Last week was frustrating. We actually wrote up three players who didn’t even play, and it’s sad to see the injury bug run rampant through the league. With that said, we got some great performances from the players who did suit up, and I still feel good about the process. I’m going to do a better job of picking players who don’t have injury designations, so let’s go ahead and get started with the quarterbacks!
The players below are ones I’m looking at for GPP considerations for Week 11:
Quarterbacks
DraftKings
Joe Burrow (QB – CIN): $6,800 at PIT
Burrow got off to a slow start this year, but he’s been crushing it over the last month. The AFC champ is averaging 29 DraftKings points per game across his last four outings, the second-highest total in the NFL in that span. That makes him way too cheap south of $7K, and the matchup with Pittsburgh is much better than it sounds. The Steelers own a 16th OPRK against opposing quarterbacks, with Burrow dropping 26 DK points in their one matchup earlier this season.
Last week was frustrating. We actually wrote up three players who didn’t even play, and it’s sad to see the injury bug run rampant through the league. With that said, we got some great performances from the players who did suit up, and I still feel good about the process. I’m going to do a better job of picking players who don’t have injury designations, so let’s go ahead and get started with the quarterbacks!
The players below are ones I’m looking at for GPP considerations for Week 11:
Quarterbacks
DraftKings
Joe Burrow (QB – CIN): $6,800 at PIT
Burrow got off to a slow start this year, but he’s been crushing it over the last month. The AFC champ is averaging 29 DraftKings points per game across his last four outings, the second-highest total in the NFL in that span. That makes him way too cheap south of $7K, and the matchup with Pittsburgh is much better than it sounds. The Steelers own a 16th OPRK against opposing quarterbacks, with Burrow dropping 26 DK points in their one matchup earlier this season.
Daniel Jones (QB – NYG): $5,700 vs. DET
We’ve had Jones in here all season, and he continues to be undervalued. DJ has only had one dud this year, averaging over 17 DraftKings points per game. You can’t ask for any more from a sub-$6K player, especially since he faces a disastrous Detroit defense. The Lions surrender the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, with the Giants project for 25 points in this game.
FanDuel
Justin Fields (QB – CHI): $8,700 vs. CAR
People will be shocked to see Fields priced around Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts, but it makes him an enticing GPP option. Many people will fade Fields with that lofty price tag, but he’s tough to avoid in this spot. The speedster has been the top-scoring quarterback over the last four weeks, averaging 33 FanDuel points per game in that span. That’s a slate-breaking average, and it should continue against a 25th-ranked Panthers defense.
Dak Prescott (QB – DAL): $7,500 at MIN
It’s been a rough year for Dak, but he’s starting to get going. He’s scored 48 combined FD points over the last two games and should get better with CeeDee Lamb and Dalton Schultz starting to get healthy. That hot streak should continue against Minnesota, allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this year.
In Consideration: Marcus Mariota (QB – ATL): DK $5,500/FD $7,200 vs. CHI
Fields isn’t the only mobile quarterback in this game. Mariota is averaging 17 DraftKings points per game and has seen his pass attempts skyrocket over recent weeks.
Running Backs
DraftKings
Kenyan Drake (RB – BAL): $5,900 vs. CAR
This is risky with Gus Edwards expected to return, but Drake has been Baltimore’s best back over the last month. He’s scored at least 16 DraftKings points in three of his last four games, picking up a season-high 24 carries in the Ravens’ most recent outing. This is simply one of the best offenses in the NFL, and Drake should provide value as long as he touches the ball 15 times against Carolina. Not only are the Ravens a massive favorite, but the Panthers own a 27th OPRK against opposing running backs.
Brian Robinson (RB – WAS): $5,300 at HOU
Using running backs against Houston has been a cheat code this season. They’re allowing a league-worst 182 rushing yards per game while surrendering the most fantasy points to opposing backs as well. We love that since Robinson is the top running back in Washington, averaging 13.4 carries per game. We expect that number to be higher here, and B-Rob would be the best value of the day if he gets the 15-20 touches we anticipate.
FanDuel
Saquon Barkley (RB – NYG): $9,700 vs. DET
We had Barkley in here last week, and we’re returning to the well for all the same reasons. This guy is doing everything for this Giants offense, picking up 35 carries for 152 yards in Week 10. That’s why he’s the highest-priced running back on the slate, but that’s going to keep his ownership lower than it should be. The matchup with Detroit is delicious, too, with the Lions allowing the fifth-most FanDuel points to opposing ball carriers.
David Montgomery (RB – CHI): $6,200 at ATL
With Kahlil Herbert going down in Week 10, this is Montgomery’s show in Chicago. He was already playing in 70 percent of the team’s snaps before that injury, but it should flirt with 100 percent with Herbert on IR. That’s great news since Montgomery has at least 14 carries in four of his last five games. Getting 15-20 carries against Atlanta is amazing, with the Falcons ranked 27th in total defense.
