Tuesday’s MLB DFS main slate features 10 games on DraftKings and nine games on FanDuel, with both starting at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Underdog player props are from the same 10 games DraftKings.
Tuesday’s Top MLB DFS Picks & Player Props
Tuesday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings (7/28)
Chris Sale is dialed in. According to FanGraphs, in his last five starts spanning 27 innings, the lefty has recorded the following stats:
- 3 wins
- 3 quality starts
- 2.33 ERA
- 2.26 xERA
- 2.83 xFIP
- 2.70 SIERA
- 1.07 WHIP
- 4.6% walk rate
- 32.1% strikeout rate
- 16.4% SwStr%
- 31.3% CSW%
- 121 stuff+
- 111 location+
- 123 pitching+
Sale’s matchup and betting info are pluses. The Mets are tied for 23rd in wRC+ (91) with a 22.8% strikeout rate versus lefties and tied for 21st in wRC+ (99) with a 21.9% strikeout rate at home in 2026.
New York is tied for 10th in wRC+ (105) with a 22.9% strikeout rate in the previous 30 days, but Juan Soto hit the injured list (IL) on July 25th. The Braves are -160 favorites, and the game’s total is 7.5 runs.
Landen Roupp is quite good in his pitcher-friendly home ballpark. In eight home starts spanning 45 innings this season, Roupp has a 3.80 ERA, 3.41 xFIP, 1.11 WHIP, 9.1% walk rate and 27.4% strikeout rate. He’s allowed two earned runs or fewer in five of his home starts and struck out at least five batters in all eight of his home starts.
Roupp’s matchup isn’t ideal, but his betting info is OK. The Brewers are fourth in wRC+ (110) with a 21.3% strikeout rate versus righties and tied for 12th in wRC+ (99) with a 20.9% strikeout rate on the road this year. Milwaukee is also eighth in wRC+ (109) with a 20.8% strikeout rate in the previous 30 days. The Giants are +120 underdogs, but the game’s total is a pitcher-friendly 7.5 runs.
Taj Bradley has been spinning it lately. In his previous five starts across 31 innings, Bradley has recorded the following numbers:
- 3 wins
- 3 quality starts
- 2.90 ERA
- 3.26 xERA
- 3.31 xFIP
- 3.33 SIERA
- 1.06 WHIP
- 8.9% walk rate
- 30.9% strikeout rate
- 12.2% SwStr%
- 26.7% CSW%
- 112 stuff+
- 96 location+
- 108 pitching+
Bradley has a plus-matchup that should see him keep rolling. The Royals are tied for 20th in wRC+ (96) with a 21.5% strikeout rate versus righties and 25th in wRC+ (87) with a 22.4% strikeout rate on the road this season.
Kansas City is also tied for 18th in wRC+ (97) with a 22.4% strikeout rate in the previous 30 days. The Twins are -160 favorites, but the game’s total is a somewhat eyebrow-raising nine runs.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
Luis Castillo hasn’t done well away from his pitcher-friendly home ballpark. In 50 innings on the road this season, he has a 4.68 ERA, 4.60 xFIP and 1.38 WHIP. The 33-year-old righty has also coughed up an eye-popping .382 wOBA to 139 left-handed batters on the road this season. The Dodgers can erupt tonight. Their left-handed batters and switch-hitters are tantalizing stacking options.
Gage Jump has been smashed in his hitter-friendly home ballpark in his first taste of the Majors. In six home starts, totaling 28.1 innings, Jump has been creamed for a 6.35 ERA, 4.07 xFIP and 1.69 WHIP. He’s allowed a .311 wOBA to 42 left-handed batters at home and a .409 wOBA to 90 right-handed batters at home.
The Athletics are also dead last in bullpen ERA (5.53). Curtis Mead is listed in the projected lineup, but he exited last night with a contusion on his wrist after he was hit by a pitch. His status is uncertain for tonight.
Core Studs
- Shohei Ohtani has belted 22 bombs with 66 runs, 61 RBI, six stolen bases, a .387 on-base percentage (OBP), .239 ISO, .383 wOBA, .405 expected wOBA (xwOBA) and 143 wRC+ in 447 plate appearances this season.
- Max Muncy has crushed 41 homers with a .383 OBP, .246 ISO, .381 wOBA and 145 wRC+ in 809 plate appearances against righties since 2024.
- Willson Contreras has drilled 16 dingers with a .390 OBP, .245 ISO, .390 wOBA and 153 wRC+ in 342 plate appearances against southpaws since 2024.
Value Plays/Punts
- Andruw Monasterio has popped seven homers with a .333 OBP, .203 ISO, .340 wOBA and 117 wRC+ in 201 plate appearances against lefties since 2024.
- Connor Wong has hit six homers with a .361 OBP, .130 ISO, .339 wOBA and 117 wRC+ against lefties since 2024.
- Romy Gonzalez has hit 14 dongs with a .363 OBP, .240 ISO, .384 wOBA and 147 wRC+ in 306 plate appearances against southpaws since 2024.
Tuesday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
In addition to being in a groove, Taj Bradley is sharp at home. In eight home starts spanning 51.2 innings, Bradley has a 3.14 ERA, 3.73 xFIP, 1.05 WHIP, 7.1% walk rate, 27.1% strikeout rate and 57 punchouts. He’s exceeded 6.5 strikeouts in five of those turns.
Byron Buxton has recorded 87 hits, including 25 homers, with 57 runs, 45 RBI, a .264 batting average, .251 expected batting average (xBA), .322 OBP, .283 ISO, .368 wOBA, .349 xwOBA and 137 wRC+ in 360 plate appearances in 2026.
Buxton is a world-beater at home, too. The toolsy outfielder has amassed 45 hits (14 homers), 33 runs, 19 RBI, a .281 batting average, .350 OBP, .325 ISO, .406 wOBA and 162 wRC+ in 177 plate appearances at home this season.
Gage Jump has fallen short of 5.5 strikeouts in precisely half of his six home starts. Two of the games he cleared that threshold were against the Rockies (25.3% strikeout rate) and Angels (26% strikeout rate). They’re 27th and 30th, respectively, in strikeout rate against lefties this season. The Red Sox are tied for fifth in strikeout rate (20.4%) against southpaws in 2026.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
