Josh Shepardson | Fri, Apr 10th 2026, 7:17am EDT

MLB DFS Picks & Underdog Player Props: Friday (4/10)

Friday’s MLB DFS main slates at DraftKings and FanDuel feature 11 games, starting at 7:07 p.m. ET. The Underdog pick ’em plays are also from those games. Here are our top MLB DFS picks for Friday.

Friday’s Top MLB DFS Picks & Player Props

Friday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings (4/10)

Kris Bubic (SP – KC) vs. Chicago White Sox

Kris Bubic‘s 2024 in the bullpen worked out, as he broke out in his return to the rotation last season. According to FanGraphs, in 20 starts spanning 116.1 innings in 2025, Bubic had the following stats.

8 wins
11 quality starts
2.55 ERA
3.17 xERA
3.63 xFIP
3.85 SIERA
1.18 WHIP
8.2 BB%
24.4 K%
13.4 SwStr%
30.1 CSW%
96 stuff+
101 location+
100 pitching+

Bubic hasn’t kicked down the door through two starts this season, but his 14.6 SwStr% and 30.4 CSW% are outstanding.

Bubic’s matchup doesn’t move the needle much in either direction. However, the betting info is DFS-friendly. The Royals are -170 favorites, and the game’s total is 8.0 runs.

Connelly Early (SP – BOS) at St. Louis Cardinals

Connelly Early quickly zoomed through the minors since the Red Sox selected him in the 2023 MLB Amateur Draft. The 24-year-old southpaw made four starts for the Red Sox last year, and he’s made two for them this year. In 28.2 innings in his Major League career, Early has rattled off the following stats.

1 win
0 quality starts
2.51 ERA
3.11 xERA
2.86 xFIP
2.94 SIERA
1.22 WHIP
8.4 BB%
32.8 K%
100 stuff+
105 location+
106 pitching+

Early has a sweet matchup and tasty betting info tonight. Four of the projected starters for the Cardinals have had an 81 wRC+ or lower against lefties since 2024, and only three have had a 115 wRC+ or higher. Finally, the Red Sox are -142 favorites, and the game’s total is a pitcher-friendly 7.5 runs.

Shane Baz (SP – BAL) vs. San Francisco Giants

Shane Baz had an ugly 4.87 ERA in 31 starts, totaling 166.1 innings, for the Rays last season. However, his 3.86 xERA, 3.88 xFIP, and 3.95 SIERA were considerably better than his ERA. Baz’s 105 stuff+, 101 location+, and 107 pitching+ in 2025 were also much better than one might expect from a pitcher with a 4.87 ERA.

The 26-year-old righty has gotten off to a promising start for the Orioles this season. In two starts spanning 11 innings this year, Baz has the following stats.

3.27 ERA
3.15 xERA
4.42 xFIP
4.08 SIERA
1.18 WHIP
6.5 BB%
19.6 K%
11.4 SwStr%
28.4 CSW%
104 stuff+
89 location+
94 pitching+

Baz’s pitching data this year isn’t flawless. Still, it’s stellar.

The Giants aren’t a pushover matchup. Three of their projected starters have had a 123 wRC+ or higher against righties since 2023, but three have had a 96 wRC+ or lower. San Francisco’s projected lineup also has seven batters with at least a 23.7 K% against righties since 2023, which awards Baz GPP-worthy upside.

Suggested Lineup Stacks

Road (UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium)
Game Total/Moneyline: 9.5 Runs/LAD -225

Kumar Rocker was crushed for a 5.74 ERA, 5.74 xERA, 4.14 xFIP, and 4.32 SIERA in 14 starts for the Rangers last season. He also coughed up 1.54 HR/9. Lefties have lit up Rocker for a .380 wOBA since last season, and righties have recorded a .306 wOBA. LA’s lefties are the most appealing options to stack against Rocker, but the young pitcher hasn’t been good enough against righties to deter gamers from also using LA’s righties in stacks.

Road (Rogers Centre)
Game Total/Moneyline: 9.5 Runs/MIN +118

Patrick Corbin continues to hang around and will make his debut for the Blue Jays tonight. The lefty’s 4.40 ERA and 4.75 xERA last year were his best marks since 2019, and neither gets the motor revving. Corbin held left-handed batters to a .301 wOBA last year, but righties roughed him up for a .337 wOBA. Minnesota’s righties are desirable stacking options. The Twins will also benefit from Toronto’s bullpen’s ineptitude this year. The Blue Jays have the fifth-highest bullpen ERA (5.64) this season.

Core Studs

Freddie Freeman has hit 33 homers with a .204 ISO, .381 OBP, .376 wOBA and 143 wRC+ in 907 plate appearances against righties since 2024.
Byron Buxton has launched 13 long-balls with a .270 ISO, .356 OBP, .386 wOBA and 152 wRC+ in 247 plate appearances against lefties since 2024.
Shohei Ohtani has hit 83 homers with a .377 ISO, .412 OBP, .445 wOBA and 190 wRC+ in 1,004 plate appearances against righties since 2024. He’s listed as a pitcher at FanDuel at the time of writing, eliminating him from stacking and usage consideration at that provider.

Value Plays/Punts

Max Muncy has hit 26 dingers with a .234 ISO, .392 OBP, .378 wOBA and 144 wRC+ in 559 plate appearances against righties since 2024.
Ryan Jeffers has ripped 11 round-trippers with a .188 ISO, .387 OBP, .373 wOBA and 143 wRC+ in 305 plate appearances against lefties since 2024.
Cole Young has carried over a big showing in Spring Training into the regular season. In 49 plate appearances this year, Young has hit two homers with eight runs, eight RBI, a .217 ISO, .306 wOBA, .349 wOBA, .292 xwOBA and 134 wRC+.

Friday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props

Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet

Freddie Freeman (1B – LAD): 1. 5 Hits + Runs + RBI — Higher (0.79x Payout)

In 12 games this season, Freeman has tallied 14 hits, six runs, 13 RBI, a .275 batting average, .333 xBA, .315 OBP, .374 wOBA, .462 xwOBA, and 136 wRC+. The left-handed-hitting first baseman has exceeded 1.5 hits plus runs and RBI in eight of 12 games and seven of his last eight.

Kyle Tucker (OF – LAD): 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI — Higher (0.85x Payout)

Kyle Tucker has smashed with the platoon advantage. He has had a .281 batting average, .401 OBP, .239 ISO, .393 wOBA and 158 wRC+ in 658 plate appearances against righties since 2024. Tucker has 12 hits, 11 runs, eight RBI, a .273 batting average, and .242 xBA in 12 games this season. He’s surpassed 1.5 hits plus runs and RBI in two of his last three starts and seven of 11 starts this season.

Cole Young (2B – SEA): 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBI — Higher (0.82x Payout)

Young has recorded at least a hit, a run or an RBI in 10-of-13 games this season. Furthermore, one of the times he didn’t record a hit, a run or an RBI was in his season opener.

Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.

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