Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
- Waiver Wire Picks
- Weekly Fantasy Football Expert Rankings
- Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice
- Fantasy Football Trade Tools
Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
Romeo Doubs is the WR35 in fantasy points per game, while leading the Packers with a 20.5% target share with 49.9 receiving yards per game, 1.90 yards per route run, and a 25% first-read share. Doubs is second on the team in red zone targets (ten) and leads the way with ten deep targets (tied). He should lead the way for the Packers’ pass catchers this week. Minnesota has the highest two high rate in the NFL (68.5%). Against two high, Doubs is tied for first on the team with a 24% target per route run rate with 2.03 yards per route run (second on the team). Doubs should also be leaned on by Jordan Love when he’s blitzed. Since Week 10, without Tucker Kraft, Doubs has had a 30% target share when Love has been blitzed. Since Week 7, Minnesota has allowed the third-most PPR points per target and the fifth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Michael Pittman Jr. (WR – IND)
Michael Pittman Jr. is the WR11 in fantasy points per game, seeing a 21% target share with 58 receiving yards per game, 1.90 yards per route run, and a 24.5% first-read share. He’s third on the team with seven red zone targets and second in deep targets (six). There’s more volatility with how the Colts will attack the Chiefs this week after what we saw from them last week than I anticipated. In Weeks 5-10, Kansas City had the ninth-highest single high rate (56%). Last week, they flipped the script and returned to their classic bread and butter as a two-high heavy defense (58.5%). The variations in their coverage structure mean massively different things for their receiving options. If they roll out single-high, I would expect Alec Pierce and Tyler Warren to lead the passing attack. If they continue with more two high this week, Indy will look to feature Josh Downs and Michael Pittman more. Against single high, Pittman is fourth in target per route run rate (20%) on the team with 1.45 yards per route run (fourth). Against two high, Pittman is second on the team with a 24% target per route run rate and leads the squad with 2.32 yards per route run. We’ll see how it all shakes out, but Pittman’s range of outcomes this week is wide. Since Week 7, Kansas City has allowed the seventh-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
Darnell Mooney should operate as the Falcons’ WR1 until Drake London returns (PCL sprain). Mooney has been a ghost for most of the season, but across the last two games, he has had a 25.9% target share, a 37% air-yard share, and a 28.9% first-read share, per Fantasy Points Data. Now, he hasn’t done much with the volume, averaging only 25.5 receiving yards with 0.91 yards per route run, but with this type of volume, Mooney could surprise this week. Since Week 7, New Orleans has ranked 18th in PPR points per target allowed to perimeter wide receivers.
Subscribe: YouTube | Spotify | Apple Podcasts | iHeart | Castbox | Amazon Music | Podcast Addict | TuneIn
If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
