DraftKings NFL Lineup Advice: 2021 Conference Championships (Full Slate)
This is my last NFL article of the season! It’s been an amazing run up until this point, and it’s astonishing we got here without too many hiccups. We’ve had our fair share of duds, but I’m overall happy with how our recommendations have performed all season long. I just want to thank all of you for reading throughout the year, and I hope I made you some money! With all that in mind, let’s get into these Conference Championships!
If you have any comments or questions, reach me on Twitter @Bartilottajoel.
Quarterback of the Week
Josh Allen (BUF) $6,900 at KC
We’ve been riding this guy a lot recently, and it’s silly to hop off the train when it’s rolling like this. While this might surprise you, Allen and Patrick Mahomes are actually tied with 26.9 DraftKings points per game for the season. Allen has actually been the better quarterback recently, scoring at least 35 DK points in three of the last four full games (excluding Week 17). That’s an absurd total, and one has to believe he’ll be throwing the ball a ton with the offensive powerhouse the Chiefs possess. If he’s playing catch-up, look for Allen to throw the ball 40-plus times, which is actually approaching his average over the last nine weeks. The Chiefs certainly haven’t been slowing down opposing quarterbacks either, owning a 27th OPRK against them this season.
Cash Game Running Back
Leonard Fournette (TB) $5,300 at GB
There really isn’t a good cash game running back on this slate, but Fournette is probably the guy. We say that because he’s been the go-to back in Tampa Bay, and Green Bay’s run defense is the only bad one on this slate. In fact, the Packers own a 25th OPRK against opposing running backs, which is amazing since they’ve been up in so many games. That’s good news for a guy who’s got at least 21 DK points in the first two playoff games this season. We love that he has at least 17 carries and at least four catches in each game, too, solidifying his role as the go-to back.
GPP Running Back
Darrel Williams (KC) $4,800 vs. BUF
If Clyde Edwards-Helaire sits this game out, Williams is the best option on the slate. In the last game without him, Williams had 13 carries for 78 rushing yards and four receptions. That equates to 13.4 DK points, which is a marvelous total from a guy who didn’t even score a touchdown. It’s even harder to believe when you see that Williams is still below $5,000, and we love that Le’Veon Bell had just two carries and no catches in that game too. The game script is also good for Williams, with the Chiefs entering this game as a favorite and the total sitting at a monstrous 53 points.
Cash Game Wide Receiver
Stefon Diggs (BUF) $7,000 at KC
We’ve ridden this Allen-Diggs combo throughout the postseason, and we’re going right back to the well. The simple fact is, Diggs is arguably the best wideout left in the playoffs. Many would argue that it’s Tyreke Hill or Davante Adams, but Diggs leading the NFL in targets, receptions, and receiving yards would indicate otherwise. That has led to some monster fantasy production, with Diggs scoring at least 27 DraftKings points in five of his last six games. What makes that even more incredible is that the one time he didn’t reach 27 was Week 17, in which he sat out the second half! So, with this being the game we want to stack, Diggs is impossible to avoid.
GPP Wide Receiver
Allen Lazard (GB) $4,200 vs. TB
People in the fantasy industry have known that Lazard is the second-best wide receiver in Green Bay all season long, and it finally showed last week. He actually finished that game with 20 DraftKings points, playing in 72 percent of the team snaps. That’s way more than Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Equanimeous St. Brown, proving that he’s the go-to number-two on this team. That snap share led to him receiving eight targets as well, and one has to believe that’s a strong possibility again in this must-win game. The matchup is the icing on the cake, though, with Tampa Bay surrendering the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. All of that makes this price tag mind-boggling, and it makes Lazard one of the best values out there.
Tight End of the Week
Travis Kelce (KC) $8,000 vs. BUF
We’ve already saved a ton of salary with guys like Williams and Lazard, so let’s just ride the best tight end in football. Kelce is usually the best option on a full 12-game slate, but he’s an easy pick with just four teams in play. The biggest reason we want to use him is his competition. Rob Gronkowski and Robert Tonyan are the only other guys you can even consider at tight end, and both of those players have huge red flags. That means we’re just going to ride the guy who’s averaging 23 DraftKings points per game, which is 10 points higher than any tight end on this slate. Kelce has been rolling recently, too, scoring at least 23 fantasy points in eight of his last nine games. If you needed any more incentive (which you don’t), Buffalo surrenders the second-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this year.
D/ST of the Week
Tampa Bay Buccaneers $2,700 at GB
Picking a D/ST in the Conference Championships is like throwing at a dartboard blind. We have four of the best offenses in the NFL and four average defenses. That means we’re just going to go with the cheapest one and save some salary for the positions that matter. We say that because no D/ST is likely to score more than 10 DK points, making the position almost meaningless. If you can just save a few extra bucks to move up at another position, your upside is so much greater. Tampa is not some bum either, ranked sixth in yards allowed, eighth in points surrendered, and first in rush defense.
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