The standard stacked Tuesday night MLB slate provides Underdog Fantasy gamers many pick ’em options. Tonight’s top picks have a mix of hitters and pitchers, including three picks for the former and two for the latter. The selections are also perfect for gamers who like overs.
Tuesday’s Top Underdog Fantasy MLB Pick ‘Em Picks
Mitch Keller: 7.0 Strikeouts – Higher
Keller is a strikeout machine. He’s in a groove and has a cupcake to feast on tonight. The blossoming righty has struck out over 7.0 batters in seven consecutive starts entering tonight’s matchup against the Athletics. According to FanGraphs, Keller also has 11.21 K/9, a 30.4 K% and 29.9 CSW% in a dozen starts this season. He’s also produced 10.36 K/9 and a 29.9 K% at home this year.
And, again, Oakland is an excellent matchup. The A’s have a 26.3 K% against righties in 2023, a 25.1 K% in the previous 14 days and a 25.2 K% on the road. Therefore, Keller should strike out more than 7.0 batters tonight.
Clarke Schmidt: 5.5 Strikeouts – Higher
Schmidt got off to a slow start this year but has ramped up his punchouts since late April. In the young righty’s last eight starts, he’s had over 5.5 strikeouts five times, amassing 10.67 K/9, a 27.2 K% and 11.4 SwStr%.
The White Sox aren’t an imposing matchup for Schmidt tonight. They have a 22.8 K% against righties, a 24.5 K% in the last 14 days and a 23.4 K% in road contests. Schmidt can take advantage of tonight’s matchup and strike out over 5.5 batters.
Corbin Carroll: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher
Carroll squares off with another youngster tonight. The left-handed-hitting outfielder faces Jake Irvin, and Washington’s righty has struggled with left-handed hitters. Irvin has served up a .281 batting average, .544 slugging and seven extra-base hits to 68 left-handed hitters.
Meanwhile, Carroll crushes righties. The speedy outfielder has a .280 batting average, .552 SLG and .273 ISO in 168 plate appearances against righties this year. Furthermore, he’s had a .283 batting average, .553 SLG and .269 ISO in 253 plate appearances against righties since his debut last year. Thus, Carroll has a sizable platoon advantage.
J.D. Martinez: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher
Martinez is ripping the cover off the ball this year. The veteran right-handed slugger has 25 extra-base hits, a .305 batting average, .695 SLG and .389 ISO in 137 plate appearances against right-handed pitchers this year. He’s also been hyper-aggressive, walking at just a 2.2% clip in same-handed matchups.
And Luke Weaver is ill-equipped to slow down Martinez. He’s coughed up 15 extra-base hits, a .323 batting average and .604 SLG to 101 righties faced this year. Weaver was dreadful against righties in 2022, too. He allowed 11 extra-base hits, a .318 batting average and a .471 SLG to 93 righties in 2022.
The park factors are a cherry on top for Martinez tonight. Right-handed batters at Great American Ball Park have park factors of 1.518 for homers, 1.038 for singles and 1.080 for doubles.
J.D. Davis: 1.5 Totals Bases – Higher
Davis is another righty slugger with a good matchup and superb park factors. Dinelson Lamet has ceded four extra-base hits, a .296 batting average and a .481 SLG to 35 righties this year. And the right-handed-batter park factors at Coors Field are 1.267 for homers, 1.173 for singles, 1.264 for doubles and 1.803 for triples.
Thankfully, Davis has the hitting ability to make the most of tonight’s ideal conditions. Davis has 13 extra-base hits, a .289 batting average, .489 SLG and .200 ISO in 159 plate appearances against right-handed pitchers this year. And in 487 plate appearances against righties since 2021, he’s had 42 extra-base hits, a .279 batting average, .461 SLG and .181 ISO. The most significant threat to Davis having over 1.5 total bases is his willingness to work walks and Lamet’s lousy control. Nevertheless, the Giants should light up the scoreboard tonight, giving Davis ample opportunities to have over 1.5 total bases.
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