Game-By-Game Projections: Mike Evans (2020 Fantasy Football)
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Is it possible that Mike Evans is considered one of the best receivers in the game while also being underrated? All Evans has done since he entered the league six years ago is total at least 1,000 yards in every season of his career while scoring, on average, in every other game. He’s totaled the seventh-most receiving yards for a receiver through their first six years and every player ahead of him is in the Hall of Fame or will be.
Starting this year, he’ll get an assist from future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady who will, literally, be the best quarterback Evans has ever played for. The expectations are high for Evans in 2020 as they should be.
Week 1: Tampa Bay at New Orleans
If you assumed that Mike Evans had a good fantasy history against the Saints thanks to them being in a dome and having a bottom-five defense (points AND yards) in his first three seasons, you’d be incorrect. Over 11 games against New Orleans, Evans has just three touchdowns and one-100 yard receiving game. Week 1 is no different as he and Tom Brady keep working the kinks out.
Predicted Stat Line: Five receptions, 70 yards (12 PPR fantasy points)
Week 2: Tampa Bay vs. Carolina
Surprisingly, Evans doesn’t have a track record of breaking out against Carolina either. Despite 12 matchups against the Panthers over his career, he also has just one-100 yard game and three touchdowns in those games.
Predicted State Line: Six receptions, 72 yards (13.2 PPR fantasy points)
Week 3: Tampa Bay at Denver
Evans continues his good-not-great start with 90-plus yards and a touchdown against a tough Denver defense that only gave up 300 yards passing twice last year. And it’s on the road no less. It’s a slight improvement from the first two weeks as him and Brady get closer to a breakout.
Predicted Stat Line: Four receptions, 90 yards, one touchdown (19 PPR fantasy points)
Week 4: Tampa Bay vs. Los Angeles Chargers
The Bucs schedule has them see one tough AFC West defense after another as the play the Chargers who allowed more than 250 passing yards just THREE times all last year. It’s not much but Evans’ fantasy owners should be grateful to get what they could.
Predicted Stat Line: Six receptions, 65 yards (12.5 PPR fantasy points)
Week 5: Tampa Bay at Chicago
At long last, we have a breakout game. Chicago had a formidable defense last season but lost some key parts, much of which was glossed over by the lack of additions on the offense. But make no mistake, the Bears are a bad team and Evans, Tom Brady, and the Bucs will have a field day.
Predicted Stat Line: 10 receptions, 185 yards, two touchdowns (40.5 PPR fantasy points)
Week 6: Tampa Bay vs. Green Bay
Evans comes back down to Earth as he struggles against a good and, still, improving defense. Doesn’t meant the whole Bucs offense is shut down but the Packers defense knows who to target to get themselves a chance to win.
Predicted Stat Line: Four receptions, 55 yards (9.5 PPR fantasy points)
Week 7: Tampa Bay at Las Vegas
Luckily for Evans’ fantasy owners, he bookends his worst game of the season with another huge game against a bad defense. He notches double-digit receptions and 150-plus yards for the second time in three weeks as him and Tom Brady start clicking.
Predicted Stat Line: 10 receptions, 165 yards, one touchdown (32.5 PPR fantasy points)
Week 8: Tampa Bay at New York Giants
The hot streak continues with another 100-yards game for Evans against another bad defense. The Giants made minimal improvements to their 27th-ranked defense (using DVOA) and the Bucs offense, including Evans, took full advantage.
Predicted Stat Line: Four receptions, 105 yards, one touchdown (20.5 PPR fantasy points)
Week 9: Tampa Bay vs. New Orleans
As mentioned above, the Saints have typically kept Evans in line, even more so at home. So the fact that Evans hot streak cools down a bit shouldn’t come as a surprise against the Saints.
Predicted Stat Line: Four receptions, 80 yards (12 PPR fantasy points)
Week 10: Tampa Bay at Carolina
Evans hasn’t topped 65 yards at Carolina in three years and this game is no different. He has exactly one big play to his name but the new-look Panther defense keeps him in check.
Predicted Stat Line: Two receptions, 58 yards (7.8 PPR fantasy points)
Week 11: Tampa Bay vs. Los Angeles Rams
The Rams held Evans to under 90 yards last year but their defense was also better so its not a surprise that Evans hangs almost 100 on them. He also manages to score for the first time in three weeks.
Predicted Stat Line: Five receptions, 99 yards, one touchdown (20.9 PPR fantasy points)
Week 12: Tampa Bay vs. Kansas City
Evans doesn’t get much attention but makes the most of it on a big play against the defending Super Bowl Champions. But we still don’t get the huge fantasy game most people were expecting with these two offenses, at least not from Evans.
Predicted Stat Line: Two receptions, 60 yards, one touchdown (14 PPR fantasy points)
Week 14: Tampa Bay vs. Minnesota
Evans continues his mini-slump as he fails to top 60 yards for the second straight game and third time in his last four. The Vikings defense is tough even with some aging stars.
Predicted Stat Line: Four receptions, 55 yards (9.5 PPR fantasy points)
Week 15: Tampa Bay at Atlanta
Unlike his other division rivals, Evans has shown to be successful against the Falcons his entire career. He’s scored eight times in 11 career games against the Falcons and adds a couple more against the perpetually mediocre Falcons defense.
Predicted Stat Line: Eight receptions, 96 yards, two touchdowns (29.6 PPR fantasy points)
Week 16: Tampa Bay at Detroit
The Bucs rolled over the Lions in Detroit last year and they did it again, this time with Evans along for the ride. He torches the Lions defense for another 100-yard game and a score against a potentially good but still young defense.
Predicted Stat Line: Nine receptions, 180 yards, two touchdowns (39.0 PPR fantasy points)
Week 17: Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta
As much as Evans does well against the Falcons, it’s only enhanced when he’s at home. He’s scored seven touchdowns at home against the Falcons before this season and adds another in the season finale.
Predicted Stat Line: Six receptions, 106 yards, one touchdown (22.6 PPR fantasy points)
Projected Season Totals
|Receptions||Receiving Yards||Receiving TDs||Fantasy Points|
With Brady now leading the offense in Tampa and Evans still holding on to his title as a top target, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that Evans has his best season ever. The 1,541 receiving yards are a career-high while the 12 touchdowns tie a career-high. Most importantly for fantasy owners of Evans, the 315.1 fantasy points are a personal best. There will be a lot of talk this off-season of Chris Godwin leading the receiving corps or Rob Gronkowski siphoning targets but Evans proves that he can perform even better with a little help under center.