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Derek Brown

FantasyPros

Marquise Goodwin (WR - CLE)
Sun, Jan 7
Player Note on Marquise Goodwin (WR - CLE)
Goodwin is only in play for large-field GPPs. He should operate as the Brown’s WR1 this week. His peripherals aren’t great, with a 19% TPRR and 0.96 YPRR, but Goodwin’s speed is still very present, and the matchup is wonderful. Since Week 12, the Bengals have allowed the fourth-highest PPR points per target and the fifth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers (Goodwin 61.4% boundary this season). Goodwin was limited in practice on Thursday and didn’t practice on Friday (knee). He has been listed as questionable.
Zamir White (RB - LV)
Sat, Jan 6
Player Note on Zamir White (RB - LV)
The Raiders will continue to ride their 2024 feature back in White for a final time this season. Over the last three games, White has played 57-76% of the snaps, averaging 22.4 touches and 112 total yards. Among 65 qualifying backs, White ranks 17th in explosive run rate and 12th in yards after contact per attempt. He faces a Denver run defense that has improved, but since Week 12, has still ranked 18th in stuff rate while allowing the second-highest yards per carry to zone runs (4.9) and the second-highest success rate to zone runs (White 45.6% zone).
Juwan Johnson (TE - NO)
Sat, Jan 6
Player Note on Juwan Johnson (TE - NO)
Since Week 15, Johnson has been eating with a 20.4% target share, a 26.8% air-yard share, 2.89 YPRR, and a 21.0% first-read share. In this span, he has scored 11.8, 14.8, and 23.0 PPR points, with a touchdown in each game. Atlanta has been eaten alive by tight ends this season, giving up the seventh-most fantasy points, the fifth-most receiving yards, and the 12th-highest yards per reception. Johnson didn’t practice on Wednesday (chest), but he managed limited sessions on Thursday and Friday. He has been listed as questionable.
De'Von Achane (RB - MIA)
Sat, Jan 6
Player Note on De'Von Achane (RB - MIA)
 Last week, Achane was the backfield leader with Raheem Mostert out. Mostert opened this week with a DNP (ankle/knee). He might miss this week’s game as well. He did manage a limited session on Friday and has been listed as questionable. Last week, Achane played 48% of the snaps with 18 touches and 137 total yards. Among 65 qualifying backs, he ranks first in explosive run rate, third in missed tackles forced per attempt, and second in yards after contact per attempt. Since Week 12, the Bills’ run defense has returned to the struggle bus, allowing the fourth-highest explosive run rate, the sixth-most rushing touchdowns, and the seventh-highest yards before contact per attempt. Achane should eat.
Andrei Iosivas (WR - CIN)
Sat, Jan 6
Player Note on Andrei Iosivas (WR - CIN)
We’ll see if Tee Higgins (listed as doubtful). Higgins is banged up. Iosivas could return to the starting lineup this week. The one-game sample we have with him in the starting lineup was quite nice. In Week 16, he commanded a 19% target share, a 34% air-yard share, and a 21.4% first-read share. Yes, he only produced 1.16 YPRR, but it’s a one-game sample, and we are looking for volume from punt wide receivers. Iosivas has displayed the ability to draw targets. He’ll face the backup tandem of Khalef Hailassie (UDFA rookie with only six targets this season in coverage) and Cameron Mitchell (68.2% catch rate and 99.1 passer rating) if Cleveland sits their starters.
Marquise Goodwin (WR - CLE)
Sat, Jan 6
Player Note on Marquise Goodwin (WR - CLE)
Goodwin is only in play for large-field GPPs. He should operate as the Brown’s WR1 this week. His peripherals aren’t great, with a 19% TPRR and 0.96 YPRR, but Goodwin’s speed is still very present, and the matchup is wonderful. Since Week 12, the Bengals have allowed the fourth-highest PPR points per target and the fifth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers (Goodwin 61.4% boundary this season). Goodwin was limited in practice on Thursday and didn’t practice on Friday (knee). He has been listed as questionable.
Robert Woods (WR - HOU)
Sat, Jan 6
Player Note on Robert Woods (WR - HOU)
Woods is in play for Stroud stacks. He is dealing with a hip issue, but he’s expected to play this week. Noah Brown is expected to be out, which would make Woods the starting boundary receiver opposite Collins. In Week 2 against this defense, Woods secured six of his nine targets with 74 scoreless receiving yards. Since Week 12, Indy has led the NFL in Cover 3 rate (48.4%). In his 14 games played against Cover 3, Woods has a 14.4% target share, 1.34 YPRR, and a 17% first-read share. Since Week 12, Indy has allowed the 14th-most PPR points per target and the ninth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Woods has not practiced all week and has been listed as questionable. If he is out, Xavier Hutchinson is in play and will likely run on the outside opposite Collins.
