We’ll have you covered as you prepare for your 2025 dynasty drafts. In order to dominate your dynasty draft, check out our expert consensus dynasty draft rankings. And sync your dynasty league to practice with fast and free dynasty mock drafts. Below, we dive into dynasty draft picks our analysts are lower on compared to our expert consensus rankings.
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Dynasty Draft Advice: Players to Avoid
Remaining healthy all year and completing his first full season since 2020, Kyler Murray finished QB10 overall and QB12 in fantasy points per game (18.1) among quarterback who made multiple starts. It was a bumpy ride to get there, as Murray topped 25 fantasy points four times (three times if you exclude his big game in Week 18) and finished with 12 or fewer fantasy points five times. That’s Murray in a nutshell. He can be wildly inconsistent from game to game – or even from half to half – but his rushing ability makes for a high ceiling. While the weekly finish could be there, it’s not always easy to manage a team with Murray.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
David Montgomery could be hard-pressed to turn a profit on his low-end RB2 ADP. He shares work with Jahmyr Gibbs, one of the most talented RBs in the league. Montgomery has averaged 16.8 and 15.8 touches a game in Gibbs’ first two seasons. I’ll bet the under on 15.8 touches a game for Montgomery in 2025, as I expect an uptick in Gibbs’ usage. We could also see a dip in Montgomery’s TD total. He’s scored 13 and 12 touchdowns the last two years, as the Lions ranked first and fifth in scoring those two seasons. If the Lions scale back Montgomery’s usage to give Gibbs more snaps, or if the Detroit offense has hiccups after losing offensive coordinator Ben Johnson to the Bears, Monty’s TD total could slip. He’s a quality running back, but I see Montgomery as more of an RB3 than an RB2.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Rhamondre Stevenson may have peaked with his 1,040-yard rushing season in 2022. He missed five games in 2023, and his 2024 season was a disappointment. Stevenson averaged a career-low 3.9 yards per carry last season, and his seven fumbles cost him some playing time. Now, the Patriots have added playmaking RB TreVeyon Henderson, a second-round draft pick. A 50/50 workload split might be the best Stevenson investors could hope for in 2025.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
DK Metcalf joins the Steelers as their new No. 1 WR after finishing 2024 as the WR32 (WR33 per game) with 992 yards and a career-low 5 TDs in 15 games. However, before a knee injury in Week 7, Metcalf was off to a scorching start – ranking top-5 in targets, yards, and air yards. Now in Pittsburgh’s run-heavy Arthur Smith offense, target share won’t be an issue, but overall passing volume/efficiency may be. Even with Aaron Rodgers at QB, this offense will have a low pass rate. Metcalf’s fantasy ceiling hinges on red-zone usage and big plays. The opportunity is there, but his 2025 value depends entirely on the Steelers’ offensive competency with the 41-year-old QB under center.
– Andrew Erickson
Chris Olave enters 2025 with more red flags than breakout buzz. Now 25, he’s coming off an injury-riddled 2024 season in which he played just six full games and averaged a disappointing 10 fantasy points per game (WR40). While still efficient on a per-route basis (2.15 YPRR), Olave was out-targeted and out-produced by Rashid Shaheed, who doubled him in air yards and posted more top-12 weekly finishes. Olave has struggled to deliver high-end fantasy weeks throughout his career and now faces even murkier outlooks with shaky QB play likely incoming in New Orleans.
– Andrew Erickson
Chris Godwin has a midrange WR3, which seems unexpectedly affordable for a guy who was WR1 in PPR scoring through the first six weeks of the 2024 season. But Godwin is coming back from a dislocated ankle and fractured fibula, and the Buccaneers have since added first-round draft pick Emeka Egbuka, who, like Godwin, does his best work in the slot. With the likelihood of increased target competition and the possibility that Godwin won’t be at 100% capacity this season post-injury, it might be worth pumping the brakes in 2025 fantasy drafts even though Godwin is a trusted brand name.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
T.J. Hockenson missed seven games in 2024 while recovering from the devastating knee injury he sustained in December 2023. Upon his return, he had 41 catches for 455 yards in 10 games but didn’t score any touchdowns. Hockenson has been a trusted brand name at the TE position, but he’s entering his age-28 season and has missed 26 games over the last four seasons. Hockenson must share targets with Vikings WRs Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison, and those targets will be coming from a quarterback who’s never started an NFL game, top 2023 Minnesota draft pick J.J. McCarthy.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
His first seven NFL seasons were unremarkable, but Jonnu Smith authored a stunning fantasy breakout in Year 8, establishing career highs in targets (111), catches (88), receiving yards (884) and touchdowns (8). Smith finished TE4 in overall PPR fantasy scoring and TE5 in fantasy points per game. Smith went nuclear late in the season, averaging 6.9 catches and 67.1 yards per game from Week 11 on. He scored seven TDs in those eight games and was TE1 in PPR fantasy scoring over that stretch, averaging 18.6 points per game. But a trade in late June sent Smith to the Steelers, where he’ll share TE targets with Pat Freiermuth. That isn’t necessarily a fantasy death sentence, since Steelers OC Arthur Smith loves using his tight ends, and the Steelers don’t have much firepower. Still, it’s hard to see a path for Smith to remain a top-10 fantasy tight end.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Here are our latest Dynasty Draft Rankings from our consensus of fantasy football experts. You can find the latest Dynasty Draft Rankings and sync your fantasy football league for specific advice.
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