FanDuel NFL Value Plays: Week 15 (2019)
Geoff Lambert looks at NFL DFS value plays for Week 15.
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Week 14 was a brutal week for injuries. I’ve never seen so many players go on IR in one week in all my years of watching football, going back to the mid-80s. But, in DFS, with injuries come values, and there are a ton to choose from this week. Here are a few of my favorites…
Eli Manning (NYG): $7,000 vs. MIA
As long as Manning plays in this game, he may be the only value quarterback I like this week. I know Manning is not a very good fantasy option these days, but against this terrible Dolphins defense that ranks 32nd in DVOA versus the pass, he is a viable option. In fact, this game will be heavily featured in this value column as I think there are a lot of viable options between these two teams.
Patrick Laird (MIA): $5,500 at NYG
Larid is the Dolphins’ lead back by default — between suspensions, injuries, and trading Kenyan Drake away, they just don’t have any other options. To his credit, Laird has played well over the last two games putting up double-digit fantasy points in both games. He had 20 total touches in his last outing, and against this soft Giants defense, he should be able to put up some solid production. The Giants rank decently against the run as they are 12th in DVOA, but they rank 25th in DVOA to running backs in the passing game.
Chris Thompson (WAS): $5,200 vs. PHI
Thompson has shown in the past that, when healthy, he can be a productive fantasy running back — especially in the passing game. Now with Derrius Guice done for the year, Thompson will get all the passing down work, and Adrian Peterson will carry the load on the ground. The Eagles are a very good run defense ranking eighth in DVOA, and they should be able to slow Adrian Peterson down, which would force the Redskins to pass more, and that should benefit Thompson.
Isaiah Ford (MIA): $5,500 at NYG
Back to this game again! Ford’s fantasy value is tied to the status of DeVante Parker (concussion). If Parker is ruled out for this game, Ford steps in his role and should receive a high number of targets from gunslinger Ryan Fitzpatrick. The Giants rank 28th in DVOA versus the pass, and Fitzpatrick should be able to exploit that.
Russell Gage (ATL): $5,400 at SF
Gage has made my value column a few times this year and has come through most of the time. Gage’s value went up earlier in the season with the Sanu trade, and now his value goes up a little more with the unfortunate news of Calvin Ridley going to IR. His matchup is brutal as the 49ers are ranked 2nd in DVOA versus the pass, but volume alone should make him an interesting option. The Falcons are going to have to throw the ball to stay in this game, and Matt Ryan is running out of options to throw to.
Mike Gesicki (MIA): $5,200 at NYG
Our final value from this game comes in the form of Mike Gesicki. After a pair of double-digit fantasy point games, Gesiski disappointed last week in a good matchup with the Jets. This week he gets the other New York City team, the Giants. I’ve mentioned already that the Giants are 28th in DVOA versus the pass, and the Dolphins could also be without DeVante Parker, which could free up some more targets to come Gesicki’s way.
Washington Redskins $3,500 vs. PHI
The Washington defense hasn’t been a bad as you might think. They have 17 sacks and caused seven turnovers over their last three games, and that includes sacking Aaron Rodgers four times last week while scoring a respectable seven fantasy points. The Eagles offense has struggled at times this year, and the Redskins at a mere $3,500 should be able to hit value.