NBA fans saw a rare performance this week. Hornets All-Star point guard Kemba Walker dropped 60 points against the Sixers on Nov. 17. Since 2013, there have only been seven instances of a player scoring 60 or more in a game. Walker followed it up with a 43 point performance two nights later against the Boston Celtics. It was two outstanding games from a proven player, but now is the time to trade him away in fantasy basketball. Fantasy managers love massive statistical evenings. Klay Thompson had a 60-point game in Dec. 2016 and there was a frenzy to secure his services for the rest of the season. Couple that with the fact that Walker is performing above what anyone expected and fans have the perfect sell high cocktail. Walker is averaging an NBA leading 29.6 points per game, which is a full 6.4 above his previous career high. He is shooting 46.5 percent from the field after averaging 43.4 percent over the last three seasons. Kemba is also matching his career-highs in rebounds and assists. That all goes without mentioning his insane 4.1 3-pointers made per game so far. The 3-point percentage is sustainable, but he likely does not continue to knock them down at that volume. Kemba Walker is performing like a top-ten player but should fall near his draft day value (ADP of 22) by season’s end. Try to trade up for a Damian Lillard, Ben Simmons or Kawhi Leonard who are all currently ranked behind Kemba.
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Buy
Here are two additional players to target to help managers win their fantasy basketball leagues.
Nikola Vucevic (ORL)
The story of Vucevic’s first 18 games this season is similar to Kemba Walker‘s. Vucevic is averaging career-highs in points (20.0), rebounds (11.2), assists (3.6), steals (1.1), blocks (1.1), 3-pointers made (1.1), field goal percentage (55.4 percent), 3-point percentage (42.2 percent), and free throw percentage (82.0 percent). Yes, that is every fantasy category except turnovers where he is naturally averaging his most at 2.2 per game. Vucevic is producing all that in just 30.7 minutes a night. So much of that production is unsustainable so why buy? For Vucevic perception drives the narrative. His ADP was 47 despite finishing inside the top-35 in three of the last four years. The Magic drafted Mohamed Bamba, and fantasy players are expecting a trade to a lesser situation for Vucevic. Except Orlando is 9-9 and fighting for a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. They are going to want to make the postseason for the first time since 2012. Vucevic is their best player and will be a key to them making that run. The rumors of a Vucevic trade have also spread for the last two seasons, and it never came about. He is producing like a top-20 player so far. That likely falls off to around 35, but buy him with confidence at his draft day value or slightly above.
Gordon Hayward (BOS)
Hayward is rounding into form after missing all of last season with that freak leg injury. His numbers over the last six games are trending upward. Hayward is averaging 10.5 points, 6.2 rebounds, 4.0 assists, 2.3 steals, and 0.8 3-pointers made in 31.3 minutes per game. The field goal and 3-point percentages have still yet to bounce back, but slowly things are getting there. Fantasy managers with Hayward on their team remain panicked, though. He is averaging less than ten points per game on the season and shooting under 40 percent from the field. For a player that was drafted in the top-50 (ADP of 41) that is enough to make your stomach a bit queasy. Now is the time to strike and secure Gordon Hayward‘s services. He is only going to get better. Buy Hayward at a discounted rate (Anyone outside the top-60) and enjoy the benefits the rest of the season.
Sell
Here are two players fantasy managers should sell because their value may never be higher.
Blake Griffin (DET)
Griffin marks a third player in the article in the midst of a career year if he can sustain his production. He is averaging 24.3 points, 10.4 rebounds, 4.9 assists, 2.1 3-pointers made, 0.9 steals, 0.6 blocks, and 3.6 turnovers per game. Griffin is not going to continue shooting 47.1 percent from the field or 37.0 percent on 3-pointers, though. Blake had an ADP of 34 but is performing like a top-25 player after 14 games. Add his injury history to the likely unsustainable production and now is the time to trade Griffin. Look to secure a more stable asset. Over the last four seasons, he averages 55.25 games played. That is not enough. Target a player like Devin Booker, Bradley Beal, Rudy Gobert, Ben Simmons, or Donovan Mitchell and enjoy winning that trade.
Aaron Gordon (ORL)
Putting a 23-year-old Gordon on this list is a bit of a risk. He could legitimately be getting better and prove me wrong. With that said, Gordon is performing below his ADP of 46 and has some unsustainable shooting percentages. He will not continue to shoot 48.5 percent from the field or 37.7 percent on 3-pointers. Drops in percentages mean decreases in points and 3-pointers made. Gordon also hurts managers free throw percentage with his 69.7 career connect rate. He likely finishes outside the top-60, but the unsustainable percentages and current hot form are propping him up enough to sell near his draft day price. Target Eric Bledsoe, Mike Conley, Jayson Tatum, or teammate Nikola Vucevic and reap the benefits of that winning swap.
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Tyler Watts is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Tyler, follow him @tylerpwatts
