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Game-By-Game Projections: Mark Andrews (2020 Fantasy Football)

by Raju Byfield | @FantasyContext | Featured Writer
Jun 6, 2020

Mark Andrews appears to be set for a true breakout season.

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An electrifying tight end who just seems to be scratching the surface of his potential, Mark Andrews appears to be set for a true breakout season. 2019 looked like a breakout for Mark Andrews as he compiled over 850 yards and 10 touchdowns on the season. However, he played 55 percent or less of his team’s snaps in every game except one (57 percent). Despite being a rotational player, he managed to place fifth among tight ends with 98 targets. While he welcomes some talented new competition for snaps, Hayden Hurst is now an Atlanta Falcon, which should lead Andrews to see increased snaps. He will need to improve his run blocking to stay on the field, but there is no reason to believe that he will not be able to do so when he is healthy. 2020 may very well be when Mark Andrews joins the tier one tight end conversation.

You can find our entire 2020 Player Game-By-Game Projection series here.

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Week 1: Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns
Mark Andrews should see a stark increase from the sub 60 percent snap percentage he saw in 2019, and that new trend should start in earnest in Week 1 against the Cleveland Browns. Andrews is going to need to see increased snaps to build on his 2019 breakout season while contending with a healthy Marquise Brown, and the Raven’s new weapons on offense. The Ravens will be unveiling their new look passing attack, but Andrews will remain a focal point against a team he scored on three times in two 2019 contests. Andrews projects to tie for the team lead in Week 1 targets.

Predicted stat line: eight targets, six receptions, 86 receiving yards, two touchdowns (24.1 fantasy points)


Week 2: Baltimore Ravens @ Houston Texans
Andrews had a relatively disappointing four reception, 75 yards, and a touchdown performance against the Houston Texans last season. His 51 yard gain made his overall stat line look good, but he was held to just three receptions for 24 yards throughout the rest of the game. He should be more consistent in terms of the length of his gains in this contest, but should still check in right around the 75 receiving yard mark.

Predicted stat line: seven targets, five receptions, 75 receiving yards, one touchdown (16 fantasy points)


Week 3: Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Mark Andrews should be in for his third big game in a row as the Baltimore Ravens play host to the Kansas City Chiefs. While both of these teams would prefer to go run-heavy to keep the opposing team’s quarterback off the field, this will likely turn into an offensive battle between the best the AFC has to offer. Andrews should log over 80 percent of the snaps, and go toe to toe with Travis Kelce in the stats department.

Predicted stat line: eight targets, six receptions, 102 receiving yards, one touchdown (19.2 fantasy points)


Week 4: Baltimore Ravens @ Washington
Week 4 projects to be Mark Andrews’s first disappointing week of production. With Washington not being a threat offensively, Andrews may see his snaps fall back down to the 50 to 55 percent range as Baltimore focuses on the running game, and protecting Lamar Jackson from what is now a terrorizing Washington front four. He should still see some action early in the contest, but will likely see minimal snaps in the second half with the Ravens playing with a big lead.

Predicted stat line: four targets, two receptions, 35 receiving yards (4.5 fantasy points)


Week 5: Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Mark Andrews averaged six receptions, 76 receiving yards, and one touchdown against the Bengals in 2019. He should have another strong game against Cincinnati in Week 5, but may see his snaps reduced when the Ravens jump out to a large enough lead. With that being said, the Bengals may very well be much better offensively than many people think which should keep the game flow in Andrews’ favor into the second half of play.

Predicted stat line: seven targets, five receptions, 72 receiving yards, one touchdown (16.7 fantasy points)


Week 6: Baltimore Ravens @ Philadelphia Eagles
While the Philadelphia Eagles now have a legitimate number one cornerback in Darius Slay, there are still a lot of question marks behind him. The Ravens will look to use this opportunity to get Devin Duvernay, Miles Boykin, Willie Snead, and James Proche more involved. Andrews will operate as the team’s number one target in the first half, before ceding snaps and targets to Baltimore’s other pass catchers. 10.4 fantasy points is nothing to scoff at, but fantasy owners likely had visions of more when they saw Philadelphia on tap.

Predicted stat line: six targets, four receptions, 84 receiving yards (10.4 fantasy points)


Week 7: Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers project to present Mark Andrews with one of his more difficult tests of the season. Pittsburgh has some exceptional talent at linebacker and also has the pass rush juice to force Andrews back down to the 60 percent snap share range. Add to that an All-Pro level safety in Minkah Fitzpatrick, and it becomes clear that Andrews may have one of his more inefficient outings of the season against the Steel Curtain. While streaming him out of the lineup is not recommended due to the draft capital you likely had to spend to acquire him, if you have a clearly superior matchup based option, this may be a week to consider a switch.

Predicted stat line: six receptions, three receptions, 48 receiving yards (6.3 fantasy points)

Week 9: Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts
The Indianapolis Colts should present another tough test for Mark Andrews. Their pass rush has enough juice to force him to see reduced snaps, and their cover linebackers project among some of the best in the league. He will remain an offensive focal point in terms of progressions, but he may need to get loose for a long gain in order to salvage his fantasy day.

