DraftKings DFS NBA Strategy Advice: Tuesday (8/25)
After the Raptors and Celtics took care of business Sunday, we only have two series remaining on Tuesday’s slate, and one of those could come to a close tonight with Utah up 3-1 over Denver. Most of the value plays on this slate come from the Clippers/Mavs series, which has been as good as advertised and then some. As always, I’ll be naming some bargain options as well as studs to spend on and notable players to fade. Unfortunately, we don’t get an entire day of basketball, but these two matchups should make up for that missed action. Thanks for reading, and best of luck with your lineups!
|Landry Shamet (LAC)||DAL||$3,600||⭐⭐⭐⭐||High|
|Jordan Clarkson (UTA)||DEN||$5,200||⭐⭐⭐||Low|
- With Patrick Beverley still ailing, Shamet has averaged 21 DK points over 25 minutes across his last two contests. You’ll need to save some money on the two-game slate, so Shamet is a great option given his salary and projected minutes.
- Clarkson has averaged just over 30 DK points in four games against Denver in the postseason, and he should be in line for plenty of offense off the bench in a potential closeout tonight.
|Seth Curry (DAL)||LAC||$4,600||⭐⭐||Medium|
|Lou Williams (LAC)||DAL||$6,400||⭐⭐⭐⭐||Low|
- If you’re looking for a bargain, Curry is your man. He’s averaged over 30 minutes per contest in four matchups with the Clippers, and opportunity is king in the world of DFS. If he gets hot from the floor, his value could far exceed his price tag.
- Lemon Pepper Lou went off for 50.5 DK points in Sunday’s OT loss, and he’s likely to stay heavily involved on offense as the Clippers battle Dallas in a tied first-round series that has been chock full of offense.
|Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL)||LAC||$4,800||⭐⭐||Medium|
|Marcus Morris (LAC)||DAL||$5,600||⭐⭐⭐⭐||Low|
- Finney-Smith comes in at a bargain price of just $4.8K after averaging 28.3 DK points across his last two outings and seeing the court for at least 30 minutes in all four playoff matchups.
- Morris struggled with his shot in Sunday’s loss (despite hitting a big-time three late in the game) and came away with his lowest DK point total of the playoffs. He’s only $5,600 and averaged almost 33 DK points through his first three matchups with Dallas.
|Royce O’Neale (UTA)||DEN||$4,500||⭐⭐⭐||High|
|Jerami Grant (DEN)||UTA||$4,700||⭐⭐||High|
- O’Neale is a risky proposition, but he’s averaged 33 minutes in the playoffs and is an on-court fixture for a rolling Utah team. He’s put in some low-scoring efforts while displaying 40-point upside in Game 2. I’ll take a dart-throw on O’Neale here.
- Grant drew the start in Sunday’s Game 4 and played 36 minutes. He turned in a sub-20 DK point performance, but he’s got plenty of upside in this starting lineup as he showed during the regular season.
|Ivica Zubac (LAC)||DAL||$4,300||⭐⭐⭐⭐||Medium|
|Maxi Kleber (DEN)||LAC||$4,200||⭐⭐||Medium|
- Montrezl Harrell is still working his way back into regular-season form, while Zubac continues to play well in the starting lineup. He’s scored at least 21.5 DK points in three of four playoff games and is worth a look at $4.3K.
- We can pivot to Kleber at just $4.2K, as he’s averaged nearly 35 minutes per game through Dallas’ four playoff contests thus far. The upside isn’t tremendous, but he’s exceeded value (5x) twice in that span.
Studs Worth Their Salary
- Luka Doncic (DAL) $11,000: After an electrifying performance Sunday afternoon where he drained a buzzer-beater in OT to cap off a huge triple-double, you can’t fade Doncic. He’s on another level right now.
- Kawhi Leonard (LAC) $10,000: Leonard has scored at least 53 DK points in all of his playoff matchups, and he’ll be expected to carry another heavy offensive load in tonight’s crucial Game 5.
Notable Players to Fade
- Donovan Mitchell (UTA) $9,700: His price has crept too far up for my liking, and while he offers slate-winning upside, he’s sandwiched two average performances with two incredible ones. I’d rather pivot to Jamal Murray ($8K) who is nearly $2K cheaper.
- Kristaps Porzingis (DAL) $9,100: KP sat Sunday and is a game-time call tonight. Even if he gives it a go, he’ll likely be at far less than 100%, and I’d rather spend that large sum of money elsewhere.
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