FanDuel NFL DFS Value Plays: Super Bowl LV (2021)
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One game contests are some of the hardest contests to find value because sometimes you are literally just hoping some random player scores a touchdown. The Super Bowl is probably even harder to predict as teams like to rely heavily on their superstars. With that said, there are a few players I think are underpriced and could be the difference-maker between barely cashing and taking down a tournament. Good luck, and I’ll see you next year.
Mecole Hardman (KC) $7,500 @ TB
Hardman is probably going to be the chalk value in this game coming off his two-touchdown game two weeks ago, but he will be the chalk for good reason. He is a big play waiting to happen, and big plays are what you need to win in a single-game format. The Bucs secondary ranks high in DvP, but some of that is because they have such a good pass rush, we saw in the game against the Washington Football Team, this Bucs secondary can be beat. If Mahomes is able to do “Mahomes-things” and give his receivers some time to get down the field, Hardman could be the benefactor of a big play.
Rob Gronkowski (TB) $6,500 vs. KC
These are Gronk’s numbers in his last three Super Bowls; 21 receptions, 271 yards and three TDs. Of course, all three of those were played with Tom Brady under center who trusts him when he needs a big play. Gronk gets a matchup with a team in the Cheifs that struggled against tight ends this season. In fact, they ranked 28th in points allowed to tight ends (per Rotogrinders) this season. Not to mention, Gronk is likely the second option to only Mike Evans in the red zone
Scotty Miller (TB) $6,500 vs. KC
If you’re looking for a true shot in the dark, it’s Scotty Miller. Yes, Antonio Brown should be active and will likely cut into Miller’s snaps, but we’ve seen it time-and-time again in the Super Bowl, sometimes there is that one player that no one saw coming. He will need to score a touchdown to be worth his price, as I don’t think he gets enough volume to be worth it without the TD. These one-game contests are all about finding that one player that no one has, and while I think Miller will still be decently owned, he will be lower owned than Mecole Hardman who I expect to be chalk.
Mike Evans (TB) $11,500 vs. KC
Everyone will be paying up for their MVP spot. There will be a lot of Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hills MVPs — and rightfully so. Evans is the cheapest player I’d be willing to play in the MVP spot and his upside is huge. He is Tom Brady’s go-to in the Red Zone and he has the big-play ability of a GPP winner. The last time they played, Evans had nine targets, but only three catches..but two of them went for touchdowns.
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