James White

James White

RB - NE
Height: 5' 10"Weight: 205 lbsAge: 27College: WisconsinDrafted: #130 (4th Rd. by New England)

2019 Outlook

Strength of Schedule
RB Rank: 2nd (easy)
Draft Rank (ECR) #80
Best / Worst #43 / #137
ADP #60

Ownership

 
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96%
 
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White was a huge part of the Patriots passing game and I would expect that to continue in 2019. He's capable of posting 100 receptions in a season, which gives him enough touches to have RB3 value in standard leagues and RB2 value in PPR leagues.

Over the last 4 seasons, White has finished as the RB 45/28/41/8. Last season Burkhead was injured for most of the season, and Michel was banged up for part of the year as well. This season Burkhead is back, Sony is healthy for now, and they drafted another RB in Damien Harris. None of these RB's will take White's third down role away, but they will ensure that he sees closer to 50 carries than 100. In 14 games without Gronk in the lineup, White has seen an extra target per game, and a 43% increase in TD's per game. Basically White's fantasy value is going to hinge on his TD's. If he gets lucky and ends up with 12 like last season...then he's going to be a value at his ADP. If he regresses a bit and only gets 7-8 (still a decent amount given his expected total volume) then he's probably going to finish as a pick that neither hurts, nor helps you. If he gets unlucky in the TD department then he's going to be a bust. I typically fade players like this, since I like to leave as little up to luck as possible.

How are we devaluing White's role on the Patriots again? With Rob Gronkowski, Cordarrelle Patterson, and Chris Hogan gone, Tom Brady is going to be looking for some familiar faces and it's not like they've used Sony Michel in the passing game. White should have a similar role to last year, you know, the one that had him wind-up as the RB8 on the season. We're all still probably too low on him.