Najee Harris (RB - PIT)
Sat, Jan 6
Player Note on Najee Harris (RB - PIT)
Harris has taken back over the lead role for Pittsburgh. Since Week 9, he has averaged 17.3 touches and 73.9 total yards while dwarfling Jaylen Warren with 32 red zone opportunities (Warren 18). Harris ranks 27th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 20th in yards after contact per attempt. Harris should flirt with 15-20 touches this week in a great matchup. Since Week 12, Baltimore has allowed the 11th-highest explosive run rate, the 10th-highest missed tackles per attempt, and the fourth-highest yards per carry to zone runs (5.14). 55.5% of Harris’s runs have come via zone plays. 
La'Mical Perine (RB - KC)
Thu, Jan 4
Player Note on La'Mical Perine (RB - KC)
The Chiefs are carrying only three backs on the roster, with Jerick McKinnon on the IR. I doubt they will run Clyde Edwards-Helaire out there this week, as he’s Pacheco’s primary backup. Perine has only one regular season carry, and he wasn’t impressive in the preseason, with only 2.4 yards after contact per attempt and a 63.2 elusive rating. He is still a possible bellcow in a great matchup. We love volume in fantasy, and Perine will get a ton of it this week. The Bolts have not defended the run well over the back half of the season. Since Week 12, they have allowed the sixth-most rushing yards per game and the eighth-highest yards after contact per attempt while also having the 11th-lowest stuff rate.
Robert Woods (WR - HOU)
Thu, Jan 4
Player Note on Robert Woods (WR - HOU)
Woods is in play for Stroud stacks. He is dealing with a hip issue, but he’s expected to play this week. Noah Brown is expected to be out, which would make Woods the starting boundary receiver opposite Collins. In Week 2 against this defense, Woods secured six of his nine targets with 74 scoreless receiving yards. Since Week 12, Indy has led the NFL in Cover 3 rate (48.4%). In his 14 games played against Cover 3, Woods has a 14.4% target share, 1.34 YPRR, and a 17% first-read share. Since Week 12, Indy has allowed the 14th-most PPR points per target and the ninth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Woods didn’t practice on Wednesday (hip). His status will need to be watched closely.
Marquise Goodwin (WR - CLE)
Sun, Jan 7
Player Note on Marquise Goodwin (WR - CLE)
Goodwin is only in play for large-field GPPs. He should operate as the Brown’s WR1 this week. His peripherals aren’t great, with a 19% TPRR and 0.96 YPRR, but Goodwin’s speed is still very present, and the matchup is wonderful. Since Week 12, the Bengals have allowed the fourth-highest PPR points per target and the fifth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers (Goodwin 61.4% boundary this season). Goodwin was limited in practice on Thursday and didn’t practice on Friday (knee). He has been listed as questionable.
Zamir White (RB - LV)
Sat, Jan 6
Player Note on Zamir White (RB - LV)
The Raiders will continue to ride their 2024 feature back in White for a final time this season. Over the last three games, White has played 57-76% of the snaps, averaging 22.4 touches and 112 total yards. Among 65 qualifying backs, White ranks 17th in explosive run rate and 12th in yards after contact per attempt. He faces a Denver run defense that has improved, but since Week 12, has still ranked 18th in stuff rate while allowing the second-highest yards per carry to zone runs (4.9) and the second-highest success rate to zone runs (White 45.6% zone).
Juwan Johnson (TE - NO)
Sat, Jan 6
Player Note on Juwan Johnson (TE - NO)
Since Week 15, Johnson has been eating with a 20.4% target share, a 26.8% air-yard share, 2.89 YPRR, and a 21.0% first-read share. In this span, he has scored 11.8, 14.8, and 23.0 PPR points, with a touchdown in each game. Atlanta has been eaten alive by tight ends this season, giving up the seventh-most fantasy points, the fifth-most receiving yards, and the 12th-highest yards per reception. Johnson didn’t practice on Wednesday (chest), but he managed limited sessions on Thursday and Friday. He has been listed as questionable.
De'Von Achane (RB - MIA)
Sat, Jan 6
Player Note on De'Von Achane (RB - MIA)
 Last week, Achane was the backfield leader with Raheem Mostert out. Mostert opened this week with a DNP (ankle/knee). He might miss this week’s game as well. He did manage a limited session on Friday and has been listed as questionable. Last week, Achane played 48% of the snaps with 18 touches and 137 total yards. Among 65 qualifying backs, he ranks first in explosive run rate, third in missed tackles forced per attempt, and second in yards after contact per attempt. Since Week 12, the Bills’ run defense has returned to the struggle bus, allowing the fourth-highest explosive run rate, the sixth-most rushing touchdowns, and the seventh-highest yards before contact per attempt. Achane should eat.
