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Fantasy Football Week 13 Start/Sit Advice: Sleepers & Duds (2022)

Dec 1, 2022

Which under-the-radar players might be able to give your fantasy team a lift? Which chalky players might not be as safe as they seem?

Our featured analysts name some potential sleepers and underachievers for Week 13.

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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup, based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant – which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team, and by how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.

Fantasy Football Free Agent Finder

Q. Which player outside of the top 100 in the FantasyPros flex rankings is a good sleeper start and why do you think he has upside this week?

DeVante Parker (WR – NE)
“Starting a New England wideout can feel like a game of Russian Roulette, but if you’re in need of a flex play, Parker could be a good option this week. Jakobi Meyers is banged up and only saw 16 snaps in Week 12. As a result, Parker topped a 75% snap share for the seventh time this season. He’ll be needed again this week against a Buffalo team that’s been generous to wideouts lately. Over their last six games, only two teams have ceded more fantasy points to receivers than the Bills. In fact, during that stretch, nine receivers have amassed double-digit half-PPR points against them. Parker should be able to reach that mark.”
Elisha Twerski (OddsChecker)

Elijah Moore (WR – NYJ)
“Though Elijah Moore had requested a trade earlier in the season, it seems his role could be expanding in New York’s offense as the season progresses. Moore faces a very banged-up Vikings secondary this week. Moore has been targeted six times and rushed the ball once in the past two games for a combined total of 77 yards and 1 receiving touchdown. Minnesota allowed 382 yards in the air alone last week, and with Mike White, as the Jets’ QB1 the offense is looking much more productive than in previous weeks. Moore’s ability as a receiver and also as a rusher could bring in big points for your fantasy team.”
Mason Riney (IDP Army)

“We saw a glimpse of Elijah Moore’s talent against the Bears last weekend with Mike White under center. He made the most of his two targets, putting up 64 yards and a touchdown. And I suspect Moore could be more involved this week against a Vikings defense that’s surrendered the fifth-most fantasy points per game to opposing receivers. We’re talking dart throws here, so why not bet on a talented receiver who has received a boost from a new quarterback.”
Matt Barbato (BettingPros)

Elijah Moore’s issues were solely with Zach Wilson, who he never seemed to be on the same page as this year, but the issues didn’t extend to the coaching staff. Moore averages 15.6 PPR points in games with White at quarterback compared to 7.2 with other quarterbacks and faces a Vikings defense that allows the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing receivers. Moore deserves to be an every-week starter as long as Zach Wilson is riding the bench.”
Tom Strachan (NFL Best Ball)

Tevin Coleman (RB – SF)
“Tevin Coleman isn’t just outside the top 100 in the FantasyPros flex rankings; he’s outside the top 250. Coleman, the RB100 and the 280th-ranked flex player in the Week 13 rankings as of Wednesday morning, is a favorite of Kyle Shanahan, according to 49ers beat writer Matt Barrows of The Athletic. “Never underestimate Shanahan’s fondness for veteran Tevin Coleman,” Barrow wrote in assessing the San Francisco backfield after Elijah Mitchell sustained an MCL injury in Week 12. Christian McCaffrey is also dealing with a knee issue, believed to be patellar tendinitis. Jordan Mason got snaps at RB in Week 12, but Coleman and Tyrion Davis-Price weren’t active for that game, and Mason always suits up because he’s a regular on special teams. The run-loving 49ers need another RB to take over for Mitchell, whose role had fantasy value despite the presence of CMC. The guess here is that for the stretch run, Shanahan turns to Coleman, a scheme-familiar veteran, rather than Davis-Price or Mason, a pair of rookies.”
Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)

Tyler Conklin (TE – NYJ)
“I don’t know if a mediocre tight end can have a “revenge game,” but Tyler Conklin (#130) could be in line for a big day Sunday against his former team. In last week’s thrashing of the Bears, Conklin was on the field for 79% of snaps with a 10.7% target share. Over the previous five weeks, Minnesota’s pass defense ranks 28th in the league, and they have been particularly susceptible to tight ends all season, including what probably should have been two TD to Hunter Henry in Week 12. With Mike White at the helm, New York has demonstrated a willingness to pass with reckless abandon, and I think Conklin should come away with numbers better than his TE17 ranking.”
Kelly Kirby (FantasyPros)

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Fantas Football Start-Sit Assistant

Q. Which player inside the top 40 in the FantasyPros flex rankings is likely to disappoint fantasy managers this week?

Tony Pollard (RB – DAL)
“Tony Pollard is the Cowboys’ best back. We all know that. However, it seems like Jerry Jones and Mike McCarthy don’t know that. Unfortunately, they’re the ones who matter. In the eight games Zeke has been active and not limited, Pollard has finished better than RB20 once. Pollard’s workload should be heavier than it was to start the season, but it feels like he’s being ranked at his ceiling here.”
Elisha Twerski (OddsChecker)

Jeff Wilson Jr. (RB – SF)
“Ex-49er and current Dolphins running back Jeff Wilson Jr. has been a solid addition to a very successful Miami offense. That being said, Wilson has carried the ball only 18 times and has been targeted over three times once in his past three games. San Francisco’s defense is currently ranked first in allowed opponent rushing yards a game with 79.5. The 49ers have also allowed only 88 yards receiving on 23 targets to opposing running backs in the past three games.”
Mason Riney (IDP Army)

Alvin Kamara (RB – NO)
“I’m pretty concerned about Alvin Kamara and think he could be in store for another bad day against a stout Buccaneers defense. Tampa is surrendering the fourth-fewest fantasy points to opposing tailbacks. And the Saints’ offense is bordering on hopeless with Andy Dalton under center. It might be too hard to outright bench Kamara, but I’d seriously consider alternatives if you have them.”
Matt Barbato (BettingPros)

Mike Evans (WR – TB)
“Mike Evans has a fierce rivalry with Saints CB Marshon Lattimore, and Lattimore has gotten the better of most of their matchups. In 11 career games against Lattimore, Evans has compiled 29-493-4, which works out to 2.6 catches, 44.8 yards and 0.4 touchdowns per game. Evans had two or fewer receptions in six of those meetings. Lattimore has missed seven games with a lacerated kidney but started practicing last week and has a good chance to return to face his old friend. In Week 2, Evans and Lattimore were ejected for fighting after Evans had accumulated 3-61-0 in 41 snaps.”
Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)

Saquon Barkley (RB – NYG)
“In his last five games, Saquon Barkley (#14) has finished as an RB1 only once, and that was against a Houston rush defense that has never met a running back they wanted to tackle. In that same time frame, his snap count has dropped from 88% to last week’s 73%, and he now faces a Washington rush defense that ranks fourth-best in the NFL this season. Even if Daniel Jones has to throw a lot, the Commanders still rank ninth against pass-catching RBs. All of this is concerning, and I think Barkley will have a difficult time ending Week 13 as his current overall RB9 ranking. He is still an elite player who could score five touchdowns like the last guy I listed as a dud, but it would behoove fantasy managers to lower their expectations given the matchup.”
Kelly Kirby (FantasyPros)

Jaylen Waddle (WR – MIA)
“The Dolphins take on the Niners, and it’s fair to temper expectations for Jaylen Waddle as the Niners have allowed just one WR2 to score more than 10.5 PPR points in their last four games. Tyreek Hill has often managed to stay relevant in tough matchups, but sometimes Waddle has found it harder. He’s still a decent play, but his ceiling looks more limited than usual.”
Tom Strachan (NFL Best Ball)

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Thanks to the experts for sharing their advice! For more of their insight, be sure to follow each pundit on Twitter (click their names above) and visit their respective sites.

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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.

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