The NFL Draft always reshapes dynasty fantasy football values, but not every shift comes from a splashy rookie selection. Sometimes the biggest winners are players whose teams didn’t add competition. Other times, veterans and young assets quietly lose value because of coaching changes, roster construction, or long-term uncertainty.
- Dynasty Rookie Rankings
- Dynasty Rookie Draft Simulator
- DBro’s Top 100 Dynasty Rookie Rankings
- Fitz’s Superflex Dynasty Rookie Mock
Dynasty Fantasy Football Risers & Fallers After the NFL Draft
This dynasty discussion focused on identifying players whose situations materially changed after the draft and offseason moves. Everything below is based strictly on the analysis from the podcast transcript.
Dynasty Fantasy Football Risers
Jonathon Brooks emerged as one of the biggest dynasty risers simply because Carolina avoided adding meaningful competition in the backfield.
The Panthers strengthened the offensive line with Monroe Freeling but never addressed running back in a meaningful way during the draft. That matters because even a mid-round addition could have clouded Brooks’ outlook after multiple ACL injuries. Instead, the current competition consists of Chuba Hubbard, Trevor Etienne, and AJ Dillon.
The discussion acknowledged the obvious risk. Brooks has already suffered two torn ACLs, and another injury would be devastating. Still, the upside remains intriguing because of how highly regarded he was as a prospect coming out of Texas. There was also emphasis placed on his age. Even after all the injuries and dynasty volatility, Brooks is still only 22 years old.
There was disagreement about how aggressive managers should be. Some preferred waiting to see him healthy in training camp before buying, while others viewed his current dynasty price as worth the gamble before positive camp reports potentially spike his value.
Bhayshul Tuten became one of the more polarizing dynasty risers discussed in the episode.
Jacksonville did not draft an immediate replacement or major challenger at running back, which leaves Tuten with a legitimate runway to touches. The belief is that his skill set best matches the role previously occupied by Travis Etienne.
At the same time, there was hesitation about fully buying into him as a future feature back. Chris Rodriguez, LaQuint Allen, and even UDFA Jamari Taylor were all mentioned as players who could muddy the workload distribution. There is concern Tuten could land in an uncomfortable role where he loses goal-line work and passing-down snaps.
That uncertainty is exactly why he may become one of the most traded dynasty running backs this offseason. Some managers will see a young runner with opportunity and upside. Others will see a sell-high candidate before role ambiguity catches up to him.
Rome Odunze drew some of the strongest praise in the entire conversation.
The Bears did very little to add serious competition at wide receiver, and that opens the door for a potential third-year breakout. Beyond Odunze, Chicago’s depth chart was described as thin, with only gadget-style additions behind him.
The discussion also highlighted context that could boost the Bears passing game overall. Chicago focused heavily on offensive additions during the draft while leaving some defensive concerns unresolved. That could lead to more shootouts and increased passing volume for Caleb Williams and the offense.
There was strong belief that Odunze’s disappointing stretch last year had more to do with a stress fracture in his foot than any limitation in talent. Several hosts stated they would aggressively pursue him in dynasty leagues, especially because his consensus ranking still sits outside the top 24 dynasty wide receivers.
Cam Ward was viewed as a quarterback whose long-term environment improved significantly this offseason.
The Titans revamped the offense around him, adding new pass catchers and improving the offensive structure overall. Calvin Ridley returns healthy, Carnell Tate joins as a deep threat, and Wan’Dale Robinson was added underneath. The expectation is that Tennessee’s offense will be far more functional than it was a season ago.
Ward also showed improvement late last season, particularly as his touchdown production increased down the stretch. There was optimism that he could solidify himself as a high-end QB2 in superflex leagues with room to climb higher if the offense continues improving.
The consensus takeaway was simple: if dynasty managers want exposure to Ward, this may be the cheapest point before another developmental leap raises the cost substantially.
Christian Watson remains one of the most divisive dynasty wide receivers in fantasy football.
The bullish argument centered on Green Bay not drafting meaningful competition at receiver. Watson, Jayden Reed, and Matthew Golden remain the core trio, and Watson’s efficiency metrics last season were excellent. He averaged 17.5 yards per catch, 11.1 yards per target, and 2.28 yards per route run.
The upside case is obvious. Watson is 6-foot-4, runs a 4.36, and plays with Jordan Love. If healthy, there is belief he could produce at a borderline elite fantasy level.
The problem, of course, is health. Watson has already missed 20 games in four NFL seasons and continues carrying a reputation as a weekly injury concern. One side of the discussion viewed the discounted price as an opportunity. The other side simply did not want to keep betting on a player with constant availability issues.
Jack Bech was presented as a deep dynasty riser and a low-cost stash.
