Today’s MLB DFS main slate starts at 1:10 p.m. ET at DraftKings and has six games, and FanDuel offers the same six-game afternoon slate. The suggested pick ’em choices from Underdog are also from the six-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Thursday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Tarik Skubal is having another sensational season after claiming the AL Cy Young Award last year, and he’s dialed in. According to FanGraphs, Skubal has had the following stats in his previous five starts spanning 31 innings.
- 1.45 ERA
- 3.21 xERA
- 3.22 xFIP
- 3.04 SIERA
- 0.81 WHIP
- Two wins
- Four quality starts
- 4.3 BB%
- 29.3 K%
- 15.6 SwStr%
- 31.3 CSW%
- 115 stuff+
- 110 location+
- 123 pitching+
Skubal has an ideal matchup for continuing his heater, and his betting info is excellent.
The Guardians are 24th in wRC+ (80) with a 23.4 K% versus lefties and 28th in wRC+ (83) with a 22.2 K% on the road in 2025. Cleveland was also 28th in wRC+ (75) with a 24.2 K% in the previous 30 days. Thus, the Tigers are listed as -205 favorites, and the game’s total is a pitcher-friendly 7.5 runs.
Fenway Park is a hitter-friendly venue. Nevertheless, J.T. Ginn should enjoy a break from pitching at Sutter Health Park. The young righty has done his best work on the road. In 46 innings on the road since last year, Ginn has spun a 3.91 ERA, 2.87 xFIP, 1.20 WHIP, 4.3 BB% and 26.1 K%. Ginn’s matchup is in the middle of the pack today.
The Red Sox are 14th in wRC+ (102) with a 22.8 K% versus righties and 15th in wRC+ (104) with a 20.8 K% at home this year. Boston was also tied for 18th in wRC+ (98) with a 21.6 K% in the previous 30 days. The Athletics are +135 underdogs, and the game’s total is a slightly alarming 9.0 runs. Nevertheless, Ginn is an underpriced SP2 option at DraftKings and a viable GPP pick at FanDuel.
Coors Field is a house of horrors for pitchers, but the Rockies have a toothless offense. Colorado is 30th in wRC+ (76) with a 26.2 K% versus righties and 30th in wRC+ (85) with a 23.5 K% at home this season. Even with the benefit of the mouthwatering hitting conditions at Coors Field, the Rockies are only 10th in wOBA (.331) at home this season. Colorado was also 30th in wRC+ (63) with a 27.5 K% in the previous 30 days. They’re a fantastic matchup for a hot pitcher, and Sandy Alcantara is on fire.
In Alcantara’s previous five starts spanning 34 innings, he’s had the following statistics.
- 2.65 ERA
- 3.01 xERA
- 3.31 xFIP
- 3.28 SIERA
- 0.82 WHIP
- Three wins
- Four quality starts
- 3.8 BB%
- 25.6 K%
- 46.7 GB%
- 11.9 SwStr%
- 29.6 CSW%
- 112 stuff+
- 107 location+
- 114 pitching+
Alcantara’s betting info is mixed. On the negative side, the game’s total is 10.5 runs. However, the total is less alarming since the Marlins are commanding -180 favorites. Alcantara is a nifty GPP pick at both DFS providers.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
Brayan Bello is a relatively mediocre pitcher in his hitter-friendly home ballpark, even with the benefit of some good fortune. He’s tallied a 4.02 ERA, 4.27 xFIP and 1.36 WHIP in 174.2 innings at home since last season. The A’s have enough firepower to take advantage of the hitter-friendly confines at Fenway Park against a mediocre hurler.
- Home (Kauffman Stadium)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 9.0 Runs/KC +105
Luis Castillo is in lousy form. He has a 5.40 ERA, 4.90 xERA, 3.79 xFIP, 3.92 SIERA and 1.44 WHIP in his previous five starts. Sure, he’s been unlucky, but Castillo’s xERA indicates he hasn’t been as unlucky as his xFIP and SIERA would lead people to believe. The veteran righty has also struggled on the road. In 152.2 innings on the road since last season, Castillo has a 4.66 ERA, 4.46 xFIP and 1.40 WHIP. Kansas City’s matchup against Castillo is favorable for stacking them.
Core Studs
- Nick Kurtz has smashed 25 homers with a .446 OBP, .382 ISO, .485 wOBA and 214 wRC+ in 308 plate appearances against righties in his rookie season.
- Brandon Lowe has launched 25 long-balls with a .337 OBP, .259 ISO, .370 wOBA and 137 wRC+ in 389 plate appearances against righties this season.
- Tyler Soderstrom has belted 20 bombs with a .360 OBP, .218 ISO, .368 wOBA and 134 wRC+ in 456 plate appearances against righties in 2025.
Value Plays/Punts
- Carter Jensen has hit two homers with five runs, seven RBIs, a .448 OBP, .348 ISO, .461 wOBA and 198 wRC+ in his first 29 plate appearances in the Majors.
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit 13 dingers with a .355 OBP, .179 ISO, .341 wOBA and 119 wRC+ in 423 plate appearances against righties this season.
- Jac Caglianone entered last night’s contest with a .228 wOBA and .334 xwOBA and cracked a double in his four plate appearances. He continues to be a punt worth betting on based on regression to his expected wOBA.
Thursday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Brandon Lowe (1B, 2B, DH – TB): 6.5 Fantasy Points – Higher
Lowe has annihilated Chris Bassitt. According to Baseball Savant, in 19 career plate appearances against Bassitt, Lowe has mashed four taters with an .821 wOBA and .744 xwOBA.
Nick Kurtz (1B, DH – ATH): 8.5 Fantasy Points – Higher
Kurtz has hit 32 homers with 80 runs, 80 RBIs, two stolen bases, a .388 OBP, .322 ISO, .420 wOBA and 169 wRC+ in 450 plate appearances this season. He’s also in excellent form. In his previous 92 plate appearances, he’s hit seven homers with 19 runs, 14 RBIs, a .391 OBP, .320 ISO, .404 wOBA, .390 xwOBA and 159 wRC+.
Tyler Soderstrom (1B, OF – ATH): 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher
Soderstrom is in good form. In his previous 86 plate appearances, he’s recorded 28 hits, 10 runs and 16 RBIs with a .359 batting average, .419 OBP, .179 ISO, .410 wOBA, .354 xwOBA and 163 wRC+.
Subscribe: YouTube | Spotify | Apple Podcasts | iHeart | Castbox | Amazon Music | Podcast Addict | SoundCloud | TuneIn
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
