FanDuel MLB Lineup Advice: Monday (7/17)
12 games greet us as we head into the back half of July, and it’s shaping up to be a solid one for fantasy purposes. There is a series kicking off in Denver, so identifying some value will be crucial if you want to get some exposure to not only Coors Field, but some other positive scoring environments that are available. Let’s take a look at a tournament lineup for FanDuel.
***Game Theory Note: This lineup suggestion features a game stack in Atlanta, utilizing players from both squads. This increases the risk even more, but I think it’s one worth taking if you are entering multiple lineups. I also don’t think it’s a bad idea to have a hedge lineup featuring either pitcher, especially Julio Teheran, who has logged two straight strong outings, albeit on the road (he’s been awful at home this season). ***
For reference throughout the season, be sure to bookmark our overview of MLB Park Factors and how to Use Weather to Your Advantage in MLB DFS. Also, check out our GPP and Cash Games Primers to learn more about different daily fantasy game types specific to MLB.
Eduardo Rodriguez (BOS): $8,600 vs. TOR
Rodriguez returns from the disabled list to face a Toronto squad who ranks in the middle of the pack against left-handed pitching. The Blue Jays strike out right around league average against lefties, so I don’t mind targeting Rodriguez in tournaments. Walks are a bit of a concern for Rodriguez (3/1 BB/9), but he does have strikeout upside (9.59 K/9), and he flashed that upside in his last rehab start. The Blue Jays do show patience at the plate in terms of walks, but the power continues to lack, so I don’t mind rolling the dice with Rodriguez in tournaments.
- Jon Lester (CHC): $9,500 @ ATL (GPP)
- Lance McCullers (HOU): $9,100 vs. SEA
- Adam Wainwright (STL): $8,400 @ NYM (GPP)
- Julio Teheran (ATL): $7,800 vs. CHC (risky GPP; hedge play; only if entering multiple lineups)
Evan Gattis (HOU) : $2,700 vs. SEA
With a lefty on the hill for Seattle, I’d look for Gattis to find his way into the lineup tonight against Ariel Miranda. While Miranda has allowed a .304 wOBA to right-handed hitters, it’s the power we’re targeting here, which just happens to be Gattis’ strong suit. Miranda has allowed 18 home runs to right-handed hitters in 85 IP this season, which simply isn’t good. The Astros have an implied run total in the mid-5s, and with Gattis having a solid history against left-handed pitching (.219 ISO since 2015), he makes for a strong option tonight.
- Willson Contreras (CHC): $3,600 @ ATL (GPP)
- Gary Sanchez (NYY): $3,400 @ MIN
- Welington Castillo (BAL): $2,600 vs. TEX (GPP)
Anthony Rizzo (CHC) : $4,100 @ ATL
Julio Teheran has not made a smooth transition to Atlanta’s new park, as evidenced by his 7.58 ERA at home this season. His wOBA at home is .384, and his xFIP is still an unsightly 5.56, which is definitely troubling. To further the case for using Rizzo, Teheran continues to struggle with lefties, as he’s allowed a .343 wOBA and 12 home runs in 57.1 IP. This comes on the heels of a 36.1% hard contact rate, so unless he gets things turned around, he could be in some trouble against a slugger like Rizzo, who has hit a home run in two straight games.
- Miguel Cabrera (DET): $4,000 @ KC
- Mark Reynolds (COL): $3,700 vs. SD (GPP)
- Edwin Encarnacion (CLE): $3,700 @ SF (GPP)
- Justin Bour (MIA): $3,400 vs. PHI (GPP)
Brandon Phillips (ATL) : $2,900 vs. CHC
Phillips is making the decision of whether or not to trade him very difficult for his hometown team, and he sticks out as a decent value tonight. Jon Lester has not fared well against right-handed hitters this season, as he’s allowed a .353 wOBA and 14 home runs in 80.2 IP. This is an important series for both squads, and the start of a crucial stretch for the Braves, so I look for their wily veteran leader to continue his recent stretch of strong play.
