Fantasy Football Draft Advice & Outlook: Aaron Jones (2023)

Drafters were expecting Aaron Jones to lead the Green Bay Packers in receptions and receiving yards in the post-Davante Adams lineup, which did not come to fruition. Although his 59 catches did rank second on the team behind only Allen Lazard, Jones caught fewer passes than the year before. His catches per game (3.5) were identical to the year before. He saw a career-high in targets (72), but that was based on his 17 games played. His 4.3 targets per game were also identical to the year before. And Jones was the epitome of a boom-or-bust running back that his fantasy managers are too familiar with that isn’t super obvious based on his RB9 finish and RB12 status in points per game.

A.J. Dillon got more involved in the second half of the season, especially in the red zone. From Week 9 onward, Dillon out-carried Jones inside the 10-yard line 14 to five. And they scored the same amount of points total from Week 11 through Week 17, with Dillion scoring six rushing TDs. If Dillon’s goal-line role carries over from the tail-end of the 2022 season, that significantly could hinder Jones’ fantasy upside, even after a year that saw the 28-year-old finish second in PFF rushing grade. Dillon finished fifth in PFF rushing grade last season and will hit free agency at the end of the 2023 season.