Fantasy baseball is a marathon, not a sprint. Unlike other fantasy sports, the season is long and drags on as the weeks roll on. However, because it is such a grind, fantasy managers can lose focus on what’s important, allowing astute fantasy managers to take advantage.
We are still early in the season when people will make bad decisions in terms of trades because of small samples. Hot streaks and cold streaks can scare your competition. Sometimes, underlying numbers aren’t showing up in the surface numbers quite yet. If someone in your league is ready to overreact, take advantage of their impatience.
Here are some players I would try and buy low and sell high on at this point in the season. Use our fantasy baseball trade analyzer to help with values.
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Fantasy Baseball Trade Advice: Buy Low
Buy Low
Adley Rutschman is struggling mightily, hitting .206/.302/.339 with five home runs and just 15 RBI this season. However, his underlying numbers are in line with previous results.
Rutschman’s xBA is .263 and his xSLG is .458. He is getting unlucky in the HR/FB rate and batting average on balls in play (BABIP), while his Z-Contact, O-Swing, swinging strike rate, hard-hit rate, average exit velocity and barrel rates are the best of his career. Considering he is struggling and had a down year last season, he shouldn’t cost a ton on the trade market right now.
Salvador Perez (C, 1B, DH – KC)
Salvador Perez is hitting just .222/.260/.348 with four home runs and 11 runs scored this season. However, his xBA is .293, and his contact numbers are the best he has had in the last five seasons. He is still hitting the ball very hard.
Perez has just a 6% HR/FB rate, which is way below his career mark of 14%, and his BABIP is low. He is another good bet to rebound.
Matt McLain is struggling, hitting .179/.278/.306 this season. He does have six home runs and 11 stolen bases, which is good, but he has his worst strikeout rate at any level (31.7%).
McLain’s zone contact number is fine and the best of his career. His O-Swing and swinging strike rates are also good, which is a sign that his average should come around as well. McLain should rebound easily, so this may be the last time you will be able to buy low on him.
Brenton Doyle is hitting .214/.279/.353 with five home runs and six stolen bases. Doyle has been unlucky with a .258 BABIP and a 9.6% HR/FB rate. He has a .252 xBA and a .450 xSLG.
Doyle is hitting the ball hard and still making league-average Z-Contact, and has a career-best O-Swing and swinging strike rate. As things heat up in Colorado, he should heat up as well.
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