Predicted stat line: five targets, four receptions, 55 receiving yards (7.5 fantasy points)


Week 10: Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots
With Stephen Gilmore likely to be assigned to Marquise Brown, the Patriots will likely be scheming to take Mark Andrews out of the game. Lamar and Andrews are always capable of hooking up for a long completion, but Andrews will be forced to fight for every yard, especially after the catch. The Ravens scored 37 points on the 2019 version of the Patriots defense and should dominate New England, something that may hurt Andrews’ second half workload.

Predicted stat line: four targets, three receptions, 61 receiving yards (7.6 fantasy points)


Week 11: Baltimore Ravens vs. Tennessee Titans
Make no mistakes, the Baltimore Ravens are going to come out firing on all cylinders against a Tennessee Titans team who bounced them from the playoffs in the divisional round. Despite this game being projected as a seven-plus point win for the Ravens, Baltimore will likely keep their foot on their gas well into the fourth quarter. This should allow for Andrews to post one of his best stat lines of the season.

Predicted stat line: nine targets, seven receptions, 123 receiving yards, two touchdowns (27.8 fantasy points)


Week 12: Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers
As stated in the Week 7 projection summary, the Pittsburgh Steelers profile as one of the teams Mark Andrews may have the most trouble with in 2020. A reduced snap count coupled with the talent of the Steelers safeties and linebackers do his projection no favors. Luckily, this appears to be his last tough matchup of the season.

Predicted stat line: five targets, four receptions, 49 receiving yards (6.9 fantasy points)


Week 13: Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys
Mark Andrews should bounce back with a vengeance against the Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys should give him some problems in the intermediate game, but there is simply no one capable of consistently stopping him when he gets 20 or more yards downfield. This contest could morph into a shootout, something that bodes well for Andrews chances of making multiple trips to the end zone.

Predicted stat line: seven targets, five receptions, 84 receiving yards, two touchdowns (22.9 fantasy points)


Week 14: Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns
Mark Andrews should be good for at least 60 yards and a score in Week 14 against the Cleveland Browns. He is projected for an even bigger day, but that appears to be his floor against a linebacking corps that is going through transition. The Browns pass rush is deadly enough for the Ravens to ask Andrews to take some playoffs so they can get some superior blockers on the field, but he should still be over the 70 percent mark.

Predicted stat line: six targets, four receptions, 78 receiving yards, one touchdown (15.8 fantasy points)


Week 15: Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 15 could present some issues for Mark Andrews’ fantasy owners. If there is any game in 2020 that the Ravens may rest their starters for more than a full quarter, this is it. Jacksonville is going through a transition on both offense and defense, and do not project to be very good on either. Andrews is projected to see a first-quarter score, but if the weather does not cooperate he may be held scoreless, something that could cripple fantasy owners in the semi-finals.

Predicted stat line: five targets, four receptions, 65 receiving yards, one touchdown (14.5 fantasy points)


Week 16: Baltimore Ravens vs. New York Giants
Week 16 projects to be the last contest the Baltimore Ravens play their starters in. As such, they are expected to keep their foot on the pedal regardless of game flow. There is always a chance that they are forced to play their starters in Week 17 if the race for the number one seed in the AFC is a tight one, as the Ravens will no doubt want home-field advantage if all games aren’t played on COVID-19 related neutral sites. Mark Andrews should be heavily involved in the first half before ceding additional target share to the wide receiver group in the second half.

Predicted stat line: seven targets, six receptions, 90 yards, one touchdown (18.5 fantasy points)


Week 17: Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore is projected to have the number one seed in the AFC in hand before the start of this contest. In this scenario, Mark Andrews, who often found himself on the injury report in 2019, wil be rested.

Predicted stat line: Does not play

2020 Season Totals

Season projection: 96 targets, 68 receptions, 1,108 receiving yards, 12 touchdowns (216.8 fantasy points)

As the projected stat line suggests, Mark Andrews is expected to take steps forward in the receiving yard and touchdown departments. His projected improvement in yards per reception stems from the Ravens plausibly looking to use him downfield more often due adding chain moving slot receivers like Devin Duvernay and James Proche to the roster. His targets should remain relatively the same, so adding more chunk plays will be necessary for him to build on his 2019 success. Luckily, when he is healthy he has a proven ability to hook up with Lamar Jackson on long plays and is also a threat after the catch.

He is projected to cross the 1,000-yard barrier this season, and may very well lead the Ravens in receiving yards, especially if Marquise Brown fails to make it through the season without a limiting injury. Andrews should be good for a top-three tight end finish, especially if he can meet these projections. It is not out of the realm of possibility that he exceeds these numbers, but he will need to improve his blocking and stay relatively healthy to do so. Mark Andrews is the number three tight end in both our expert consensus rankings and ADP.

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Raju Byfield is a featured writer for FantasyPros. For more from Raju, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyContext.

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