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Michael Penix Jr.

Michael Penix Jr.

QB - Atlanta Falcons

College: Washington

2024 Outlook

Draft Rank (ECR) #305
Best / Worst #275 / #334
ADP N/A

Roster %

 
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Expert Note
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Penix has good zip on the ball. He's a max effort thrower and tosses the pigskin like a shot put. In a clean pocket, he can put some nice second-level and layered throws on tape. He has pretty good ball placement, but it can be inconsistent. He limits YAC opportunities for his wide receivers on some reps as he delivers a catchable ball, but it's not in stride with his receivers as they are left waiting on the ball. Penix feels a tick behind on plenty of plays. There are too many instances of him holding the ball on film and missing a receiver running open only to deliver the ball after a corner is closing in. He's very much a see-it, throw-it quarterback at this juncture, as there aren't enough instances of him throwing with anticipation. His receivers will be at the top of their stem, and the ball should come out, but he'll hold it until they have cleared a corner. Too often, Penix locks on his first read. While there are a ton of plays where he gets the ball out quickly, those plays, in many instances, are scripted plays or wide receiver screens. When his first read is covered, Penix tends to force the ball to his receiver anyway. There's plenty to be said for tossing it up and expecting his receivers to win 50/50 balls, but this is more than that. He gets hyper-focused on his first reads and stares them down from the moment the ball is snapped. Penix too often leaves yards on the field. He shies away from using the middle of the field and, many times, won't see a receiver streaking wide open on a slant or crosser until they cross his face. Penix has a decent pocket presence. He'll roll out to avoid pressure, but rarely will you see him hang in and climb the pocket. He has no issues hanging in versus pressure, though, and taking a big hit to deliver the ball to his receiver. Overall, he feels a tick slow to feel pressure or the pass rush. Dynasty Outlook: Michael Penix got the draft capital that we crave for quarterbacks, but this could not be any more of a muddled situation. If you are reading this while wondering, "What in the actual hell is Atlanta doing?" don't worry. You're not alone. The ink has barely dried on Kirk Cousins' four-year deal with the Falcons. The earliest we could see Atlanta move on from Cousins would be in 2027. Yes, if you're doing the math correctly, that is three years from now. Penix looks like he is on the Jordan Love track, which is frightening. Waiting possibly three years with a quarterback on your dynasty roster to find out "if" he's any good is frightening. Penix will likely get drafted in many Superflex rookie drafts in the late second or early third round, but I'm currently avoiding him at that ADP. Suppose Penix really doesn't see the field for possibly three seasons. In that case, there will be plenty of opportunities for Dynasty GMs to acquire his services for their rosters for possibly cheaper (especially if his ADP settles into the second round).

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Michael Penix Jr. selected No. 8 by Atlanta Falcons

The Atlanta Falcons have selected Michael Penix Jr. with the No. 8 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft.

Fantasy Impact

Penix figures to be a backup option to Kirk Cousins for the first couple years of his career. This will be a great opportunity for the young QB to learn behind the established veteran. From a fantasy perspective, it will be years before Penix makes an impact.

Nino LombardiApr 26, 2024
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Rankings
ECRBestWorst# of Experts
DraftQB #33QB #34QB #496
Dynasty QB #26QB #22QB #345
ADP
ConsensusRTSports
Overall--
Quarterbacks#37#33
ECR vs ADP
Projections
(2024)
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Projections (2024)
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Statistics
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Statistics (avgs.)
Pass YdsPass TdsRush YdsRush TdsPoints
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Game Log
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Game Log
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Strength of Schedule
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Strength of Schedule (2024)
OppSummary
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