NBA DFS Picks & Lineup Advice: Wednesday (3/26)

Tonight’s six-game NBA DFS slate promises a night of intense competition. Every matchup boasts a spread within a razor-thin 4.5 points, signaling the potential for closely contested battles and extended minutes for key players. This eliminates the worry of potential blowouts, allowing you to focus on maximizing fantasy production from players who should see consistent playing time.

This primer breaks down the key matchups, highlights the top plays at each position and uncovers value plays that can help you afford the stars. Let’s dive in and analyze the players that will give you an edge on tonight’s slate.

View the best player prop bets for tonight’s slate with our NBA Prop Bet Cheat Sheet

NBA DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Primer

NBA DFS Core Plays

Luka Doncic (PG – LAL)

DraftKings: $12,000
FanDuel: $11,600

Luka Doncic continues to deliver elite production, scoring at least 30 points in five of his last six games while averaging 8.6 rebounds and 8.4 assists during that stretch. His ability to stuff the stat sheet makes him a top-tier option on any slate, and he’s in an especially favorable spot against the Indiana Pacers, who have been playing at the fastest pace in the league over their past five contests.

The increased tempo should create additional opportunities for Doncic to rack up points, rebounds and assists in what projects to be a high-scoring matchup.

Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF, C – MIL)

DraftKings: $11,500
FanDuel: $12,000

Giannis Antetokounmpo has taken on an even heavier workload in Damian Lillard’s absence, averaging 31.5 points, 13.5 rebounds and four assists over the last two games while posting a massive 35% usage rate. However, he is questionable for tonight’s matchup, making his status a key factor for DFS players. If he suits up, his high-volume role makes him an elite option, but if he’s ruled out, a major void will need to be filled in Milwaukee’s offense.

Should Antetokounmpo sit, Kyle Kuzma is expected to take on a larger role, as he holds the next highest usage rate (22.4%) on the team over the past two games. In that scenario, fantasy players should strongly consider Kuzma as a mid-range play with increased scoring and playmaking opportunities. Keeping a close eye on the injury report will be crucial, as Antetokounmpo’s availability will dictate lineup construction and potential value plays.

NBA DFS Cash Game Targets

Kevin Durant (SF, PF – PHO)

DraftKings: $9,300
FanDuel: $9,700

With Bradley Beal sidelined once again, Kevin Durant becomes an even more enticing option. He has been on an absolute tear, averaging 40 points, seven rebounds, 6.5 assists and two blocks per game in his last two contests. His 37% usage rate during that span underscores how much the offense runs through him. That trend should continue against the Boston Celtics.

While the Celtics are one of the league’s top defensive teams, Durant’s scoring versatility, size and ability to create his own shot make him virtually matchup-proof.

Quentin Grimes (PG, SG – PHI)

DraftKings: $9,100
FanDuel: $8,700

Quentin Grimes has been on fire in March, stuffing the stat sheet with 28 points, 4.9 rebounds, 5.2 assists and 2.1 steals per game. With the offense flowing through him, he continues to see a high volume of opportunities, making him a strong play. His consistent production across multiple categories gives him both a high floor and strong upside, especially against a favorable opponent.

The Washington Wizards’ uptempo style, ranking second in pace over their last five games, sets up an ideal game environment for Grimes. More possessions mean increased chances for scoring, rebounding and playmaking, all of which fit his current role perfectly. Given Washington’s defensive struggles this season, Grimes should have little trouble capitalizing on this fast-paced matchup.

Payton Pritchard (PG, SG – BOS)

DraftKings: $6,100
FanDuel: $5,700

With Jayson Tatum doubtful due to an ankle injury, Payton Pritchard becomes an intriguing option. In the six games Tatum has missed this season, Pritchard has stepped up, averaging 19 points, 4.5 rebounds and 4.2 assists in 31.5 minutes per game. While he’ll likely continue coming off the bench, his ability to provide instant offense and facilitate makes him a strong play, especially given his increased role when Boston is shorthanded.

