378 plate appearances this season, Bregman has hit 16 homers with 50 runs, 53 RBIs, one stolen base, a .384 OBP, .219 ISO, .387 wOBA and 146 wRC+.
Christian Walker (1B – HOU): 7.5 Fantasy Points – Higher
Walker has launched 19 long-balls with a .335 OBP, .198 ISO, .336 wOBA and 113 wRC+ in 427 plate appearances against southpaws since 2023. He’s also demolished Freeland. Per Baseball Savant, Walker has a .392 wOBA and .421 xwOBA in 44 career plate appearances against Freeland.
Carlos Correa (3B, SS – HOU): 6.5 Fantasy Points – Higher
Correa has a track record of crushing lefties. He’s hit 15 homers with a .365 OBP, .214 ISO, .367 wOBA and 137 wRC+ in 338 plate appearances against lefties since 2023.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