In Consideration: Devin Singletary (RB – BUF): DK $5,800/FD $6,400 vs. CLE
Singletary has taken over this Bills backfield, averaging 13 DK points per game across his last seven outings. He should keep that going against a Cleveland team surrendering the second-most fantasy points to opposing backs.
Wide Receivers
DraftKings
Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS): $5,900 at HOU
Scary Terry is much more frightening when Tyler Heinecke is behind center. While we do think Carson Wentz is a better quarterback, McLaurin has a 26 percent target share when Tyler is behind center. That’s on full display when you look at the last three weeks, with Terry picking up at least eight targets in each en route to a 16-point average. A matchup with the Texans is tantalizing, too, ranked 30th in yardage surrendered.
Jarvis Landry (WR – NO): $4,500 vs. LAR
Someone needs to catch some passes in New Orleans. Landry just returned from an injury in Week 10 and led the Saints with six targets. We expect that to be his floor from here on out, flirting with double-digit targets throughout his career. They need this guy to step into the Michael Thomas role, and we have to assume he’ll be $1,000 more in about a month as long as this role continues. Facing the Rams is not as concerning as it sounds, owning a 24th OPRK against opposing receivers.
FanDuel
Tyler Boyd (WR – CIN): $6,800 at PIT
With Ja’Maar Chase sidelined, Boyd should be one of the primary targets for Joe Burrow. A boost in target share for one of the best passing attacks in the NFL is already a massive variable. Still, it looks even better considering Boyd’s recent form, averaging 14.4 FanDuel points per game across his last three outings. That should resume against Pittsburgh, allowing the third-most fantasy points to opposing receivers.
Allen Robinson (WR – LAR): $6,600 at NOS
Nothing in the stat sheet will tell you to use A-Rob. We’re willing to take the risk because Cooper Kupp (ankle) is sidelined for the foreseeable future. That’s 31 percent of the team’s targets out of the lineup, and we have to assume Robinson will be the top target in his absence. He’s been that guy in the past, and we expect Matthew Stafford to lean on him as long as Kupp remains out. New Orleans is not a scary matchup either, ranked 26th in points allowed.
In Consideration: Darnell Mooney (WR – CHI): DK $5,400/FD $6,000 vs. ATL
Mooney is averaging 4.6 catches and 62.4 yards over his last seven games while leading Chicago in targets and snaps. That’s awesome since Atlanta is allowing the most fantasy points to opposing receivers.
Tight Ends
DraftKings
Dalton Schultz (TE – DAL): $4,300 at MIN
It’s hard to understand why Schultz remains so cheap. This was a Top-5 tight end in season-long leagues for a reason, and his price is only low because of the Dak Prescott injury. Now that Dak is fully healthy, Schultz is back to being that guy, picking up at least five catches in three straight games. He’s also coming off a season-high 17.4 DraftKings points and should never be this cheap as the second receiving option in this offense. We also don’t mind that Minnesota owns a 22nd OPRK against opposing tight ends.
FanDuel
Pat Freiermuth (TE – PIT): $5,400 vs. CIN
What if I told you that Patty is seventh among all tight ends in targets, despite playing one fewer game than everyone else in front of him? That’s why Freiermuth is an intriguing option, scoring at least 10 FanDuel points in four of eight games this year. The Steelers will need him to record another one of those here, facing a Cincy team that ranks 23rd in yardage allowed. In their one meeting earlier this season, Patty picked up five catches for 75 yards on a season-high 10 targets.
In Consideration: Kyle Pitts (TE – ATL): DK $4,400/FD $5,500 vs. CHI
Pitts has been pitiful, but this kid has too much talent to remain this cheap. If you want to ride Mariota, stack him with Pitts to make a contrarian QB-TE duo.
Defense/Special Teams
DraftKings
New England Patriots D/ST: $3,700 vs. NYJ
The Patriots playing host to the Jets after a BYE week just sounds like a successful proposition. This team is already leading all D/STs with 11.3 DK points per game, and they’re not being priced like it. That’s big news against a 19th-ranked Jets offense, especially since they enter this matchup as a 3.5-point favorite in a game with a 38-point total. All of that has NY projected for just 17 points.
FanDuel
Cincinnati Bengals D/ST: $4,200 at PIT
The Steelers have one of the worst offenses in the NFL. They rank 28th in total yardage and 31st in points scored. That certainly won’t go over well against the Steelers, allowing 18 points or fewer in three of their last four games. We also have Cincy coming off a BYE week, entering this matchup as a 4.5-point favorite in a game with a 41-point total.
In Consideration: Washington Commanders D/ST: DK $3,100/FD $4,000 vs. HOU
The Commanders limited the Eagles on Monday Night, and their elite defensive line should do work against one of the worst offenses in the NFL.
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio
Beyond our daily fantasy football content, be sure to check out our Daily Fantasy Football Tools. From our Value Plays – which allows you to identify players who are projected to outperform their salaries – to our DFS Cheat Sheets – that helps you get a quick read on the day’s players – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Joel, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.
