Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate has nine games starting at 7:05 p.m. ET at DraftKings and FanDuel. The suggested pick ’em choices from Sleeper and Underdog are from the nine-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Monday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Robbie Ray (SF) vs. KC
Robbie Ray’s control was spotty early in the year, but he’s settled into a groove. According to FanGraphs, in Ray’s last five starts spanning 31 innings, he’s had the following stats.
- 2.32 ERA
- 3.29 xFIP
- 3.49 SIERA
- 1.06 WHIP
- Three wins
- Four quality starts
- 8.9 BB%
- 27.4 K%
- 15.6 SwStr%
- 30.8 CSW%
Ray should stay hot in a drool-inducing matchup. The Royals are 27th in wRC+ (67) with a 22.0 K% versus lefties and tied for 21st in wRC+ (87) with a 20.3 K% on the road in 2025. Thus, the Giants are -125, and the game’s total is a pitcher-friendly 7.0 runs.
Bailey Ober (MIN) vs. CLE
The Cardinals crushed Bailey Ober for eight runs in 2.2 innings in the righty’s first start of the season. He’s allowed three runs or fewer in eight subsequent starts, including ceding just one earned run in six of those starts. In Ober’s last eight starts, he’s had a 2.36 ERA, 4.24 xFIP, 4.13 SIERA, 1.20 WHIP, 4.7 BB%, 19.3 K%, 13.5 SwStr%, 28.2 CSW%, 96 stuff+, 104 location+ and 101 pitching+. He also had four wins and five quality starts in his last eight starts.
Ober has an adequate matchup and stellar betting info tonight. The Guardians are 18th in wRC+ (100) with a 20.7 K% versus righties and tied for ninth in wRC+ (106) with a 19.5 K% on the road this year. So, the Twins are -142, and the game’s total is a non-threatening 7.5 runs.
Ryan Pepiot (TB) vs. HOU
Ryan Pepiot hasn’t pitched flawlessly this year, but he’s been more good than bad. He’s pitched at least five innings in eight of nine starts and yielded three runs or fewer eight times. The 27-year-old righty has two wins and five quality starts this year.
Pepiot has a favorable matchup and decent betting info tonight. The Astros are 19th in wRC+ (99) with a 20.9 K% versus righties and tied for 26th in wRC+ (79) with a 20.5 K% on the road this season. In addition, the Rays are -135, but the game’s total is 9.0 runs, which is less than ideal. Still, Pepiot offers enough to be an intriguing SP2 in GPPs at DraftKings.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
Brandon Pfaadt‘s 5.66 xERA is the second-highest among tonight’s probable pitchers and starkly contrasts with his 3.73 ERA. Pfaadt’s good fortune will eventually run out, and the process might already be starting since he’s coughed up four runs in four innings and seven runs (six earned) in 4.2 innings in two of his previous three starts. Finally, Pfaadt has surrendered a .346 wOBA to 525 left-handed batters since last year, making LA’s lefties the most appealing stacking choices.
According to Baseball Savant, Sutter Health Park is tied for the second-highest park factor for runs (123), has the highest park factor for doubles (144) and has the eighth-highest park factor for homers (113) this season. It’s a challenging pitching environment for anyone, and Jose Soriano is basically an average to slightly above-average pitcher, making him no one to avoid stacking against in such a hitter-friendly environment. The game’s betting info also supports stacking the Athletics in DFS tonight.
Core Studs
- Freddie Freeman has nine homers, 26 runs, 34 RBIs, a .430 OBP, .295 ISO and 198 wRC+ in 151 plate appearances this season.
- Since 2023, Brent Rooker has had a .335 OBP, .239 ISO and 136 wRC+ against righties.
- Jacob Wilson has five homers, 25 runs, 26 RBIs, three stolen bases, a .369 OBP, .140 ISO and 142 wRC+ in 188 plate appearances this season.
Value Plays/Punts
- In Max Muncy‘s last 75 plate appearances, he’s hit three homers with seven runs, 14 RBIs, one stolen base, a .373 OBP, .226 ISO and 140 wRC+.
- Jackson Holliday has six homers, 15 runs, 17 RBIs, two stolen bases, a .338 OBP, .174 ISO and 128 wRC+ in 151 plate appearances this year, and he’s climbed to the leadoff spot against right-handed pitchers.
- Dalton Rushing killed minor-league pitching, and he’s off to a fast start in the Majors, with a .455 OBP, .100 ISO and 172 wRC+ in his first 11 plate appearances for the Dodgers.
Monday’s Top 3 Sleeper and Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Brent Rooker: 6.5 Fantasy Points – Higher (Sleeper) (1.71x)
Brent Rooker: 6.5 Fantasy Points – Higher (Underdog)
In 47 games and 206 plate appearances this year, Rooker has 10 homers, 29 runs, 22 RBIs, two stolen bases, a .301 OBP, .206 ISO, .326 wOBA, .376 xwOBA and 111 wRC+. Rooker’s gap between his wOBA and xwOBA suggests he’s been unlucky on his batted balls this season. Tonight, he has a plus matchup against a pitcher with a reverse platoon split in his hitter-friendly ballpark. Since last year, Soriano has coughed up a .334 wOBA to 304 right-handed batters.
Robbie Ray: 5.5 Strikeouts – Higher (Sleeper) (1.68x)
Robbie Ray: 5.5 Strikeouts – Higher (Underdog)
Ray doesn’t have the easiest assignment for strikeouts tonight. The Royals have the ninth-lowest strikeout rate (21.8 K%) against southpaws and are tied for the fifth-lowest strikeout rate (20.3 K%) on the road. Still, their offense is dreadful against lefties and on the road, so Ray can offset a lower strikeout rate by pitching deeper against a punchless offense. Moreover, Ray has exceeded 5.5 strikeouts in five of his previous seven starts.
Freddie Freeman: 7.5 Fantasy Points – Higher (Sleeper) (1.66x)
Freddie Freeman: 8.5 Fantasy Points – Higher (Underdog)
In addition to Freeman’s excellent numbers this season, highlighted above, he has a track record of superb numbers with the platoon advantage. Since 2023, Freeman has had a .411 OBP, .223 ISO and 160 wRC+ against right-handed pitching.
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
