Right now, you could be drafting in a whole slew of fantasy football contests on Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC), one of the industry’s longest-running fantasy football platforms. These drafts cover best ball, dynasty and redraft, typically in the higher-stakes realm, with most contests priced between $35 and $10,000.
One of the more popular contests is the $125 1-QB TE-Premium best ball tournament, which pays $400,000 for first place. Here are five overpriced players to avoid on FFPC.
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Overvalued Fantasy Football Players to Avoid on FFPC
Omarion Hampton (RB – LAC) | ADP: 18
This probably won’t be a popular selection, as the hype for Omarion Hampton seems to be in full swing, and while ceiling can win you tournaments, it is worth taking just a brief second to pause. Hampton is the only running back currently drafted inside the top 36 picks who missed a single game last year. And it wasn’t just one; it was seven.
Hampton is going ahead of Saquon Barkley, De’Von Achane, Kenneth Walker III and Derrick Henry, who have all put together bigger portfolios of why we can trust them with a top-20 pick. Hampton ranked eighth-highest in explosive run rate last year, according to the Fantasy Points Data Suite, but he was also 38th in success rate and 27th in yards after contact per attempt.
In the nine games Hampton played in, his yards-per-carry average was below 3.7 yards in five of them and he was held to fewer than 70 rushing yards in six of them. A healthy offensive line and Mike McDaniel will absolutely improve the situation, no doubt, but this could still be a three-way committee with Keaton Mitchell and Kimani Vidal mixing in. That could be awful for Hampton’s upside.
Quinshon Judkins (RB – CLE) | ADP: 51
Even if Quinshon Judkins hadn’t spent his offseason recovering from a serious injury, questions could be asked about his average draft position (ADP), but combining that with the rest paints a tricky picture. Judkins suffered a dislocated ankle and a fractured fibula in Week 16, two injuries that, on their own, would have been bad enough, but together they are more worrisome.
Players like Tony Pollard and Mark Andrews have struggled with efficiency in recent seasons after returning from similar injuries, and while Judkins is younger, we can’t just assume that means he’ll avoid a similar path. The Browns have by far the worst quarterback room in the league and have had to overhaul an offensive line that was an outright disaster. Expecting all five starters to gel and be problem-free is another thing altogether.
With such an awful quarterback situation, how can we expect this offense to move the ball? Without Myles Garrett and former defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz, will this defense be able to keep scores close enough for the game to be important? Those factors all contribute to this ADP being difficult to swallow, but there’s another crucial one as well — Dylan Sampson.
Ravens fans frequently criticized new Browns head coach Todd Monken for over-rotating Derrick Henry and Justice Hill over the last couple of years in Baltimore. It shouldn’t surprise us to see Sampson and Judkins rotated similarly.
Sampson, for his part, is a similar pass-catcher as Judkins, outproducing him in yards per route run (2.01 vs 1.17), yards per target (7.13 vs 5.03) and yards per reception (8.21 vs 6.58). Judkins is a good player, but this price assumes a bigger workload than the data suggests he’ll get.
Judkins’ ADP has dipped slightly since training camp opened, but the opportunity cost here seems high for a player who might not be fully recovered.
Rome Odunze (WR – CHI) | ADP: 61
The Bears currently have five players going inside the first 76 picks: Colston Loveland (21), D’Andre Swift (43), Luther Burden III (49), Rome Odunze (61) and Caleb Williams (76). It’s going to be very difficult for all of them to pay off their expensive ADPs.
The Bears are an ascending offense, and the promise of what Williams could do in his second year with Ben Johnson is enticing, but this feels a bit much, and the wide receiver position feels especially fragile. Odunze has five top-12 weekly finishes across two years in the league and largely looked out of sorts with Williams last year.
Everything leaned towards either the run or Colston Loveland for the latter part of the season, and it’s hard to argue that formula isn’t worth returning to. One of Burden or Odunze might pay off their ADP, and perhaps the sensible choice is the cheaper of the two, while also focusing on Loveland. Swift feels like the more sensible choice.
Mark Andrews (TE – BAL) | ADP: 103
The name of the game in TE-Premium is to find target earners and volume hogs. Unfortunately for Mark Andrews, that isn’t his game anymore. Reports out of training camp suggest Andrews has struggled when the ball comes his way.
Out of 28 tight ends who saw 50+ targets last season, Andrews ranked 22nd in yards per route run, 24th in yards and 24th in yards per target. Perhaps the most damning stat, though, is that he ranked dead last in yards after the catch per reception.
Andrews had a career-low 422 receiving yards because when he did get the ball, he did nothing with it. That’s not an ideal fantasy asset, and the Ravens seem very confident in their rookie class.
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