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Robert Graves

Robert Graves



Statistician who spends way too much time looking for edges and advantages outside of traditional advanced stats. If you're looking for a unique perspective on fantasy sports and sports betting that has proven consistently successful, check out and try to make sense of my incoherent ramblings

Articles From Robert
Fantasy Baseball By the Numbers: Gleyber Torres, Corey Seager, Bo Bichette photo

Hear me out. Counting stats like OPS and WHIP have been correctly accepted as affecting fantasy baseball projections. There is demonstrable proof that statistics like these can relatively predict a fantasy baseball player’s success rate. All of that makes perfect … read more »

by Robert Graves in Fantasy2 wks ago
Fantasy Baseball By The Numbers: Kyle Schwarber, Shohei Ohtani, Paul Goldschmidt photo

There is way too much positivity in fantasy baseball analysis. It sickens me. Everyone is going to bounce back, everyone is unlucky and everyone who is doing poorly will have “positive regression” (Don’t get me started on “positive regression”. Regression … read more »

by Robert Graves in Fantasy3 wks ago
Fantasy Baseball by the Numbers: Joey Gallo, Riley Greene, Elly De La Cruz photo

Welcome back to fantasy baseball by the numbers! Where to start, where to start. A few good options: Matt Waldron (SP – SD) is bringing back the knuckleball, and I am on board for it. Elly De La Cruz (SS – … read more »

by Robert Graves in Fantasy4 wks ago
By the Numbers: Luis Castillo, Zack Wheeler, Marcell Ozuna (2024 Fantasy Baseball) photo

There was once a show on VH1 called “Where Are They Now.” In it, VH1 would follow burned-out celebrities to give an idea of how their life is going. It was entertaining, and they absolutely need to bring it back, … read more »

by Robert Graves in FantasyThu, Apr 18
Fantasy Baseball by the Numbers: Yordan Alvarez, Luis Gil, Bobby Witt Jr. photo

Now that we are two weeks into the season – as I suggested last week – people are starting to care more about stats. My reach is no doubt becoming global. But numbers can be deceiving, and content creators will … read more »

by Robert Graves in FantasyWed, Apr 10
Fantasy Baseball By the Numbers: Pete Alonso, Aaron Judge, Clarke Schmidt, Bobby Witt Jr. photo

Most smart fantasy baseball managers understand not to overreact to the first week of the season. “It’s been two starts, dude. It’s been 25 at-bats, my guy, chill.” Still, there is undeniably a small percentage of managers out there who … read more »

by Robert Graves in FantasyWed, Apr 3
Fantasy Baseball Draft ADP vs. Expert Rankings (2024) photo

FantasyPros offers fantasy baseball draft rankings from experts across the industry to create Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR), and they have asked me to go through all of them to find outliers compared to the average draft position (ADP). While no … read more »

by Robert Graves in FantasySun, Mar 24
Fantasy Baseball Salary Cap Draft Strategy: Stars & Scrubs (2024) photo

An auction draft is comparable to you and your friends being locked in a room with a bunch of unscratched lottery tickets and everyone has a fair chance to get the tickets they feel are best. Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft … read more »

by Robert Graves in FantasySun, Mar 17
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