Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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- Weekly Fantasy Football Expert Rankings
- Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice
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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
I’m not looking to flex Xavier Worthy this week. Since Rashee Rice‘s return, Worthy has been the WR60 in fantasy points per game with a 16% target share, 39 receiving yards per game,1.17 yards per route run, and a 20.8% first-read share. Across his last five games, he has three red zone targets and five deep targets. Since Week 11, Dallas has utilized two high at the ninth-highest rate (55.4%). Since Week 7, against two high, Worthy has had an 11.7% target share, 0.97 yards per route run, and a 14.7% first-read share. Dallas’s secondary deficiencies could help Worthy succeed this week, but with his limited volume against two high, it’s a tough bet to make. Since Week 7, Dallas has allowed the most receiving yards per game and the eighth-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
Chase Brown is Cincy Christian McCaffrey since Week 9 with an 88.9% snap share, a 79.2% route share, and a 20% target share. Since Week 9, he has averaged 21.3 touches and 123 total yards as the RB9 in fantasy points per game. He has produced at that level for fantasy and didn’t even score a single touchdown in that span. Since Week 7, among 52 qualifying backs, Brown has been amazing, ranking fourth in explosive run rate, sixth in missed tackle rate, and fourth in yards after contact per attempt. Since Week 8, Baltimore has allowed the third-highest explosive run rate, the ninth-highest missed tackle rate, and has ranked 15th in yards before contact per attempt. Brown should have another strong showing in Week 13.
Zay Flowers is the WR24 in fantasy points per game with a 26.7% target share, 69.2 receiving yards per game, 2.45 yards per route run, and a 33% first-read share. He has six red zone targets and ten deep targets this season. Flowers could see shadow coverage this week from DJ Turner. Turner has shadowed four times this season, holding D.K. Metcalf, Justin Jefferson, and Romeo Doubs to 45 or fewer scoreless receiving yards in his primary coverage. He followed those receivers on 78.1-90.3% of their routes. If Flowers isn’t shadowed, he should have a strong outing. Cincy has the eighth-highest single high rate (56%). Against single high, Flowers has had a 29.1% target share with 2.94 yards per route run and a 34% first-read share. Since Week 7, Cincy has ranked 19th in PPR points per target allowed to perimeter wide receivers. Lamar Jackson should lean on Flowers this week if Turner isn’t in his back pocket.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