- Jose Altuve (HOU): $4,400 vs. SEA
- Rougned Odor (TEX): $3,200 @ BAL (GPP)
- Jonathan Villar (MIL): $3,200 @ PIT (GPP)
- Ian Kinsler (DET): $3,100 @ KC (GPP)
Freddie Freeman (ATL) : $3,800 vs. CHC
Freeman’s price is borderline criminal here, regardless of the lefty/lefty matchup. He is no slouch against left-handed pitching, as evidenced by his .363 wOBA/.185 ISO since 2015. I am also hoping that Freeman’s ownership levels are down a bit due to him facing a lefty, but unfortunately, his price could offset some of that.
- Nolan Arenado (COL): $4,600 vs. SD
- Jose Ramirez (CLE): $4,000 @ SF (GPP)
- Kris Bryant (CHC): $3,600 @ ATL (GPP)
- Manny Machado (BAL): $3,500 vs. TEX
- Mike Moustakas (KC): $3,200 vs. DET
Carlos Correa (HOU) : $4,200 vs. SEA
I picked on Ariel Miranda earlier, while highlighting his issues with right-handed power, so it makes sense to get exposure to him where you can. Correa and the Astros continue to roll, and I expect more of the same tonight at home. Correa sports a .216 ISO and a .369 wOBA against lefties over the past couple of seasons, and it’s tough not to love his upside as a result.
- Trevor Story (COL): $3,600 vs. SD (GPP)
- Xander Bogaerts (BOS): $3,300 vs. TOR
- Francisco Lindor (CLE): $3,200 @ SF (GPP)
- Johan Camargo (ATL): $2,900 vs. CHC (if he plays; GPP)
Ian Happ (CHC) : $3,200 @ ATL
Happ and the Cubs are coming off of a strong weekend in Baltimore, and they will look to continue their recent success in Atlanta tonight. Happ is big power upside, and he figures to see plenty of chances to produce tonight in a good matchup.
Kyle Schwarber (CHC) : $2,700 @ ATL
Schwarber is a boom or bust option, but there’s no denying his power potential. SunTrust Park has proved to be favorable for left-handed hitters this point, and with Julio Teheran’s much-maligned issues not only at home but also against lefties, I think this is a good spot to target the volatile outfielder.
Matt Kemp (ATL): $2,800 vs. CHC
Back to Atlanta we go, where Kemp will look to build upon a strong weekend performance against the Diamondbacks. Kemp logged four hits in 12 at-bats against Arizona, including home runs yesterday and four runs batted in during that span. He will hold the platoon advantage over Jon Lester, who I noted earlier has really struggled with right-handed hitters this season. I wouldn’t risk it in cash games, but Kemp is a fine tournament play, or as part of an Atlanta stack.
- Charlie Blackmon (COL): $4,800 vs. SD
- Aaron Judge (NYY): $4,800 @ MIN (GPP)
- George Springer (HOU): $4,300 vs. SEA
- J.D. Martinez (DET): $3,900 @ KC (GPP)
- Domingo Santana (MIL): $3,700 @ PIT (GPP)
- Manuel Margot (SD): $3,600 @ COL (GPP)
- Gerardo Parra (COL): $3,600 vs. SD/Ian Desmond (COL): $3,400 vs. SD
- Lorenzo Cain (KC): $3,200 vs. DET
- SP – Eduardo Rodriguez (BOS): $8,600 vs. TOR
- C – Evan Gattis (HOU): $2,700 vs. SEA
- 1B – Anthony Rizzo (CHC): $4,100 @ ATL
- 2B – Brandon Phillips (ATL): $2,900 vs. CHC
- 3B – Freddie Freeman (ATL): $3,800 vs. CHC
- SS – Carlos Correa (HOU): $4,200 vs. SEA
- OF – Ian Happ (CHC): $3,200 @ ATL
- OF – Matt Kemp (ATL): $2,800 vs. CHC
- OF – Kyle Schwarber (CHC): $2,700 @ ATL