Today’s matinee MLB DFS main slate starts at 1:05 p.m. ET at DraftKings and has 10 games. Sadly, FanDuel’s slates are different enough to avoid covering them in this space today. The suggested pick ’em choices from Underdog are also from the 10-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Monday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Hunter Greene pitches in a hitter-friendly home ballpark. Nevertheless, he’s proven up for the challenge. According to FanGraphs, in 120 innings at home since last year, Greene has tallied a 2.85 ERA, 3.73 xFIP, 0.99 WHIP, 8.2 BB% and 31.2 K%. Greene has a difficult matchup but rock-solid betting info today.
The Blue Jays are fifth in wRC+ (112) with a 17.3 K% versus righties and fifth in wRC+ (106) with an 18.2 K% on the road in 2025. Nonetheless, the Reds are listed as -130 favorites, and the game’s total is a palatable 8.5 runs.
Lefty Parker Messick was the 49th-ranked prospect by FanGraphs this year, and he’s succeeded in the minors. The lights haven’t been too bright for him through two starts in the Majors. Messick has the following stats in his first two starts spanning 13.2 innings for the Guardians.
- 0.66 ERA
- 2.85 xERA
- 2.48 xFIP
- 3.09 SIERA
- 0.88 WHIP
- One win
- Two quality starts
- 2.0 BB%
- 24.0 K%
- 12.7 SwStr%
- 35.4 CSW%
- 97 stuff+
- 118 location+
- 118 pitching+
Messick has a middle-of-the-road matchup and acceptable betting info today.
The Red Sox are 10th in wRC+ (104) with a 23.2 K% versus lefties and tied for 15th in wRC+ (103) with a 20.7 K% at home this year. However, Boston was 19th in wRC+ (95) with a 20.8 K% in the previous 30 days. Sadly, the Guardians are slight underdogs (+128). Still, the game’s total of 8.5 runs isn’t terrifying.
Jacob Misiorowski’s below-average control makes him a better fit in GPPs than cash games. Still, he has electrifying stuff and performed at his best at home. In five starts at home spanning 25 innings, the flame-throwing righty has a 2.16 ERA, 2.25 xFIP, 0.92 WHIP, 10.4 BB% and 43.8 K%. The righty’s matchup and betting info are both mixed.
The Phillies are eighth in wRC+ (109) with a 20.0 K% versus righties this season and fifth in wRC+ (118) with a 21.7 K% in the previous 30 days. Yet, Philadelphia is also tied for 22nd in wRC+ (93) with a 21.9 K% on the road this year. Finally, the Brewers are listed as -160 favorites, but the game’s total is a slightly threatening 9.0 runs.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
Everyone in Houston’s projected lineup has posted at least a 103 wRC+ against lefties since 2023 or since reaching The Show, with seven tallying at least a 118 wRC+, four boasting at least a 131 wRC+ and two reaching at least a 150 wRC+. Meanwhile, Yusei Kikuchi is in a rut and has struggled against Houston’s hitters. The Astros can light up the scoreboard today.
- Road (Coors Field)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 11.5 Runs/SF -155
The Giants will get a boost from playing in MLB’s most hitter-friendly ballpark and facing a lousy rookie pitcher. Chase Dollander has a 6.55 ERA, 5.40 xERA, 4.83 xFIP, 4.92 SIERA and 1.60 WHIP in 19 starts this season. Moreover, Dollander has a 9.88 ERA, 5.14 xFIP and 2.02 WHIP in 41 innings at home.
Core Studs
- Rafael Devers has hit 28 homers with 81 runs, 93 RBIs, one stolen base, a .381 OBP, .223 ISO, .372 wOBA and 139 wRC+ in 617 plate appearances this season.
- Willy Adames has recorded a .323 OBP, .205 ISO, .333 wOBA and 113 wRC+ in 1,410 plate appearances against righties since 2023.
- Carlos Correa has ripped 15 round-trippers with a .362 OBP, .210 ISO, .362 wOBA and 134 wRC+ in 344 plate appearances against lefties since 2023.
Value Plays/Punts
- Ramon Urias has hit six homers with a .326 OBP, .134 ISO, .318 wOBA and 105 wRC+ in 310 plate appearances against lefties since 2023.
- Chas McCormick has mashed 11 taters with a .339 OBP, .194 ISO, .347 wOBA and 124 wRC+ in 276 plate appearances against southpaws since 2023.
- Dominic Smith has hit four homers with 23 runs, 28 RBIs, two stolen bases, a .340 OBP, .127 ISO, .327 wOBA and 112 wRC+ in 194 plate appearances this season. He’s an intriguing pivot from Devers for gamers entering multiple teams into GPP contests.
Monday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Matt Olson (1B – ATL): 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher
Matt Olson has recorded 333 hits, a .267 batting average, .378 OBP, .253 ISO, .382 wOBA and 144 wRC+ in 1,476 plate appearances against righties since 2023. He’s produced 142 hits, 77 runs, 77 RBIs, a .269 batting average, .365 OBP, .188 ISO, .357 wOBA and 129 wRC+ in 614 plate appearances this season. Conversely, Colin Rea has yielded 76 hits, a .299 batting average, .366 OBP, .528 SLG and .381 wOBA to 290 left-handed batters this season.
Rafael Devers (1B, 3B, DH – SF): 1.5 Total Bases – Higher
Devers has rattled off a .276 batting average, .534 SLG and .259 ISO in 1,248 plate appearances against right-handed pitching since 2023. He’ll get a lift from Coors Field and from facing Dollander today. Coors Field has park factors of 1.194 for singles, 1.250 for doubles, 1.825 for triples and 1.193 for home runs. In addition, Dollander has coughed up 21 singles, six doubles, one triple, seven homers, a .340 batting average and .621 SLG to 118 left-handed batters faced at home this season.
Willy Adames (SS – SF): 1.5 Total Bases – Higher
Adames will enjoy the same park factors today as Devers. His matchup is sweet as well. Dollander has allowed 20 singles, three doubles, zero triples, three homers, a .342 batting average and .500 SLG to 89 right-handed batters faced at home this season.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
