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Patrick Mahomes II

Patrick Mahomes II


Height: 6' 3"Weight: 230 lbsAge: 25College: Texas TechDrafted: #10 (1st Rd. by Kansas City)

2021 Outlook

Strength of Schedule
QB Rank: 17th
Draft Rank (ECR) #22
Best / Worst #17 / #56
ADP #13

Roster %


Let's not overthink this one, folks. Mahomes is worthy of being selected as the first QB off the board and he comes with ridiculous upside week in and week out.

We're now 46 games into Mahomes' career as a starter, and in those games he's totaled QB1-type numbers in 69.6 percent of them. There are just two other quarterbacks who've posted those over 59.5 percent of their career since 2000, and one was Justin Herbert who has just a 15-game sample size. When Mahomes is on the field, he's producing. The question is this: By drafting him in the early rounds, which running back or wide receiver are you passing on to get him, and is the dropoff more from the quarterback you'd get in the later rounds? If you wanted to draft Mahomes in the third round, you can, but know you're going to need to hit on a player or two later in your draft to make up the ground.

It is hard to believe that Mahomes II is still only 25-years old and already has 114 TD passes in just 46 games. He is a slam-dunk elite QB1 that had 380.3 fantasy points in 15 games last year.

Mahomes is one of the best QBs I've ever seen. The only concern is can the line protect him? It may take some time for the new guys up front to gel, but Mahomes is mobile enough to buy time even if there are growing pains. Drafting Chiefs players is a good thing these days.

There may be some annual contenders for the overall QB point leader. However, Patrick Mahomes will annually be in the top tier, which keeps him the #1 overall QB. In 2020, Mahomes threw for 4.7K yards and 38 TD in 15 games. In a 12-team single QB league, you can make a case for as early as the turn in a snake draft rounds 2-3. The WR pool is bottomless, and you can make up ground there. You can fade Mahomes with a powerful QB1 class this year if you like, but there may not be a better one than Mahomes in terms of quality investment. In Superflex leagues, he's easily a top 5 overall selection.

Patrick Mahomes is the best QB in football and if I were ranking best QB's, I would have him ranked no. 1, but we aren't. Mahomes isn't immobile by any stretch but with the combination of injuries last season and a brand new offensive line, the Chiefs would be smart keeping their $503 million investment in the pocket, a place where he is so prolific anyway. It would take another record-setting season for Mahomes to finish at QB1 overall in 2021.

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Most Accurate Experts
for Patrick Mahomes II
Most accurate experts for Patrick Mahomes II
T-1.Mike Harmon-
T-1.Lawrence JacksonQB #3
T-1.Tyler OrginskiQB #3
T-1.Robby JeffriesQB #1
5.Pat FitzmauriceQB #1
View Overall Accuracy Rankings