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Richard Savill

Fantasy Six Pack
Featured Pros: Early Bust Candidates
Wed, Jul 4
Featured Pros: Early Bust Candidates
What RB in our consensus top 24 should fantasy owners fear the most as a bust candidate?
Derrick Henry ECR RB22. The Titans made it all very clear that they are continuing with a tandem by bringing in Dion Lewis. Everybody and their dogs know this, yet his ADP of RB17 shows the public still want that square peg to fit into a tidy high RB2 hole. I'd like nothing more if things were different. We cannot exclude the possiblity that Dion Lewis finishes higher than Henry after the fantasy points are added up. Drafting Henry at this level will only disappoint.

What WR in our consensus top 24 should fantasy owners fear the most as a bust candidate?
Marvin Jones ECR WR22. Jones more than doubled his touchdown count in his first season with the Lions, which is hard enough in itself to match, but I'm also wary of Kenny Golladay emerging as the BabyTron we all were expecting in 2017. With a secure WR3 role on the Lions, Golladay might now take his tacit experience to downgrade Jones. As a result, I sense we might be looking at Jones ending outside of the top 30 fantasy wide receivers.

Against the Spread: Super Bowl Picks
Thu, Feb 1
Against the Spread: Super Bowl Picks
Game: Philadelphia Eagles at New England Patriots (-4.5)
Pick: Philadelphia Eagles (+4.5)
In Patriots comeback against the Falcons last year, the key was keeping the fatigued Falcons defense on the field in the 4th quarter. If the Eagles can somehow prevent that and get to Brady, they'll take their first Super Bowl to Philadelphia. Another close Super Bowl.

Game: Will the combined score be over or under 48 points?
Pick: Over

Game: What will the total combined points be at the end of the game?
Pick: 53

Against the Spread: Conference Round Picks
Fri, Jan 19
Against the Spread: Conference Round Picks
Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots (-9)
Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars (+9)
The Jaguars are putting everything into a Super Bowl berth. If they can do it Pittsburgh, they can do it at Foxborough. It would be a major triumph and this team has just the right defense. This is an uncomfortable matchup for the Patriots. If the Jaguars lose, the Patriots will be the ones providing a heartbreak with a late drive to win it.

Game: Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles (+3)
Pick: Philadelphia Eagles (+3)
Let down. That's the biggest worry among Vikings fans. However, if they are a team of destiny, it was made evident last Sunday night. We're in for a great football game. I expect another very close cardiac drama.

Which game pick are you most confident with?
Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots (-9)

Against the Spread: Divisional Round Picks
Thu, Jan 11
Against the Spread: Divisional Round Picks
Game: Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles (+3)
Pick: Atlanta Falcons (-3)
Following the month of November, the Eagles are 0-6 against the spread as home underdogs since 2012. Saturday is forecast for less frigid temperatures, but those chilly and breezy gusts may persist. This causes those swirling stadium winds which could affect the passing game on both sides as we have seen recently in Philadelphia. Foles has yet to get the knack of it and his control issues in this type of environment remain evident. So it's up to the ground and short passing game to somehow get both teams on sustained drives. The running game of the Falcons has much more polish I feel than the Eagles do with their mixture. It is Julio Jones who might make the difference with very few targets, but just one big play.

Game: Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots (-13.5)
Pick: New England Patriots (-13.5)
This is the 21st playoff home game for the Patriots in the Brady era, the 36th post-season game (including Super Bowls) overall, and the 30th time they are favorites to win. The Ravens are the only team to beat the spread against the Patriots at Gillette since 2011; accounting for all three of the spread losses with a 7-3 ATS record favoring the Pats since then. So if the Titans somehow pull this off, they might have to buy Cinderella Castle at Disneyworld as a permanent homage. The Titans have a good defense, but as is usual with the patient Patriots, they'll wait until they are worn down. Mariota played well against the Chiefs, but I'm not so sure the quick or no-huddle strategy can have the same positive effect against the Patriots. They would need Derrick Henry to have a big game. For Brady and company, it's simply wait for the opportunity and keep on Gronkin'. Gronkowski is the key. We saw the Chiefs lose control of the game almost at the moment Travis Kelce left the field.

