Todd Gurley

Unfortunately, I will not have any shares of Todd Gurley this season. It's not that he can't have a good year, it's just that it's not worth the risk. With Darrell Henderson drafted to fill the Alvin Kamara role, his upside is capped. We know he's never again going to see the same sort of volume he has over the past few seasons, so even being in this prolific offense might not be able to save him. There is absolutely a chance that Gurley pays off his ADP and carries your team to the championship. However, it's unlikely, and just not worth the gamble. Unless he falls to the third round I can't justify drafting him.

There are some real questions surrounding Gurley as we enter the 2019 season. Not only did C.J. Anderson play over him during the playoffs, but the Rams also traded up to the start of the third-round to select Darrell Henderson, an explosive running back out of Memphis. The Rams also matched an offer sheet the Lions submitted to backup running back Malcolm Brown, meaning the Rams are more worried about Gurley than they're letting on. We all know Gurley comes with plenty of upside, but we also know you can't win your fantasy league in the first-round, but you can definitely help lose it.

Gurley's usage in the postseason was perplexing, until it was announced he was dealing with arthritis in his knee. He is still a very good player on a very good offense, but the knee issue is troubling and it should be monitored in the off-season. Backup RB C.J. Anderson is a necessary handcuff with Gurley's knee being a question mark.

He's only 24. Even with a knee scare, i don't think I can let him slip into the WR tier. Some are saying arthritis. Torn ACL from 2014 is five years ago. His upside is too big to drop further.