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Fantasy Football NFL Week 15 Injury Report & Outlook (2023)

Fantasy Football NFL Week 15 Injury Report & Outlook (2023)

Fantasy playoff season is here, which means the injuries matter more than ever. As always, maintain your advantage at sportsmedanalytics.com and hit us up on Twitter/X @SportMDAnalysis and @FantasyPros with any lingering questions.

Week 15 Fantasy Football Injury Report

Tyreek Hill

TBD. Data heavily favors sitting. We suspect he will push to play, as Hill has historically been aggressive about playing through injury. However, given the playoffs right around the corner and the Dolphins conservative management of Achane’s earlier injury, we’d lean towards Hill sitting to avoid the high re-injury risk.

Justin Jefferson

Playing. WRs with chest contusions do see mild dips in their stats, but every indication suggests that Jefferson would still be a WR1.

De’Von Achane

TBD. Lean towards sitting. Data projects a 60% chance of missing the game, and their management of his prior injury also implies a slow return as the most likely outcome here.

Chris Olave

TBD. Data favors sitting. Most low ankles don’t cause missed time, but young WRs who don’t practice all week rarely play. On the plus side, this doesn’t project to be a multi-week absence even if he misses Week 15.

Nico Collins

Very likely out. Data slightly favors missing Week 16 also. Average timeline on these = 2-4 weeks, and early return comes with a very high re-injury risk (see Joe Burrow for reference).

DJ Moore

Data projects a 70% chance he plays. Low ankles typically don’t cause stats dips, especially when players have logged a full practice leading up to the game (which Moore has). They do, however, come with an elevated re-injury risk.

Jonathan Taylor

Avoiding IR suggests Week 16 has been his target return date. Week 17 would be the average return timeline, so he’s likely getting close either way.

Travis Etienne

Likely playing. RB data favors maintained efficiency but decreased workload. With his backup also nicked up, Etienne is slightly more likely to see his full workload.

Aaron Jones

TBD. Data projects 60% chance to play. Older RBs would typically see mild workload limitations but maintained efficiency. BUT…

AJ Dillon

TBD. Would be heavy outlier to play 1 week after breaking thumb. Lean towards sitting, which would leave more work for Aaron Jones.

CJ Stroud

Data heavily favors missing Week 15 and returning Week 16 at full strength.

Geno Smith

Data projects 70% chance to play. We’re not expecting any per-touch efficiency impact, but do anticipate a re-injury risk as high as 20%.

Christian Watson

Sitting Week 15. Suspect he tries for a Week 16 return, but given his history of having a prior in-season hamstring plus several hamstrings in previous years, he will carry a very high re-injury risk.

Isiah Pacheco

Comments suggest a Week 16 return. It’s rare, though possible, to have a piece of tissue or implant from his prior surgery pop loose. The description of his most recent procedure suggest the surgeon went in to the shoulder arthroscopically (through small incisions), removed the loose piece(s), and that’s it.

Darren Waller

Lean towards playing. If active, data favors major workload limitations (~50%). High re-injury risk for rest of season.

Marquise Brown

Data projects 60% chance of playing. If active, expect low efficiency impact but high re-injury risk.

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