One of the best ways to find value in fantasy football is to target players coming off disappointing seasons. Hitting a home run on a bounce-back candidate can make a major impact on winning a fantasy championship.
With that in mind, we’ll take a look at three players with strong track records who have a suppressed average draft position (ADP) because they were disappointing last season.
- Fantasy Football Research & Advice
- Fantasy Football Expert Rankings
- 2026 Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer
Fantasy Football Bounce-Back Candidates
Each of the players below sports a fourth-round or later fantasy football ADP.
David Montgomery (RB – HOU) | ADP: 50.7 (RB21)
David Montgomery averaged only 9.1 fantasy points per game in half-PPR formats last season (RB33). The veteran running back took more of a backseat to Jahmyr Gibbs in his final season with the Detroit Lions.
Now entering his age-29 season, fantasy managers are a bit cautious in drafting an aging running back. But due to the change in team context, I’m firmly in on Montgomery in 2026.
The Houston Texans traded offensive lineman Juice Scruggs along with a 2026 fourth-round pick and a 2027 seventh-round pick for Montgomery. You rarely see teams trade for a running back these days, so when they do, we have to take notice. It means they clearly coveted the player.
Houston is projected to have one of the best defenses in recent memory. That could put Montgomery in several positive game scripts in which the Texans are trying to chew up the clock to maintain their lead.
Additionally, the Texans clearly want to establish a smash-mouth identity. A power back who can break tackles and wear out opposing defenses like Montgomery fits that bill.
Let’s not forget that the Texans upgraded their offensive line this offseason, bringing in guard Wyatt Teller and tackle Braden Smith. This team wants to run the football.
I wouldn’t worry about Woody Marks, who profiles more as a change-of-pace back. Look for Montgomery to carry the load, en route to 1,000+ yards and 10+ touchdowns.
Terry McLaurin (WR – WSH) | ADP: 54.3 (WR24)
Terry McLaurin averaged only 9.5 fantasy points per game in half-PPR formats last season (WR35). But it was an injury-plagued season for the veteran wideout. Now coming into his age-31 season, there’s a legit chance we see McLaurin get back to his 2024 form, when he scored 13 touchdowns.
What I’m most excited about is the change in scheme. New offensive coordinator David Blough shot through the ranks, to the point where the Lions tried to bring him in as their new play-caller. Blough intends to install a more modern passing game, with Jayden Daniels getting more snaps under center, and McLaurin as the focal point.
While Washington drafted Antonio Williams and is expected to sign Brandon Aiyuk, which will help McLaurin by drawing some defensive attention away from him.
The entire fantasy community seems to have forgotten that the Commanders were one win away from the Super Bowl in Daniels’ rookie season. This is a bounce-back team, with McLaurin as a bounce-back player.
DK Metcalf (WR – PIT) | ADP: 84.7 (WR36)
DK Metcalf averaged 10.5 fantasy points per game in half-PPR formats last season (WR24). This further indicates how much receiver production was down overall, as Metcalf recorded his lowest receiving yards per game (56.7) since his rookie year.
This is another case where we’re getting a change in team context. The Steelers made a significant upgrade at play-caller, replacing Arthur Smith’s vanilla offense with Mike McCarthy. Say what you want about McCarthy as a head coach, but his passing game is consistently good.
The Steelers brought in Michael Pittman Jr., a capable veteran who can be the second option next to Metcalf. That takes away some defensive attention, which could allow Metcalf to get loose downfield more often.
With Aaron Rodgers reunited with his former Packers head coach, I think he’s going to play a lot better this year, especially since it’s his last season in the NFL. That’s likely to mean a bounce-back season for Metcalf.
Don’t be surprised if Metcalf gets back to his 2023 form, when he racked up 1,114 yards and eight touchdowns.
Subscribe: YouTube | Spotify | Apple Podcasts | iHeart | Castbox | Amazon Music | Podcast Addict | TuneIn

