The 2025 NFL preseason is underway, meaning we’ve officially hit the start of redraft fantasy football season. Therefore, it’s time to do all the preparation fantasy players ignored over the past few months. Many factors go into fantasy players winning their redraft league every year. However, the top factor is arguably avoiding players that will bust or are overpriced.
Let’s look at six players who are overpriced draft values based on CBS ADP for redraft leagues.
- Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- 2025 Fantasy Football Expert Rankings
- Fantasy Football Dynasty Rankings
- Fantasy Football Trade Tools
Overvalued Fantasy Football Players to Avoid on CBS
Jared Goff (DET) – ADP 106.24 | QB11
Last year, Goff had the best season of his career, finishing as the QB6, averaging 19.1 fantasy points per game. He set career highs in several categories, including completion rate (72.4%), passing touchdowns (37), and quarterback rating (111.8). Yet, fantasy players should temper expectations for Goff this season. Detroit lost offensive coordinator Ben Johnson to the Chicago Bears. More importantly, Goff is due for touchdown regression. Last year, he posted a career-high 6.9% passing touchdown rate. By comparison, his previous career best was 5.9% while his career average is 4.8%.
James Cook (BUF) – ADP 33.23 | RB15
Fantasy players were shocked to see Cook finish last season as the RB8, averaging 16.7 PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, he had 16 rushing touchdowns and two receiving scores in 2024, leading the league in rushing touchdowns. By comparison, the former Georgia star had four rushing touchdowns and five receiving scores over his first two years in the NFL. Cook’s a clear-cut touchdown regression candidate. Unfortunately, the star running back and the Bills are in the middle of messy contract talks, leading to him sitting out training camp practices.
Aaron Jones (MIN) – ADP 54.54 | RB22
Unfortunately, Jones quietly had a somewhat disappointing 2024 season. He finished as the RB20 on a points-per-game basis, averaging 14.2 PPR fantasy points per outing despite seeing the majority of backfield touches. More importantly, the veteran will have significant competition for touches this season after Minnesota traded for Jordan Mason. Furthermore, Jones is on the wrong side of 30 and has injury history, making him a meaningful risk at his low-end RB2 ADP. I would rather wait and draft Mason nearly five rounds later than Jones at his price.
DJ Moore (CHI) – ADP 50.85 | WR21
Many were afraid to draft Moore last year after the Bears added Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze in the offseason. Unfortunately, he will have even more target competition in 2025 after Chicago used their top two picks in the NFL Draft on Colston Loveland and Luther Burden III. More importantly, Moore and Ben Johnson haven’t been on the same page this offseason. Meanwhile, Odunze is a popular second-year breakout candidate. Don’t be surprised if Johnson makes the Bears a run-first offense after having success with that mindset in Detroit.
George Pickens (DAL) – ADP 64.42 | WR26
Some have high hopes for Pickens this season. While he gets a quarterback upgrade, the veteran won’t see significant target volume because of CeeDee Lamb. More importantly, Pickens has flashed upside in his career but has never been a consistent contributor. He has averaged 0.37 PPR fantasy points per route run for his career, posting a 0.41 or lower average every season (per Fantasy Points Data). Don’t get fooled by the highlight catches during camp in one-on-one drills. Pickens won’t see the target volume needed to warrant his sixth-round ADP.
Mark Andrews (BAL) – ADP 78.81 | TE7
Andrews finished last season as the TE6, averaging 11.1 PPR fantasy points per game, thanks to a heavy touchdown run to end the year. After totaling zero touchdowns and 22 fantasy points over the first five contests, the veteran averaged nearly a touchdown and 13.9 fantasy points per game over the final 13 weeks. More importantly, his targets per game only improved from 2.8 during his slump to 4.6 during the hot streak. Fantasy players should grab Tucker Kraft or Tyler Warren nearly four rounds later instead of drafting Andrews.
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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.
