Recommended Dynasty Trade Proposals for February: Running Backs (2021 Fantasy Football)
The wonderful Mike Tagliere posts an updated dynasty trade value chart each month, and it’s an excellent resource for both dynasty players and commissioners, as you can use it to gauge trade balance. It’s often difficult to discuss a trade when you and other members of your league see a player very differently, so Tags’ chart functions as a helpful, unbiased third party.
Each month, I’ll be here to create some recommended trade offers using Tags’ values. Since you’ll usually need to overcome the endowment effect to pry a player away from another manager, most of these offers will add up to a little bit more than what the target player is worth.
Here are some recommended dynasty trade offers if you’re looking to acquire a running back.
Mixon is a difficult player to evaluate. On the one hand, he played behind one of the league’s worst offensive lines and still managed to post 45-plus PPR points in Week 4. On the other hand, he struggled early in the year and missed most of the season with an injury.
Note that Mixon is only 24; he’s a month younger than Christian McCaffrey. Mixon could easily rebound if the Bengals can build a competent enough offensive line to protect Joe Burrow, especially because of the passing-game prowess he flashed in Weeks 4 and 5. And with the return of former offensive line coach Frank Pollack, Mixon seems excited about their line’s potential.
Most Mixon managers may have soured on the once-touted prospect. After his early-career struggles, it makes sense. However, you have a chance to swoop in and buy low. To get him, try packaging an exciting young back in an unproven, evolving offense (Robinson) with an aging wide receiver whose fantasy numbers may trend downward because he plays in a run-first scheme (Landry).
Akers is an incredibly exciting young player, and with the Rams making it clear that they’re committed to winning now, I love his upside. Akers emerged from a committee backfield and flashed workhorse potential late in the year — he averaged 21.5 carries per game over his last four regular-season appearances. Volume is king, and Akers should see plenty of it next season.
That said, I don’t believe I need to sell you on the idea of trading for Akers. If you’re worried about Darrell Henderson or Malcolm Brown, well, just look at the box scores from Los Angeles’ games from Weeks 13 to 15. Henderson averaged two touches per game alongside a healthy Akers.
Instead, I need to sell you on this trade offer. Kareem Hunt should remain in Cleveland for the foreseeable future, as he signed a two-year extension with them in September. There isn’t much upside for him in Cleveland, but he did flash RB1 upside for parts of last season, so the Akers manager should have some interest. Further, if that manager needs a quarterback, you could seal the deal with a depreciating pocket passer like Rodgers or Brady.
Tags’ Trade Value: 36
Potential Offer: Will Fuller (35) AND a Third-Round Pick (4)
I have no idea how the Jaguars will use Robinson next season. The rookie UDFA looked fantastic in 2020, but we’ll have an entirely new regime in Jacksonville next year, and we should see a new quarterback after the 2021 NFL Draft, too.
If you’re buying Robinson, you’re taking on a lot of risk. Unfortunately, the Robinson manager may not realize that, and they may buy completely into his 2020 performance. If they do, well, that’s too bad. Don’t buy high.
Should the Robinson manager be more amenable to a reasonable offer, try offering Will Fuller packaged with a draft pick. Fuller, like Robinson, comes with tremendous risk this offseason — we have no idea which team he’ll end up on, and even if he does stay in Houston, we have no idea who his quarterback will be. However, his speed will translate wherever he goes, so he won’t be a complete gamble for the manager on the other side. This trade makes sense for dynasty managers who are deep at one position but want to acquire depth at another.
Tags’ Trade Value: 22
Potential Offer A (1QB): Jarvis Landry (26)
Potential Offer B (2QB): Sam Darnold (25)
I love Edmonds. I was high on him last offseason, and I was high on him during the regular season. More importantly, Cardinals head coach Kliff Kingsbury is high on him, too — he called Edmonds “a starting running back in this league,” before last season got underway.
After a tepid 2020 campaign, Kenyan Drake is set to become an unrestricted free agent. That will leave Arizona with Edmonds, unproven sophomore Eno Benjamin, and a handful of special teamers at the position. While Arizona is sure to add depth at the position, either through free agency or the draft, Edmonds has a ton of upside at the moment. You should try to buy him now.
Two players make strong candidates for this deal. In 1QB leagues, Jarvis Landry would be a smart sell-high candidate, as most of his strong numbers this season came because of an injury to Odell Beckham Jr. Should you play in a 2QB league, you might be able to offload Sam Darnold for Edmonds. Darnold posted 20-plus fantasy points in just two of his starts last season — one of which can be credited to a 46-yard touchdown run against Denver — but Adam Gase’s firing may have some looking to take a risk on the struggling signal-caller.
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