Josh Shepardson | Tue, Aug 25th 2026, 3:23am EDT

MLB DFS Picks & Underdog Player Props: Tuesday (8/25)

Tuesday’s MLB DFS main slate features 12 games on DraftKings and FanDuel, starting at 7:05 p.m. ET. The Underdog player props are also from those 12 games.

Tuesday’s Top MLB DFS Picks & Player Props

Tuesday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings (8/25)

Gavin Williams (SP – CLE) at Los Angeles Angels

Gavin Williams is in stellar form with an enormous strikeout rate. According to FanGraphs, the righty has logged the following stats in his previous five starts spanning 28.1 innings:

2 wins
1 quality start
3.49 ERA
3.09 xERA
2.51 xFIP
2.53 SIERA
1.02 WHIP
9.7% walk rate
39.8% strikeout rate
16.9% SwStr%
32.4% CSW%
105 stuff+
105 location+
114 pitching+

Williams has a sweet matchup and betting info tonight. The Angels are 28th in wRC+ (91) with a 25.1% strikeout rate versus righties and 30th in wRC+ (77) with a 25.7% strikeout rate at home in 2026.

They are also dead last in wRC+ (72) with a 25.3% strikeout rate in the previous 30 days and 23rd in wRC+ (81) with a 23.7% strikeout rate in the last 14 days. The Guardians are -136 favorites, and the game’s total is 7.5 runs.

Kyle Harrison (SP – MIL) at New York Mets

Kyle Harrison is having a sensational breakout campaign. In 20 starts, totaling 98.1 innings, the lefty has amassed the following marks:

10 wins
6 quality starts
2.84 ERA
3.11 xERA
3.03 xFIP
3.05 SIERA
1.11 WHIP
6.5% walk rate
30.3% strikeout rate
12.9% SwStr%
30.7% CSW%
106 stuff+
114 location+
116 pitching+

Harrison’s matchup is OK, and his betting info is favorable. The Mets are tied for 14th in wRC+ (96) with a 23.2% strikeout rate versus lefties and 24th in wRC+ (98) with a 22.3% strikeout rate at home this year.

However, New York is sixth in wRC+ (108) with a 23.6% strikeout rate in the previous 30 days and 10th in wRC+ (108) with a 22.4% strikeout rate in the last 14 days. Still, the Brewers are -162 favorites, and the game’s total is 7.5 runs.

Aaron Nola (SP – PHI) at Seattle Mariners

Aaron Nola‘s best work is a distant memory, but he’s channeled that pitcher lately. In his last five starts spanning 28.2 innings, he’s whipped up the following numbers:

2 wins
2 quality starts
2.51 ERA
3.66 xERA
3.29 xFIP
3.42 SIERA
1.29 WHIP
8.5% walk rate
28.8% strikeout rate
12.8% SwStr%
29.1% CSW%
100 stuff+
106 location+
106 pitching+

Nola’s matchup isn’t anything special, and his betting info is fine. The Mariners are tied for eighth in wRC+ (105) with a 22.5% strikeout rate versus righties and tied for 12th in wRC+ (105) with a 23.6% strikeout rate at home this season.

Seattle is also tied for 13th in wRC+ (97) with a 23.4% strikeout rate in the previous 30 days and tied for 13th in wRC+ (104) with a 24.2% strikeout rate in the last 14 days. The Phillies are slight underdogs (EVEN), but the game’s total is a pitcher-friendly 7.5 runs.

Suggested Lineup Stacks

Home (Yankee Stadium )
Game Total/Moneyline: 9.0 Runs/NYY -140

Ethan Pecko is making only his second start in the Majors after tallying a 4.94 ERA, 4.68 xERA and 4.73 xFIP in 15 starts and two relief appearances in Triple-A this season.

Pecko lasted 3.2 innings in his MLB debut, allowing two runs on three hits, with walks and one hit batsman. The Yankees can rough him up tonight.

Road (Sutter Health Park)
Game Total/Moneyline: 9.5 Runs/MIN -150

The Twins have a mouthwatering matchup against another lefty who struggles at hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park. In nine home starts spanning 43.1 innings in Gage Jump‘s rookie season, he has a 6.02 ERA, 4.52 xFIP and 1.66 WHIP.

Gage has allowed a .310 wOBA to 62 left-handed batters and a .377 wOBA to 136 right-handed batters at home. The A’s also have MLB’s worst bullpen, which is another boost to Minnesota’s offensive outlook tonight.

Core Studs

Luis Garcia Jr. has smacked 26 home runs with 54 runs, 82 RBI, four stolen bases, a .312 on-base percentage (OBP), .265 ISO, .363 wOBA, .351 xwOBA and 131 wRC+ in 443 plate appearances this season.
Ryan Jeffers has hit 13 homers with a .401 OBP, .185 ISO, .381 wOBA and 148 wRC+ in 384 plate appearances against southpaws since 2024.
Byron Buxton has drilled 25 dingers with 65 runs, 46 RBI, seven stolen bases, a .321 OBP, .259 ISO, .357 wOBA and 130 wRC+ in 405 plate appearances in 2026.

Value Plays/Punts

Kaelen Culpepper rattled off four hits in five plate appearances last night. The rookie shortstop has hit two homers with six runs, four RBI, a .382 OBP, .140 ISO, .376 wOBA and 143 wRC+ in 55 plate appearances in his first opportunity in the Majors.
Spencer Jones was overwhelmed in his first shot at the Majors earlier this year, and even with a demotion mixed in, he’s performed much better since that first opportunity. In 151 plate appearances since June 5th, Jone has hit seven homers with 20 runs, 20 RBI, seven stolen bases, a .325 OBP, .230 ISO, .344 wOBA, .329 xwOBA and 123 wRC+.
Donovan Walton has mashed four taters with 29 runs, 18 RBIs, two stolen bases, a .374 OBP, .165 ISO, .362 wOBA and 132 wRC+ in 184 plate appearances this season.

Tuesday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props

Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet

Max Scherzer (SP – TOR): 15.5 Outs Recorded — Lower

Max Scherzer has had a dreadful season. He’s responsible for a 7.40 ERA, 4.69 xERA, 5.58 xFIP and 5.31 SIERA in 11 starts.

Scherzer also has an 8.33 ERA and 5.53 xFIP in seven home starts, totaling only 27 innings. He’s recorded fewer than 15.5 outs in seven of his 11 starts this season, including five out of seven at home.

Gage Jump (SP – ATH): 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed — Higher

As noted above, Gage Jump has been a disaster at home. He’s allowed more than 2.5 earned runs in seven out of nine home tilts.

Ryan Jeffers (C – MIN): 7.5 Fantasy Points — Higher

Ryan Jeffers‘ excellence against lefties was established above. However, he’s also having a superb year at the dish. In 273 plate appearances this season, Jeffers has hit 10 homers with 41 runs, 42 RBI, one stolen base, a .281 batting average, .388 OBP, .203 ISO, .381 wOBA and 146 wRC+.

Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.

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