DFS Pricing Exploitation: Week 10 (2021 Fantasy Football)

Greetings, friends, and welcome to Week 10 of the DFS Pricing Exploitation series. Every week in this space, we’ll take a look at pricing on DraftKings and FanDuel and identify our favorite quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends based on how we can best take advantage of recent changes to those prices.

Have questions or just want to talk football or DFS? Feel free to reach out on Twitter @mikeMaher with questions or feedback anytime.

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Quarterbacks

FanDuel

Teddy Bridgewater (DEN - QB) vs. PHI, $7,200 (+$100)

Teddy Bridgewater leads the league in completion percentage for quarterbacks who have played at least nine games, and the Philadelphia defense is flirting with NFL records for completion percentage allowed. Eagles defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon has drawn criticism for his soft coverages and bend-but-don't break game plans that have led to big numbers for opposing quarterbacks. Teddy Bridgewater is QB18 in terms of price on FanDuel this week, meaning he is perfectly priced for GPP contests.

DraftKings

P.J. Walker (CAR - QB) vs. ARI, $5,000 ($0)

With the news that Sam Darnold is going to miss time and P.J. Walker will step in as the starter again, Walker immediately becomes intriguing in DFS because of his price. Because of the unknown factor and his difficult matchup, I don't recommend starting Walker in Cash lineups. But he is priced as QB36 on DraftKings, meaning he is essentially free. This is a dart throw, but it's the kind of free square that can win GPP contests because of the money it saves for other positions. For cash lineups, I prefer Dak Prescott on FanDuel and Matthew Stafford on DraftKings in Week 10.

Running Backs

FanDuel

Damien Harris (NE - RB) vs. CLE, $6,300 (-$300)

As of Wednesday, Damien Harris is questionable due to a concussion. He was, however, working out on a separate field, which bodes well for his potential availability. Harris has six touchdowns over his last four games, but his price went down $300 this week for a matchup against the Browns. In Week 9, he scored two touchdowns but rushed for just 30 yards on 15 carries. At RB23 on FanDuel, he is priced as a borderline RB2 despite his consistent workload and nose for the end zone.

UPDATE: Damien Harris has been ruled OUT for Week 10 vs. the Browns.

DraftKings

Darrell Henderson Jr. (LAR - RB) vs. SF, $6,400 (-$500)

Darrell Henderson had a rough day against the Titans in Week 9, and his price has subsequently dropped $500 on DraftKings this week. But he was a Top 5 RB in two of his last three games heading into Week 9 and could see even more work than usual if Matthew Stafford is limited by last week's ankle injury. Henderson is RB13 on DraftKings this week, and I like him hin both Cash and GPP contests.

Wide Receivers

FanDuel

Michael Pittman Jr. (IND - WR) vs. JAC, $7,200 (-$100)

Michael Pittman continues to produce like a Top 10 wide receiver and continues to be a bargain in DFS. To be completely honest, I'm not entirely sure why. I'm just throwing him in multiple lineups every week. This week, he is WR17 on FanDuel despite three consecutive Top 10 finishes. I guess we're starting Pittman in multiple contests again.

DraftKings

Hunter Renfrow (LV - WR) vs. KC, $5,100 (+$300)

In the Raiders' first game with Henry Ruggs, Hunter Renfrow caught seven of his nine targets for 49 yards and a touchdown last week against the Giants. This week, he gets a solid matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs at home. For some reason, he is WR37 on DraftKings. The Raiders are coming off a bad loss to the Giants and are playing their division rival in prime time on Sunday Night Football. I expect them to bounce back on offense, and Renfrow could see double-digit targets.

Tight Ends

FanDuel

Pat Freiermuth (PIT - TE) vs. DET, $5,100 (+$100)

Despite scoring three touchdowns over his last two games, Pat Freiermuth is just $5,100 for Pittsburgh's matchup against the Lions at home this week. He has performed as a TE1 in three consecutive weeks and has received 20 targets in those three games. Despite all of that, he is priced as the TE21 on FanDuel this week.

DraftKings

Noah Fant (DEN - TE) vs. PHI, $4,300 (-$100)

Noah Fant missed last week's game against the Cowboys because he tested positive for COVID-19 and wasn't cleared in time for the game. He was activated on Wednesday, however, and gets a fantastic matchup in Week 10 against the Eagles. Not only do the Eagles have one of the worst defenses in the NFL, but they are 32nd against tight ends. Philadelphia has famously avoided using any resources at the linebacker position, and they are banged up in the secondary heading into this one. And as mentioned above, Denver quarterback Teddy Bridgewater leads the league in completion percentage for quarterbacks who have played at least nine games, and the Philadelphia defense is flirting with NFL records for completion percentage allowed.

Want to keep the conversation going or just have a question? Feel free to reach out on Twitter @mikeMaher with questions or feedback anytime.

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Mike Maher is an editor and featured writer at FantasyPros and BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive, follow him on Twitter @MikeMaher, and visit his Philadelphia Eagles blog, The Birds Blitz.