Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate starts at 6:45 p.m. ET at FanDuel and 7:07 p.m. ET at DraftKings, featuring eight games at the former and seven at the latter. The suggested pick ’em choices from Underdog are also from the eight-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Thursday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
David Peterson (NYM) vs. MIL
David Peterson is a terror for visiting offenses. In 97 innings at home since last year, Peterson has had a 2.78 ERA, 3.40 xFIP, 1.29 WHIP, 7.8 BB% and 22.3 K%. The 29-year-old lefty is also having an outstanding follow-up campaign to a career year in 2024, with better ERA estimators in 2025.
Peterson’s matchup isn’t ideal, but his betting info is favorable. The Mets are -155, and the game’s total is 8.0 runs.
Clarke Schmidt (NYY) at TOR
The Blue Jays teed off on Will Warren last night, illustrating the risk of picking a pitcher against their above-average offense. Nevertheless, Clarke Schmidt is a road warrior.
In 72 innings on the road since last year, Schmidt has a 2.25 ERA, 3.90 xFIP, 1.17 WHIP, 9.6 BB% and 26.6 K%. Moreover, he has a 3.09 ERA and a sparkling 2.65 xERA in 13 starts this year. So, the Yankees are -130, and the game’s total is 8.5 runs.
Seth Lugo (KC) at SEA
Seth Lugo doesn’t have the easiest matchup tonight. The Mariners are seventh in wRC+ (113) with a 21.5 K% versus righties. However, Seattle is also 15th in wRC+ (105) with a 24.1 K% at home. So, the matchup isn’t a total nightmare. Additionally, the game’s total is a pitcher-friendly 7.5 runs, and the Royals are only slight underdogs (EVEN).
Meanwhile, Lugo is a road warrior. In 136.1 innings on the road since last year, Lugo has a 2.77 ERA, 3.57 xFIP, 1.00 WHIP, 5.5 BB% and 24.5 K%. He’s also on a roll, albeit lucky as well. In Lugo’s past five starts spanning 28.2 innings, he’s had the following stats.
- 1.26 ERA
- 3.72 xFIP
- 3.66 SIERA
- 0.94 WHIP
- Two wins
- Two quality starts
- 9.7 BB%
- 27.4 K%
Suggested Lineup Stacks
Bryce Elder has turned into a punching bag lately. In his previous four starts, Elder has had a 9.16 ERA, 3.73 xFIP, 3.92 SIERA and 1.93 WHIP. Elder yielded 2.89 HR/9 in those starts. Finally, Elder has allowed a .357 wOBA to 136 lefties and a .381 wOBA to 164 righties in 2025.
- Home (Dodger Stadium)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 9.0 Runs/LAD -290
Aaron Civale is trash on the road. In 91.1 innings on the road since last year, Civale has been crushed to the tune of a 5.81 ERA and 4.93 xFIP. He’s also permitted 1.87 HR/9 on the road since last season. Civale hasn’t had answers for lefties or righties, either. He’s allowed a .347 wOBA to 76 lefties and a .376 wOBA to 92 righties this year.
Core Studs
- Shohei Ohtani has had a .417 OBP, .387 ISO and 196 wRC+ against righties since 2023.
- Mike Trout has hit 37 homers with a .362 OBP, .273 ISO and 141 wRC+ in 578 plate appearances against righties since 2023.
- Jo Adell is on a 13-game hitting streak. During the streak, he’s hit five homers with 11 runs, 12 RBIs, a .421 OBP, .340 ISO and 206 wRC+ in 57 plate appearances.
Value Plays/Punts
- Miguel Vargas had a slow start to the year, but in his past 253 plate appearances, he’s hit 10 homers with 34 runs, 28 RBIs, three stolen bases, a .328 OBP, .217 ISO and 122 wRC+.
- Luis Torrens has had a .316 OBP, .180 ISO and 111 wRC+ in 98 plate appearances against lefties since 2023.
- Hyeseong Kim has hit two homers with 16 runs, 12 RBIs, eight stolen bases, a .415 OBP, .149 ISO and 163 wRC+ in a dynamic rookie season.
Thursday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Mike Trout: 8.5 Fantasy Points – Higher
Trout has belted 13 bombs with 29 runs, 31 RBIs, two stolen bases, a .343 OBP, .212 ISO and 116 wRC+ in 248 plate appearances this year. While those are solid numbers, Trout has been unlucky on his batted balls, as evidenced by his .337 wOBA and .396 expected wOBA (xwOBA).
Zach Neto: 7.5 Fantasy Points – Higher
Zach Neto is replicating his breakout 2024 campaign. Neto has launched 12 longballs with 46 runs, 29 RBIs, 13 stolen bases, a .305 OBP, .205 ISO, .333 wOBA, .358 xwOBA and 114 wRC+. He’ll get the first crack at punching-bag Elder from atop the lineup.
Freddie Freeman has had a .407 OBP, .208 ISO and 154 wRC+ in 1,161 plate appearances against righties since 2023. He’s also having a fantastic season at the plate, with 10 homers, 44 runs, 44 RBIs, a .381 OBP, .191 ISO, .377 wOBA, .372 xwOBA and 143 wRC+.
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
