After a fun Saturday slate, we have another packed Sunday card. Every team has played each of the last four days, which will undoubtedly lead to some players being rested on the final day of the week. That’s a common occurrence on Sundays, but we expect more odd lineups than ever before.
With that in mind, let’s dive into this Sunday slate! Here are our top MLB DFS picks and player prop bet predictions for Sunday’s slate of baseball games.
After a fun Saturday slate, we have another packed Sunday card. Every team has played each of the last four days, which will undoubtedly lead to some players being rested on the final day of the week. That’s a common occurrence on Sundays, but we expect more odd lineups than ever before.
With that in mind, let’s dive into this Sunday slate! Here are our top MLB DFS picks and player prop bet predictions for Sunday’s slate of baseball games.
Sunday’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Sunday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
MLB DFS Picks & Player Prop Bets: Sunday (7/7) | FantasyPros
| PLAYER |
DK SALARY |
FD SALARY |
VALUE |
RISK |
| Tarik Skubal (DET) at CIN |
$10,500 |
$10,700 |
Low |
Low |
| Jonathan Cannon (CWS) at MIA |
$6,700 |
$8,100 |
High |
High |
| Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) at OAK |
$9,800 |
$10,800 |
Low |
Low |
| Dylan Cease (SD) vs. ARI |
$10,000 |
$9,900 |
Medium |
High |
Tarik Skubal (DET) at CIN
It can be scary to use pitchers in Cincinnati, but we could use Skubal anywhere. This lefty is one of the frontrunners for AL Cy Young, collecting a 2.45 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and 10.4 K/9 rate. He also hasn’t allowed more than four runs in any start and shouldn’t have any issues against this subpar offense. The Reds rank 22nd in wOBA and 25th in K rate.
Jonathan Cannon (CWS) at MIA
Cannon is a risky option, but we’d use any option against Miami right now. The Marlins rank 29th in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA. Those statistics make Cannon an intriguing option when looking at his form, which includes a 3.20 ERA and 1.07 WHIP across his last five starts. That’s all you can ask for from such a cheap player, especially in a matchup like this!
Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) at OAK
G-Rod got off to a slow start this season, but he’s rolling right now. The righty has scored at least 32 FD points in nine of his last 10 starts, providing a 2.98 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and 9.4 K/9 rate in that stretch. That’s hard to overlook against a team like Oakland, with the A’s ranked bottom three in runs scored and K rate.
Dylan Cease (SD) vs. ARI
Cease has been horrid the last few weeks, but we’re willing to take a risk on him at this diminished price. Before this terrible four-start stretch, Cease had a 3.36 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 11.0 K/9 rate through his first 14 starts. Those numbers made him a stud in the past, and we’re willing to bet that he returns to that in a home start against Arizona. The D’Backs rank 23rd in xwOBACON, projected to score just 3.5 runs here. The last time they played, Cease had 51 fantasy points!
MLB DFS Picks: Suggested Lineup Stacks
We would use any offense against Keuchel, but he could be in for a rough showing against the Dodgers. This is a Top 5 offense in every metric, and they’re projected to score six runs here. That’s no surprise since Keuchel has a 7.86 ERA and 1.89 WHIP over the last three years.
Arrighetti can be good at times, but his season-long numbers tell a different story. The Astros pitcher is one or two bad starts away from being sent down, amassing a 6.13 ERA and 1.65 WHIP. Minnesota can be an inconsistent offense, but they rank third in runs scored over the last month!
MLB DFS Picks: Core Studs
- It’s rare to have a lefty facing a lefty as our top recommendation, but this is Shohei facing Keuchel. The Brewers veteran might be the worst pitcher in baseball right now, while Ohtani is one of the best bats. He had 27 homers and 16 steals behind a .401 OBP and 1.043 OPS and is one of the few lefties who doesn’t struggle with southpaws.
- Manny started slowly, but he’s finally returning to the star we all know and love. The third baseman has six homers and 16 RBI across his last 14 games, generating a .400 OBP and 1.132 OPS in that span. That’s scary for a struggling pitcher like Ryne Nelson, registering a 5.42 ERA and 1.56 WHIP.
- Greene doesn’t get much credit because he plays in Detroit, but this guy has quietly developed into one of the best outfielders in baseball. The Motor City Kitties three-hole hitter has a .851 OPS but has been even better recently. He has a .383 OBP and .975 OPS across his last 35 games while posting a .921 OPS against righties on the season. We love that in a hitter-friendly environment like Cincy, especially against Graham Ashcraft‘s 5.45 ERA and 1.47 WHIP.
- Correa is the hottest shortstop in baseball, posting the best numbers of his career over the last month. In fact, Correa has compiled a .462 OBP and 1.112 OPS across his last 26 games. That means he needs to be the first piece of a Minnesota stack against one of the worst pitchers on this slate.
MLB DFS Picks: Value Plays/Punts
- Smith always bats in the heart of the Dodgers lineup, and he’s one of the most dangerous options out there when they face a lefty. The All-Star catcher has a .433 OBP and 1.118 OPS, with the platoon advantage in his favor. He’s always discounted because he plays catcher, but that’s a silly notion, especially in a matchup like this. Not to mention, he’s got a .550 OBP and 1.668 OPS over his last four fixtures!
- O’Hearn always bats between third and fifth whenever the O’s face a right-hander, and there are not many better lineup spots in baseball right now. The outfielder has a .889 OPS across his last 14 games while accruing a .357 OBP and .852 OPS against righties. We don’t expect Oakland to slow down the best offense in baseball, ranked near the bottom of every pitching statistic.
- Hayes is a much better fielder than a bat, but he consistently slaughters southpaws whenever Pittsburgh faces one. In 69 at-bats against them this season, Hayes has a .435 OBP and 1.021 OPS. Those are some sensational splits, and they look even better since Sean Manaea has a 4.50 ERA across his last six starts.
- Picking a second piece of the Twins stack was tricky, but Buxton has been bashing baseball recently. The Gold Glove nominee has a .408 OBP and 1.143 OPS across his last 19 outings. We’ve seen this guy play like that for months at a time, and we need to hop on the train when it’s chugging like this.
Sunday’s Top 3 Underdog Fantasy and PrizePicks Player Props
DJ Herz: 14.5 Outs Recorded – Higher
Herz is coming off the best start of his career, striking out 10 batters across 5.2 one-run innings. All you need is Herz to complete five innings to clear this total, and it’s much easier against a 24th-ranked Cardinals lineup.
This feels like a game where Keuchel will struggle through every inning, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see him pulled early. LA has one of the best offenses, and they should get to Keuchel early and often.
Byron Buxton: 0.5 Total Bases – Higher (x0.8)
Bux has a hit in 19 of his last 23 games and should not have such a low prop with how hot he is right now, especially in this matchup.
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Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.
