Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
Over the last two weeks, Davis Mills has played well as the QB1 and QB10 in weekly fantasy scoring. Among 34 qualifying quarterbacks in that span, Mills ranks fifth in passing yards per game, 15th in highly accurate throw rate, 12th in hero throw rate, and 14th in fantasy points per dropback. Mills should be considered a middling QB2 this week with a horrible matchup. Since Week 7, Buffalo has allowed the eighth-lowest success rate per dropback, the seventh-fewest passing yards per game, and the fourth-lowest passer rating and CPOE.
Since Week 3, Dalton Schultz has been the TE12 in fantasy points per game, garnering a 19% target share with 54 receiving yards per game, 1.71 yards per route run, and a 20.7% first-read share. In those eight games, he has five red zone targets and four deep targets. He’s a volume play only this week. Schultz draws arguably the worst matchup for tight ends in the NFL. Buffalo has allowed the fewest receiving yards per game and the second-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends.
**Last week, the Bills utilized a true wide receiver committee behind Khalil Shakir and Dawson Knox, with no receiver logging more than a 46.9% route share. I expect this rotation to continue in Week 12 even if Keon Coleman is back in the lineup. None of those receiving options can be trusted in fantasy this week. The Texans have a similar goofy plan of attack weekly. Jayden Higgins‘ playing time is trending up, which is why he makes the Primer this week, but Christian Kirk, Xavier Hutchinson, and Jaylin Noel all lived in the 29.8-55.3% route share bucket last week. I can’t trust any of those players for fantasy right now.**
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.