As we get closer and closer to training camp, we’re about to enter the time of the year when fantasy football average draft position (ADP) fluctuates greater than at any other time. One little bit of news can send players rocketing up draftboards, and we have to face the fact that injuries could very well start impacting things sooner than we’d like. This time becomes crucial for making smart decisions in drafts. Here are four players to target at current ADP on Underdog.
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Fantasy Football Players to Target
Players to Target
Tucker Kraft (TE – GB) | ADP: 127.2
It was a beautiful season for Tucker Kraft truthers, with their faith in him rewarded handsomely as he easily outplayed Luke Musgrave, who was drafted 60 picks earlier in best ball leagues. Kraft led the team with seven touchdowns, which was only one fewer than George Kittle (eight) and three fewer than Mark Andrews (10).
Kraft was a yards-after-the-catch (YAC) monster, leading all tight ends with 50+ targets at a whopping 9.38 YAC. No other tight end had more than seven. If the Packers can be a more well-rounded offense with the addition of Matthew Golden, there’s no reason it couldn’t help Kraft elevate to the next level. His current ADP puts him at a discount of TE11, compared to the TE8 season he just accomplished.
Zay Flowers (WR – BAL) | ADP: 54.2
This one might be slightly controversial, as there seems to be a steady drumbeat against Zay Flowers of late, but it might not be entirely warranted. Flowers finished last year as the WR22 in total half-PPR points, but now he is available as the WR31 in drafts.
Flowers had eight games with 70+ receiving yards or a touchdown and only six below 50 yards. The spike weeks generally weren’t what drafters hoped for in 2024, but Flowers was unlucky not to find the end zone more, having seen seven end-zone targets but only managing two end-zone touchdowns, and a total of four touchdowns across the season.
That number should positively regress this year, with Lamar Jackson trusting Flowers and seeing him as the alpha. We’ve only got to look at Flowers’ first-read target share of 30% to see that, especially as no other Raven is over 16%. If Flowers’ ADP was in the low 40s, the fade would make more sense, but here, attached to the best offense in football, it makes too much sense not to target him.
Diontae Johnson (WR – CLE) | ADP: Undrafted
Look, we all get it, we’ve all done the Diontae Johnson dance enough times now to understand the downside, but… does he warrant being undrafted a year after being a top-70 pick? Before the chaos started in 2024, Johnson had three top-12 weekly finishes at the position and looked to be a good value.
Now in Cleveland, the question marks about both his temperament and quarterback situation are obvious and fair, but Browns beat reporters expect Johnson to have a starting role. If that happens, we know he can earn targets to a strong level. Nobody is suggesting Johnson is a league-winner, but he’s worth mixing in.
Brock Bowers (TE – LV) | ADP: 19.2
Talking about league winners, why has Brock Bowers’ ADP dropped from the one-two turn to 19th overall? Generally, drafters seem to be cooler on the rookie tight ends as the season bleeds on. However, as I talked about in this video, it feels like they aren’t appreciating enough just how good Bowers was last year, and there is still another level for him to ascend to with good quarterback play.
There simply aren’t many difference-makers at the position, and Bowers just had the third-most targets by a tight end ever. Imagine if they’d been quality targets.
Strategy: Target Those About to Rise
One quick tip that’s worth remembering at this time of year is to target players that might be primed to see a rise in their ADP. Veteran running backs like D’Andre Swift or Travis Etienne seem likely candidates, and after seeing their ADPs fall, rookies could easily bounce back. Luther Burden and Colston Loveland haven’t found the field yet, but nothing can cause an increase like training camp highlights.
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