Andrei Iosivas (WR - CIN)
Sat, Jan 6
Player Note on Andrei Iosivas (WR - CIN)
We’ll see if Tee Higgins (listed as doubtful). Higgins is banged up. Iosivas could return to the starting lineup this week. The one-game sample we have with him in the starting lineup was quite nice. In Week 16, he commanded a 19% target share, a 34% air-yard share, and a 21.4% first-read share. Yes, he only produced 1.16 YPRR, but it’s a one-game sample, and we are looking for volume from punt wide receivers. Iosivas has displayed the ability to draw targets. He’ll face the backup tandem of Khalef Hailassie (UDFA rookie with only six targets this season in coverage) and Cameron Mitchell (68.2% catch rate and 99.1 passer rating) if Cleveland sits their starters.
Marquise Goodwin (WR - CLE)
Sat, Jan 6
Player Note on Marquise Goodwin (WR - CLE)
Goodwin is only in play for large-field GPPs. He should operate as the Brown’s WR1 this week. His peripherals aren’t great, with a 19% TPRR and 0.96 YPRR, but Goodwin’s speed is still very present, and the matchup is wonderful. Since Week 12, the Bengals have allowed the fourth-highest PPR points per target and the fifth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers (Goodwin 61.4% boundary this season). Goodwin was limited in practice on Thursday and didn’t practice on Friday (knee). He has been listed as questionable.
Robert Woods (WR - HOU)
Sat, Jan 6
Player Note on Robert Woods (WR - HOU)
Woods is in play for Stroud stacks. He is dealing with a hip issue, but he’s expected to play this week. Noah Brown is expected to be out, which would make Woods the starting boundary receiver opposite Collins. In Week 2 against this defense, Woods secured six of his nine targets with 74 scoreless receiving yards. Since Week 12, Indy has led the NFL in Cover 3 rate (48.4%). In his 14 games played against Cover 3, Woods has a 14.4% target share, 1.34 YPRR, and a 17% first-read share. Since Week 12, Indy has allowed the 14th-most PPR points per target and the ninth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Woods has not practiced all week and has been listed as questionable. If he is out, Xavier Hutchinson is in play and will likely run on the outside opposite Collins.
Najee Harris (RB - PIT)
Sat, Jan 6
Player Note on Najee Harris (RB - PIT)
Harris has taken back over the lead role for Pittsburgh. Since Week 9, he has averaged 17.3 touches and 73.9 total yards while dwarfling Jaylen Warren with 32 red zone opportunities (Warren 18). Harris ranks 27th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 20th in yards after contact per attempt. Harris should flirt with 15-20 touches this week in a great matchup. Since Week 12, Baltimore has allowed the 11th-highest explosive run rate, the 10th-highest missed tackles per attempt, and the fourth-highest yards per carry to zone runs (5.14). 55.5% of Harris’s runs have come via zone plays. 
La'Mical Perine (RB - KC)
Thu, Jan 4
Player Note on La'Mical Perine (RB - KC)
The Chiefs are carrying only three backs on the roster, with Jerick McKinnon on the IR. I doubt they will run Clyde Edwards-Helaire out there this week, as he’s Pacheco’s primary backup. Perine has only one regular season carry, and he wasn’t impressive in the preseason, with only 2.4 yards after contact per attempt and a 63.2 elusive rating. He is still a possible bellcow in a great matchup. We love volume in fantasy, and Perine will get a ton of it this week. The Bolts have not defended the run well over the back half of the season. Since Week 12, they have allowed the sixth-most rushing yards per game and the eighth-highest yards after contact per attempt while also having the 11th-lowest stuff rate.
Robert Woods (WR - HOU)
Thu, Jan 4
Player Note on Robert Woods (WR - HOU)
Woods is in play for Stroud stacks. He is dealing with a hip issue, but he’s expected to play this week. Noah Brown is expected to be out, which would make Woods the starting boundary receiver opposite Collins. In Week 2 against this defense, Woods secured six of his nine targets with 74 scoreless receiving yards. Since Week 12, Indy has led the NFL in Cover 3 rate (48.4%). In his 14 games played against Cover 3, Woods has a 14.4% target share, 1.34 YPRR, and a 17% first-read share. Since Week 12, Indy has allowed the 14th-most PPR points per target and the ninth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Woods didn’t practice on Wednesday (hip). His status will need to be watched closely.
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