The Raiders upgraded the quarterback position and offensive structure, but did very little to strengthen the wide receiver room. Outside of Brock Bowers, there is still uncertainty about who emerges as a reliable secondary target.
Bech’s rookie season was underwhelming, but the discussion emphasized context. He dealt with major personal tragedy after the loss of his brother, and there is belief the Raiders are still willing to give him opportunities because of the weak depth chart around him.
At his current cost, the argument was that Bech is essentially free in dynasty leagues and worth adding simply to see whether the opportunity eventually turns into production.
Dynasty Fantasy Football Fallers
Malik Willis was labeled one of the biggest dynasty fallers because Miami failed to meaningfully support him this offseason.
The Dolphins added offensive linemen and several receivers, but the overall pass-catching group was still described as one of the weakest in football. The concern is that Willis is being set up to fail in an offense lacking proven weapons.
There was also fear that Miami could end up drafting a quarterback near the top of next year’s class if the season goes poorly. Even if Willis provides fantasy rushing value, his long-term security feels shaky.
The discussion suggested that managers interested in buying Willis may want to wait until the season begins and frustrations build around the offense.
Courtland Sutton‘s dynasty stock took a hit because Denver added too many mouths to feed.
The Broncos already had developing young receivers, then added Jaylen Waddle, Jonah Coleman, and multiple pass-catching tight ends. Combined with Denver’s strong defense, the concern is that passing volume may simply not be high enough to support Sutton at previous levels.
Sutton is still viewed as a good player, but the expectation is that his target ceiling shrinks enough to make another major fantasy season difficult.
Zach Charbonnet‘s dynasty outlook changed dramatically after Seattle drafted Jidarian Price in the first round.
The biggest issue is timing. Charbonnet’s ACL surgery did not happen until February, which creates a realistic possibility that he misses most of the fantasy regular season.
Even when he returns, Price may already have a major role secured. With Charbonnet approaching the final year of his contract and already entering his mid-20s, dynasty managers are suddenly staring at a much shakier long-term profile than they expected earlier in the offseason.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB – WAS)
Jacory Croskey-Merritt was identified as an overrated dynasty asset because Washington continues adding backfield competition.
The Commanders brought in Rashad White and also drafted additional running back depth, creating concern that Croskey-Merritt loses touches in multiple areas. White is expected to dominate passing-down work, while goal-line opportunities may also become more distributed.
The concern is not necessarily that Croskey-Merritt becomes unusable, but rather that his current RB3-level valuation assumes a workload that may never materialize.
Parker Washington‘s dynasty value took a significant hit because of Jacksonville’s likely shift toward heavier personnel groupings.
The Jaguars invested heavily in tight ends during the draft and may increase their use of 12 and 13 personnel packages. That creates fewer opportunities for secondary wide receivers.
Compounding the issue is Travis Hunter‘s expected slot usage and the continued presence of Brian Thomas Jr. and Jakobi Meyers. The belief was that Washington becomes the clear odd man out in a crowded passing structure.
Dallas Goedert remains productive, but dynasty managers were urged to start planning for the decline phase.
Philadelphia drafted his potential replacement in Eli Stowers, and Goedert is entering his age-31 season while playing on a contract that voids after the year.
There was still optimism that Goedert could produce useful fantasy stretches early in the season, especially if the Eagles experience roster changes elsewhere. But long term, the discussion framed him as a veteran managers should actively consider moving before his value collapses entirely.
Fantasy Football Takeaways
- Jonathon Brooks (RB – CAR) gained value because Carolina avoided adding meaningful running back competition.
- Bhayshul Tuten (RB – JAX) has opportunity, but role uncertainty makes him one of dynasty’s most polarizing trade assets.
- Rome Odunze (WR – CHI) was one of the strongest buy recommendations because of expected volume growth and breakout potential.
- Cam Ward (QB – TEN) benefits from a dramatically improved offensive environment and could rise into the QB2 tier quickly.
- Christian Watson (WR – GB) remains a ceiling-versus-health debate for dynasty managers.
- Jack Bech (WR – LV) is a low-cost stash whose opportunity outweighs his current dynasty price.
- Malik Willis (QB – MIA) lost value because Miami failed to build a stable offensive ecosystem around him.
- Courtland Sutton (WR – DEN) may struggle to maintain target dominance in a more crowded offense.
- Zach Charbonnet (RB – SEA) faces both injury concerns and long-term uncertainty after Seattle drafted Jidarian Price.
- Parker Washington (WR – JAX) appears squeezed by Jacksonville’s evolving offensive structure and personnel usage.
- Veteran tight ends like Dallas Goedert (TE – PHI) remain useful for contenders, but dynasty managers should recognize the approaching cliff.
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