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Draft Values to Target (2025 Fantasy Football)

Draft Values to Target (2025 Fantasy Football)

While the individual ADPs may have shifted since then, the larger trends are still very much in play. With that in mind, let’s hop into the best values in up-to-date RT Sports ADP, comparing as always to FantasyPros’ expert consensus rankings (ECR).

2025 Fantasy Football Draft Kit

Best Fantasy Football Draft Values

Jaylen Waddle (WR – MIA) | ADP: 83/ECR: 54

For those of you who didn’t read last month’s article, here’s the short version: RT drafters love early running backs, and wide receivers are pushed way down as a result. As a result, the massive 42.5% gap between Jaylen Waddle’s RT Sports ADP and his expert ranking somehow ranks just 10th among top-200 players. All nine players ahead of him are receivers with expert rankings inside the top two rounds.

However, where Waddle stands out is in the gap in his positional rankings. Wide receivers are being drafted lower across the board, so those early-round wideouts are still being selected in more or less the same order, even if their overall ADPs are much lower. Waddle, on the other hand, is a clear outlier in both positional and overall ADP. He is ranked as the 27th-best receiver in the league, a high-end WR3. But on RT Sports, he is the WR36, nine slots lower and the very final WR3 selected.

Especially with the recent news of Jonnu Smith being traded to Pittsburgh, Waddle is a no-brainer pick at that WR36 ADP. Yes, his 2024 season was terrible; he averaged fewer than 10 PPR points per game, ranking outside the top 50 receivers. But Miami’s offense as a whole was dysfunctional last season, thanks to offensive line woes and Tua Tagovailoa‘s concussions. By the end of the year, their passing offense was comprised almost entirely of dump-offs and designed yards after the catch (YAC) opportunities for the aforementioned Smith and De’Von Achane.

If we look back at Waddle’s overall profile, it’s clear we are looking at a talented young receiver. He was selected with the sixth-overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft and immediately racked up over 1,000 yards as a rookie. He then proceeded to get even better, posting yards per route run marks of 2.59 in 2022 and 2.63 in 2023. Those marks ranked third and sixth in the entire NFL in their respective years.

Smith’s departure indicates Mike McDaniel and co. plan to return to the more aggressive, hyper-concentrated style of offense that allowed Waddle to thrive in the past. Waddle is still just 26 years old and has outperformed even his more aggressive ECR positional ranking in three of the four years of his career. Even among a cornucopia of wide receiver values available on RT Sports, Waddle’s rank stands out as a smash buying opportunity.

Roschon Johnson (RB – CHI) | ADP: 177/ECR: 166

This late in the draft, an 11-pick gap in ADP doesn’t mean much. However, and I am becoming a broken record here, this gap gets much more enticing once we consider the overall running back market on RT Sports. A whopping 79 running backs are selected in the top 200 picks of RT Sports drafts, from Bijan Robinson down to Antonio Gibson.

Of those 79 backs, 74 are being selected before their ECR. All but nine are being drafted at least 5% higher, and over 80% of them are at least 10% “overvalued.” The average difference between a running back’s RT Sports ADP and their ECR is an absurd +26%. That was a lot of numbers, but the important takeaway is this: Running backs are flying off the board, so Roschon Johnson falling slightly is a massive value.

Once again, this also shows up in positional rankings. Roschon’s ECR is RB54; his RT Sports ADP is RB64. Of course, running backs (or any players) being drafted this late aren’t hugely valuable. But the running back environment on RT Sports makes Johnson’s particular archetype particularly appealing. With how expensive early running backs are, RT Sports ADP is absolutely screaming out for a savvy manager to implement a Zero RB or (my preference) Hero RB strategy. And Johnson is the exact kind of back you want to target in that strategy.

Roschon checks almost every box in what we want to target in late-round running backs. He’s relatively young, at just 24 years old. He’s in a potentially elite offense with Ben Johnson at the helm. He has a decent reputation as a pass-blocker (just don’t look at last year’s Pro Football Focus grades) and solid size, so he could consolidate high-value work in the right situation. And he’s behind an uninspiring veteran back in D’Andre Swift, who has already lost one job under Ben Johnson’s direction in his career.

Of course, uninspiring is also an appropriate word to describe Johnson’s NFL career so far. In the most likely outcome, he’s a glorified handcuff with little standalone value. But, compared to the prices of other running backs on RT Sports, grabbing a clear-cut handcuff in Round 15 is an absolute dream.

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Ted Chmyz is a fantasy football contributor for FantasyPros.com. Find him on Twitter and Bluesky @Tchmyz for more fantasy content or to ask questions.

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