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Fantasy Football Outlook: Jared Goff, Drake London, Jordan Addison, Zay Flowers

Fantasy Football Outlook: Jared Goff, Drake London, Jordan Addison, Zay Flowers

Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.

Fantasy Football Outlook

Jared Goff: Goff has been playing outstanding football. He’s fifth in passing grade, third in yards per attempt, and second in adjusted completion rate. Goff is also tenth in fantasy points per dropback. He started balling out down the stretch last season and has continued to play well into the 2023 season. After demolishing rookie Bryce Young in Week 1, the Falcons faced Jordan Love last week. Against Love, they finished the week with the fifth-lowest passer rating, fifth-lowest yards per attempt, and third-lowest adjusted completion rate allowed. Atlanta’s pass defense looks legit, also ranking eighth-best in pressure rate. Goff should have plenty of time to find open receivers, as his offensive line has allowed him to face the seventh-lowest pressure rate. Goff should post a solid stat line here but don’t expect a ceiling performance. Week 3 Positional Value: low-end QB1/high-end QB2

Drake London: After finishing with a goose egg in Week 1 with only one target, London got things going in Week 2. He commanded a 25% target share a 30% air yard share, and manufactured 2.09 YPRR. London was the WR19 in fantasy scoring last week. Talent is not a problem for London, but weekly pass game volume and quarterback play definitely are. Against the Lions’ stout run defense, the Falcons could be forced to throw more than they want. If that happens, London can post another productive stat line. Last year, he was fifth in receiving grade and 12th in YPRR against zone coverage. London will run about 86% of his routes against Cameron Sutton (66.7% catch rate and 88.9 passer rating) and Jerry Jacobs (73.3% catch rate and 127.5 passer rating). Week 3 Positional Value: WR3 with WR2 upside

Jordan Addison: Addison is inching closer weekly to supplanting K.J. Osborn as the team’s starter in two wide sets. His route run per team dropback rate increased from 61.7% to 71.7% last week. Addison has drawn only a 12.5% target share, a 26.2% air yard share, and a 12.3% first-read share despite his 2.15 YPRR. This passing offense heavily flows through Jefferson, and Hockenson is the number two after him, so Addison has his work cut out to possibly supplant Hockenson as the WR2 in the target tree. Addison will run about 73% of his routes against Samuel and Jackson. Week 3 Positional Value: WR3/4

Zay Flowers: Flowers has a 27.3% target share and a 21.8% air yard share. Among 60 qualifying wide receivers, he’s ranked 16th in receiving grade and YPRR. In Week 1, he drew a ridiculous 45.5% target share and 60% first read share. Yes, a large portion of that first-read share was related to screens. In Week 2, his usage came crashing back to earth with a 15.2% target share and a 19.2% first-read share. That first-read share was still good for second-best on the team, though. Against zone coverage (excluding designed or screen targets), Flowers leads the team in YPRR, but he falls down the pecking order in TPRR and first-read share. Flowers will run about 62% of his routes against Dallis Flowers (50% catch rate and 100.0 passer rating) and Darrell Baker Jr. (61.5% catch rate and 125.8 passer rating). Week 3 Positional Value: WR3

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