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NFL DFS GPP Lineup Advice & Picks (Divisional Round)

NFL DFS GPP Lineup Advice & Picks (Divisional Round)

This is one of the best slates of football we get all season. We’re down to just eight teams remaining, and it’s always one of the best slates of the year. What’s interesting about this week is that we might see some blowouts. Baltimore, Detroit, and San Francisco are monster favorites to advance, and we must assume those three clubs will take care of business. That’s interesting because the only other matchup is expected to be the lowest-scoring game of the week. That makes it fascinating from a DFS perspective, so let’s go ahead and get into it!

NFL DFS GPP Lineup Advice & Picks

The players below are the ones I’m looking at for GPP considerations for the Divisional Round.

Quarterbacks

DraftKings

Jared Goff (QB – DET): $6,300 vs. TB

We’ve been talking about this all season, but we love Goff whenever he’s at home. The Detroit quarterback has scored at least 17 DraftKings points in all but three home games since the start of last year, averaging nearly 25 DK points per game in those outings. We love that in this terrific matchup with Tampa, allowing the fourth-most passing yards in the NFL. When they played in Week 6, Goff had 353 passing yards and two touchdowns.

FanDuel

Brock Purdy (QB – SF): $7,800 vs. GB

Purdy fell out of the MVP race late in the season, but he’s still one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. The San Fran signal-caller averaged over 19 FanDuel points per game, establishing a 15-point floor since taking this job. A home matchup against Green Bay should keep that trend going, with Green Bay generating a 22nd OPRK against opposing quarterbacks. This is one game where San Fran will not take their foot off the gas, and they should cruise to 30 points.

Running Backs

DraftKings

Gus Edwards (RB – BAL): $5,900 vs. HOU

Edwards is hard to trust with how he ended the season, but all we need is for this guy to fall into the endzone to be a good value. That seems likely since the Raves are a 10-point home favorite in this playoff matchup. They’re also facing a Texans team that allowed 19 touchdowns to opposing backs, one of the worst marks in the NFL. Scoring 13 touchdowns in the regular season shows they want to feed him at the goal line, and he should get all of those chances with double-digit carries as well.

FanDuel

James Cook (RB – BUF): $6,800 vs. KC

It’s hard to believe, but Cook has been the focal point of Buffalo’s offense since they changed offensive coordinators. The second-year player has at least 100 total yards in five of his last nine games, recording 18 carries and four catches last week. If this guy gets 20-25 touches, Cook needs to be one of the most expensive backs on the board. We’re also expecting a low-scoring game with Buffalo as a favorite, and they should lean on Cook if that’s the case.

Wide Receivers

DraftKings

Zay Flowers (WR – BAL): $6,000 vs. HOU

Flowers is a risky option, but he’s an excellent GPP play. The speedy rookie has been taking over this passing game recently, scoring at least 18 DraftKings points in three of his last four games. That’s not surprising since he has a team target share approaching 25 percent, and this kid gets better every time he steps on the field. We love that since Baltimore is one of the highest-projected offenses on this slate, facing a Houston team that ranked 23rd in passing yards during the regular season.

FanDuel

Chris Godwin (WR – TB): $6,900 at DET

Godwin has been overlooked because of Mike Evans, but this All-Pro player hit his stride in the second half of the season. He’s scored at least 7.8 FanDuel points in seven straight outings, averaging 12 FD points per game in that span. That’s the form that made him a $8K player in the past, and you know they’ll have to throw as a heavy underdog against Detroit. Not to mention, the Lions posted a 30th OPRK against opposing wideouts in the regular season.

Tight Ends

DraftKings

George Kittle (TE – SF): $5,200 vs. GB

Most people will pivot to Travis Kelce or Sam LaPorta, but Kittle is a great way to separate yourself from the field. This is still one of the best tight ends in the NFL, averaging 13.3 DraftKings points per game. He also had at least 17 DK points in five of his final nine games and should be fed in this must-win playoff atmosphere. We didn’t even mention that Green Bay allows the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends.

FanDuel

Mark Andrews (TE – BAL): $6,000 vs. HOU

It’s shocking that Andrews is expected to return, but he’s a sneaky GPP option with people unsure about his status. This has been the second-best tight end for a few years now, averaging 11.3 FD points per game before getting injured. That’s terrible news for a horrid Houston secondary, surrendering the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends.

Defense/Special Teams

DraftKings

Kansas City Chiefs D/ST: $2,700 at BUF

Nobody wants to use D/STs against the Bills, but we don’t really understand why. Allen led the AFC with nearly 20 interceptions during the regular season and is prone to some sacks with how he holds the ball. That could bode well for Kansas City, who ranked in the top 5 in total defense during the regular season. We also expect this to be the lowest-scoring matchup of the week, and it could make the Chiefs a sneaky D/ST because of how cheap they are.

FanDuel

Buffalo Bills D/ST: $4,000 vs. KC

I was shocked to see how affordable Buffalo was. This has been a top 5 defense in the second half of the season, carrying them to this point. It’s not like this is the Chiefs we’ve seen in the past, averaging just 22 points per game during the regular season. I expect this to be the lowest-scoring game of the week, and we genuinely believe both teams will finish below 20 points. That makes the $4K price tag intriguing because no one will roster Buffalo against KC.

CTAs


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Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Joel, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.

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