While the 2026 NFL regular season is still months away, now is the time to start preparing for redraft leagues. Many factors go into fantasy players winning their redraft league every year. However, the top factor is arguably avoiding fantasy football players that will bust or are overpriced based on average draft position (ADP).
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Overvalued Fantasy Football Players to Avoid on NFFC
Let’s look at six players who are overpriced draft values based on National Fantasy Football Championship (NFFC) ADP for redraft leagues.
Caleb Williams (QB – CHC) | ADP: 69.28 (QB6)
Caleb Williams finished last season as the fantasy QB5, averaging 1.6 passing touchdowns and 18.7 fantasy points per game. However, he was the QB7 in points per game, averaging fewer than Matthew Stafford (20.6) and Brock Purdy (19.7).
Yet, fantasy players can draft both NFC West quarterbacks 1.5 rounds later than Williams. While fantasy players shouldn’t have an issue with drafting the former USC star, he is overpriced at his current ADP. Furthermore, Jayden Daniels‘ ADP is only five picks higher than Williams’ ADP, even though he offers significantly more fantasy upside.
Saquon Barkley (RB – PHI) | ADP: 18.96 (RB10)
Many had concerns about Saquon Barkley last year after the superstar had 482 touches in 2024, including the playoffs. The former Penn State star averaged 14.5 PPR fantasy points per game last season, his lowest mark since 2021.
Furthermore, Barkley averaged 4.1 yards per rushing attempt and had 13 breakaway runs last year. By comparison, Barkley averaged 5.8 yards per rushing attempt and had 25 breakaway runs during his 2024 fantasy MVP season. After finishing last season as the fantasy RB14, fantasy players should avoid drafting Barkley as a top-10 running back.
RJ Harvey (RB – DEN) | ADP: 66.41 (RB25)
While RJ Harvey was the RB20 last season, averaging 12.2 PPR fantasy points per game, fantasy players couldn’t trust him for most of the year. He averaged five rushing attempts, 7.5 total touches and 10 fantasy points per game with J.K. Dobbins healthy.
By comparison, Harvey averaged 13.7 rushing attempts, 16.9 total touches and 15.2 fantasy points per game without Dobbins. Unfortunately for Harvey, the Broncos re-signed Dobbins and drafted Jonah Coleman. Harvey might be the best option in Denver’s backfield, but he shouldn’t get drafted with a top-75 pick.
Malik Nabers (WR – NYG) | ADP: 25.12 (WR8)
Injuries are part of the game of football, and that’s why Malik Nabers isn’t worth his current ADP. Last year, he averaged 10.7 targets and 17.7 PPR fantasy points per game in his three healthy contests.
Unfortunately, Nabers suffered a torn ACL in Week 4. More importantly, he recently underwent a second surgery to clean up his knee, putting his status for Week 1 in doubt. Nabers could miss the first month of the season and might not be 100% until 2027, making him a risk to draft as a WR1.
Jameson Williams (WR – DET) | ADP: 52.06 (WR23)
Last season, Jameson Williams quietly finished as the WR12, showing what a down year it was at the wide receiver position. His 12.9 PPR fantasy points per game average ranked 19th, behind Wan’Dale Robinson (13.6) and Christian Watson (13.2).
Furthermore, Williams was hard to trust every week, scoring 6.6 or fewer fantasy points in 41.2% of games, including posting a goose egg twice. Fantasy players should avoid drafting the former Alabama star at his current fifth-round (WR23) ADP and target a pass-catcher with less volatility.
Oronde Gadsden II (TE – LAC) | ADP: 117.69 (TE10)
Fantasy players had high hopes for Oronde Gadsden II after he flashed upside as a rookie, ending the year as the TE15, averaging 8.8 PPR fantasy points per game. The former Syracuse star averaged 13.5 fantasy points per game in five contests with six or more targets.
Unfortunately, the Chargers signed David Njoku and Charlie Kolar in free agency. They also drafted Brenen Thompson and haven’t closed the door on a Keenan Allen reunion. While fantasy players should draft Gadsden over Njoku, he shouldn’t get picked as a top-15 tight end.
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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.
