Peter Howard looks for dynasty league waiver wire stashes for Week 10.
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Welcome to the Dynasty Waiver Wire. We are looking for under-owned or undervalued players in dynasty. Here we are going deep to find the prospects we need to know for the future, partly to sidestep ownership data which isn’t available for dynasty leagues, and partly to offer something different than typical waiver wire columns.
I list players by preference in these columns but they are not ranked through the columns; so a player on the Dynasty Waiver Wire in Week 1 is not necessarily of higher or lower value than those in this week’s column. In this way, they should remain somewhat evergreen moving forward.
Okay, let’s get to it. Here is the Week 10 Dynasty Waiver Wire.
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Tre McBride (WR – CHI)
A 2015 seventh round pick Tre McBride was once a darling of the dynasty community but has since fallen out of favor. Coming out of William and Mary, a Division 1 school, McBride killed the combine managing a 4.41 40-time and an 82nd percentile Catch Radius while measuring 6′ tall and 210 lbs. His lowest metric was a 69 percentile Agility Score. His 73rd percentile College Dominator rating also looked good as did his 69th percentile breakout age, two of the most predictive metrics we have for fantasy success.
However, after a failed campaign to gain relevance in Tennessee, he was eventually waived and signed to the Bears’ practice squad this offseason. Frankly, we all give up on late round prospects too early, and while I’m not sure if McBride will develop at the next level (being cut by his original team is a bugaboo for me), I do know that he has been getting targets in a talent-deprived Bears receiver corps. Despite my continued interest in Tanner Gentry, it’s McBride who has been getting more targets this year, and that makes him someone to consider, once again, in dynasty.
Rex Burkhead (RB – NE)
Prospecting in Patriots’ running backs is always a tricky business. As always I’m more interested in players with good metrics and production profiles if and when hype starts to die down (and ownership fades) not because of a player performance but because of the quantity of mentions and articles that surround them drop off. Burkhead is above the 90th percentile in both Burst and Agility according to PlayerProfiler.com.
He has shown a more stable three-down skill set then any other running back on the roster. The Patriots didn’t play in Week 9, but the eight targets he received in Week 8 are an 11.8% increase in his overall Market Share. I don’t know if he is going to be useful for this year’s playoff push.
James White is a clear part of the offense, and that mutes Burkhead’s direct upside. But I do consider him the most interesting running back on the roster from a price and potential ceiling standpoint in dynasty.
Trey Burton (TE – PHI)
He’s not Zach Ertz, but his role this week which Ertz was out is no accident. He has done the job several times before when Ertz has been unable to go. Given his athletic profile and age, he is someone to consider if you are looking to prospect in future potential at the tight end position.
Burton is 6’3″ and 235 lbs, which is not ideally sized for the position (we’d prefer over 250 lbs). However, he runs a 4.62 40-time, 84th percentile for the position, and has a 65th percentile Agility score.
The position takes longer to master at the NFL level than other skill positions, and Burton has experience and is just coming into the peak age range for players who start becoming fantasy relevant based on my off-season study of the historical trends at the position. Burton will at least be an interesting spot start in good matchups when Ertz can’t play, and in some leagues that can be a valuable player.
Peyton Barber (RB – TB)
I don’t know what is going on with Doug Martin’s usage, but his snap percentage and rushing attempts dropped to a season low last week since he came back from suspension. I can’t help but wonder if it’s part of an overall tanking strategy for the team since they were “forced” to bench their “star” quarterback Jameis Winston due to a shoulder injury as well. While we wait for more clarification on what is going on with the most talented running back in this backfield, it’s worth noticing that Peyton Barber, not Charles Sims, saw the largest increase in usage.
Barber’s snap count jumped to 39% in Week 9. He rushed 11 times for 34 yards and caught two of three targets. Sims logged two targets and 0 rushing attempts.
Barber was fairly productive at Auburn before coming into the NFL. He is only a 51st percentile SPARQ-x athlete, but he does offer a broader skill set than most other backs on the roster.
Mack Hollins (WR – PHI)
The loss of Zach Ertz sent a bunch of targets scrambling to find new owners in Week 9. And Mack Hollins – a preseason darling this year – caught some of them. He has seen a 4% increase in his targets over the last two weeks in all.
While a 6.7% target share isn’t anything to get too excited about it’s still a positive indicator for a player who did catch fire both in the preseason. He runs a 4.53 40-time according to PlayerProfiler.com. Drafted by the Eagles in the fourth round of this year’s draft Hollins is an older rookie (24) with a rough (29th percentile College Dominator) college profile.
But I’m always interested in “hot name” players after the initial buzz wears off. His original ownership and interest surged this preseason. That could make it easier for his value to jump if he sees any production.
Chad Hansen (WR – NYJ)
There’s no reason to get excited about Chad Hansen, but he is someone I’m going looking at going forward. What caught my eye this week was that his snap share had increased again, making it a four weeks trend culminating in a 48% snap share in Week 9. He is yet to record a single target, however.
Snaps are the “empty calories” of volume while targets are the real meat you want to pay attention to. However, any work for any 22-year-old fourth-round pick is going to peak my interest, at least a little. Hansen is 6’2″ tall and 202 lbs.
He has decent but not great measurables that peak at an 85th percentile Agility score and a 67th percentile College Dominator rating. With his agility, size, and college production he could make an interesting slot receiver for the Jets moving forward.
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