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FanDuel DFS NBA Strategy: Sunday (12/27)

Dec 27, 2020

Dejounte Murray looked like a star in the opener.

The first week of the NBA season has been fascinating thus far and we’re finally getting a grasp of what these rotations will look like. What we do have here is the first night of back-to-backs. We do have a handful of teams that played on Saturday suiting up for today’s slate and that’s inevitably going to lead to some resting and ultimately, some value. That sort of stuff is hard to predict right now but it means that you need to keep an eye on updates in order to find cheap guys to build around.

If you have any comments or questions, reach me on Twitter @Bartilottajoel

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Point Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Stephen Curry (GS) at CHI $8,300 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Dejounte Murray (SAN) at NOP $7,300 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Markelle Fultz (ORL) at WAS $5,900 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 

  • Curry and the Warriors have gotten off to a slow start but this is a great bounceback spot for the former MVP. We’ll discuss that more later.
  • Murray looked like a star in the opener and it appears he’s going to play a much bigger role for the Spurs this year. We love that against an up-tempo Pelicans team.
  • Fultz never amazes in the stat sheet but his stat-stuffing ways are very intriguing against a Wizards team who had the worst defense in the NBA last season.

Shooting Guard

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Zach LaVine (CHI) vs. GS $7,000 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Eric Bledsoe (NOP) vs. SAN $5,600 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Donte DiVincenzo (MIL) at NYK $4,900 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 

  • The Warriors have been the worst defense the first two games and that’s bad news against a stud like LaVine.
  • Bledsoe is simply too cheap, as he could easily provide 30-40 FanDuel points. That’d make him a huge value at this price tag.
  • DD has earned a starting role for the Bucks, averaging 26 FD points per game in his first two fixtures.

Small Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
DeMar DeRozan (SAN) at NOP $8,100 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Gordon Hayward (CHA) vs. BRK $7,200 ⭐⭐⭐ Low
Kelly Oubre Jr. (GS) at CHI $6,000 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 

  • DeRozan flirted with a triple-double in the opener and could be another great option for San Antonio against this poor defense.
  • Hayward signed with Charlotte to be the man and 28 points, four rebounds and seven assists in the opener would indicate that he’s just that.
  • Oubre has been terrible the first two games but the usage is still there. That’s great news with his price tag dropping and this great matchup against Chicago.

Power Forward

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) at NYK $11,500 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Lauri Markkanen (CHI) vs. GS $6,400 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Medium
Larry Nance Jr. (CLE) vs. PHI $6,500 ⭐⭐⭐ Medium

 

  • Giannis is probably the best pure points play on the board and we’ll discuss that in the studs section.
  • We love the Bulls against this putrid Warriors defense and that includes a cheap Markkanen.
  • With Kevin Love possibly sitting in the second half of a back-to-back, Nance could start and play 30 minutes in his spot.

Center

NAME (TEAM) OPPONENT PRICE MATCHUP RISK
Nikola Vucevic (ORL) at WAS $8,299 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Low
Wendell Carter (CHI) vs. GS $4,900 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ High
Bismack Biyombo (CHA) vs. BRK $4,500 ⭐⭐⭐ High

 

  • Vooch wrecked Washington last season, averaging over 50 FD points per game in three matchups against them.
  • Carter is probably the best value against this bad Warriors defense and would be one of the best values out there if he provides the double-double that I anticipate.
  • Biyombo is now the starter with Cody Zeller injured and he provided 25 FanDuel points per game in this role last season.

5 Studs Worth Their Salary

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL ($11,500): Giannis is off to a “slow start” with his 48 fantasy points per game but a matchup with the Knicks in Madison Square Garden is the thing that can get him going. In his last game at MSG, Antetokounmpo recorded a triple-double in just 26 minutes of action.
  • Anthony Davis, LAL ($10,600): Davis could wreak havoc on a defensively-inept Karl-Anthony Towns. Against him last season, Davis provided 50 points, seven rebounds, six assists and four steals in one of the best games of his career.
  • Joel Embiid, PHI ($9,900): Embiid was a monster in the preseason and a 29-point, 14-rebound gem in the opener makes him one of the best options out there. We love the matchup against a Cleveland team who had one of the worst defenses in the NBA last season. Don’t forget about Embiid’s rivalry with Andre Drummond too.
  • Stephen Curry, GS ($8,400): Blowouts have limited Curry’s production in the first two games but this matchup against the Bulls is expected to be close. That’s all you can ask for with Curry averaging 38 FanDuel points per game in fewer than 30 minutes of action thus far.
  • Zach LaVine, CHI ($7,000): The Warriors have been the worst defense in the league the first two games of the season and LaVine could exploit them after a breakout 2019 season. He averaged 25.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game last year and that sort of line looks like the floor in such a tasty matchup.

5 Notable Players to Fade

  • Bradley Beal, WAS ($8,500): Russell Westbrook had a 32.3 percent usage rate in the opener and his presence really scares me off of Beal. We also hate the matchup against a slow, stingy Orlando defense.
  • Julius Randle, NYK ($7,500): Randle looked incredible in the opener but there’s serious blowout potential in this game and he’ll likely have to match up with Giannis.
  • Chris Paul, PHX ($6,800): Paul conceded to Devin Booker and Deandre Ayton in the opener and he could be in for one of his worst statistical seasons ever.
  • Kevin Love, CLE ($6,500): Love made his debut on Saturday and it’s very possible he sits here in the second half of a back-to-back set.
  • T.J. Warren, IND ($5,300): Warren was a monster in the bubble but he clearly looks hampered by his plantar fascia right now. We also hate the matchup against a stout Boston defense and the fact that Warren is playing a B2B.

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Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Joel, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.

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