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7)
Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers (-7)
The Steelers have beat the spread in five of their last six playoff games at home. Like the Patriots, the Ravens are the only team to cause a blemish in recent years. There is a revenge factor to this game. In Week 5, Ben Roethlisberger was at one of the lowest points of his career. He threw five picks and the Jaguars were able to cash two of them in for touchdowns. The Jaguars were only just building their reputation then, but the Steelers will be ready this time. Just the same, that secondary with those safeties and corners are dead drop awesome. We used to talk about Denver's high level, but these guys play it like an art. When you add Calais Campbell, Dante Fowler and Malik Jackson up front - yikes! The problem for Jacksonville though is generating enough offense. You can hold Antonio Brown and Le'Veon Bell for only so long. The Jags need ball control badly in this game, but I just cannot see them getting it with the Steelers content to stack Fournette and forcing Bortles to throw.

Game: New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings (-4.5)
Pick: New Orleans Saints (+4.5)
The last time the Saints and Vikings met in the playoffs, Brett Favre was still playing. This was in the days of the bounty scandal where Brett Favre and Kurt Warner were targets for hit money in the 2009 playoffs. That was then; this is now. I think the Saints are red-hot and if they stay that way, could win the Super Bowl. It is their pass rush which continues to astonish. Yes, they nearly allowed Cam Newton a chance to rally for a late win, but they still came up with a big shutdown and won the game. Drew Brees is playing great playoff football right now and his weaponry is so diverse that even a defense as stout as the Vikings will ultimately collapse. The Vikings and Case Keenum will not be able to play from behind, so they need to keep Brees off the field with long drives. If they don't, then Keenum cannot hope to do even as much as Cam Newton did to try and rally against these Saints.

Which game pick are you most confident with?
New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings (-4.5)

Against the Spread: Wild Card Picks
Thu, Jan 4
Against the Spread: Wild Card Picks
Game: Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs (-8)
Pick: Tennessee Titans (+8)
The Chiefs are 2-6 against the spread at home in January since 1993. This includes 0-4 in their last four since 2010 where they were favorite three times with a line of -6.5 or less. The Titans, despite making the playoffs, still seem like underachievers in 2017. They should be able to have enough to stay with the Chiefs, but a rally to get them within one score is what I'll expect - no more clock after that.

Game: Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles Rams (-5)
Pick: Los Angeles Rams (-5)
This is the first meeting of these teams with Sean McVey as Rams coach. The one thing I have noticed consistently about the Rams this season is their first rate game preparation. Ready to play and meeting every challenge. A rested and hungry Aaron Donald is something I just have to see. The Falcons are 1-3 in their last four as away underdogs in January.

Game: Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars (-8.5)
Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars (-8.5)
This game is a battle of teams who have not been to the playoffs for a long time. I'm taking the Jaguars to cover this well on defense alone. The only weapon the Bills can rely on is a less than 100% LeSean McCoy at best. It would take a miracle greater than Music City going in their favor this time for the Bills to overcome a fierce defensive unit and a Jaguars offensive team efficient enough to cause them fits in the secondary.

Game: Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-6)
Pick: Carolina Panthers (+6)
Of all the Saints divisional opponents since 2010, the Panthers hold the best record against them in the SuperDome. I expect a game just as high scoring as they usually are between these guys, but down to the wire with the last possession winning the game. Which means that either way the Panthers cover.

Which game pick are you most confident with?
Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars (-8.5)

Doug Martin (RB - OAK) - Doug Martin has full week of practice
Sat, Oct 10
The window for a good price for Martin may have already passed. With a string of good matchups to come after the bye-week and a QB that is really going to be dependent on a strong running game, Martin's contract year quench can't come soon enough.
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Doug Martin (RB - OAK) - Doug Martin has full week of practice
Sat, Oct 10
The window for a good price for Martin may have already passed. With a string of good matchups to come after the bye-week and a QB that is really going to be dependent on a strong running game, Martin's contract year quench can't come soon enough.

Go to the Fantasy Accuracy Reports to see how this expert stacks up.