NBA DFS GPP Targets

Kristaps Porzingis (PF, C – BOS)

DraftKings: $8,400
FanDuel: $8,100

With Jayson Tatum doubtful and Jaylen Brown playing through a knee issue, Kristaps Porzingis could be in line for an expanded role on offense. In the four games he has played without Tatum this season, Porzingis has stepped up, averaging 21.8 points, 8.5 rebounds and 1.8 assists. His ability to stretch the floor and operate in the post makes him a focal point when the Boston Celtics are missing key scorers. That trend should continue against the Phoenix Suns.

The Suns have struggled to contain opposing bigs, allowing the seventh-most fantasy points to centers over their past seven games. Porzingis’ versatility as both a three-point shooter and interior presence makes him a matchup problem, especially against a defense that has been vulnerable in the paint.

Alex Sarr (C – WAS)

DraftKings: $6,300
FanDuel: $6,600

Alex Sarr has been on an impressive run over his last seven games, averaging 19.7 points, 6.3 rebounds, 2.6 assists and 1.7 blocks while leading his team with a 29.2% usage rate. His ability to contribute across multiple categories makes him a strong option, especially given his expanded offensive role. With the ball in his hands frequently, Sarr has been showcasing his scoring touch and defensive impact, making him a high-upside play in any format.

The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers only adds to his appeal, as they have ranked dead last in defensive efficiency over their past five games. Their struggles on that end should create plenty of opportunities for Sarr to exploit mismatches and continue his productive stretch.

D’Angelo Russell (PG, SG – BKN)

DraftKings: $5,800
FanDuel: $6,500

D’Angelo Russell returns to the court after missing two games due to an ankle injury. While there’s always some inherent risk in rostering a player coming off an absence, he showed great form in his last two games before the injury.

During that stretch, Russell averaged 20 points, three rebounds and 6.5 assists, demonstrating his ability to contribute in a variety of ways. With the Brooklyn Nets lacking consistent scoring options, he will be leaned upon to fill that void and provide offensive stability.

The Toronto Raptors have been playing at the sixth-fastest pace over their past five games, which works in Russell’s favor. An uptempo game should result in more possessions and opportunities for him to rack up points and assists.

NBA DFS Value Plays

Kevin Porter Jr. (PG – MIL)

DraftKings: $4,600
FanDuel: $4,700

Kevin Porter Jr. has stepped into a more prominent role in Damian Lillard’s absence, averaging 24.8 minutes over the past two contests. During that span, he has contributed across multiple categories, posting 11.5 points, 3.5 rebounds, 4.5 assists and 1.5 steals per game. With Lillard sidelined indefinitely, Porter should continue seeing upwards of 20 minutes, giving him ample opportunities to make an impact on both ends of the floor.

He’s facing the Denver Nuggets, who present a favorable matchup, as they rank 23rd in defensive rating over their past five games. Porter’s ability to create for himself and others makes him a viable option, especially given his price point and recent level of production.

Jonathan Mogbo (PF, C – TOR)

DraftKings: $4,200
FanDuel: $4,900

With Jakob Poeltl and Chris Boucher ruled out for tonight’s game against the Brooklyn Nets, the Toronto Raptors are left thin in the frontcourt, which should pave the way for Jonathan Mogbo to play a more significant role. Already averaging 25.4 minutes per game, Mogbo could see even more minutes tonight, potentially surpassing the 30-minute mark due to the team’s lack of depth.

Mogbo’s numbers over his last two games have been solid, averaging seven points, 10.5 rebounds, three assists and 1.5 steals. While he’s not typically a high scorer, his ability to impact the game in other areas makes him a viable option, particularly at a budget-friendly price. With the potential to secure a double-double thanks to his extended minutes and opportunity, Mogbo could provide strong value, especially for those looking to differentiate their lineups with a lower-rostered player.

Ja’Kobe Walter (SG, SF – TOR)

DraftKings: $3,700
FanDuel: $4,100

With Immanuel Quickley and Gradey Dick ruled out for tonight’s contest against the Brooklyn Nets, Ja’Kobe Walter is set to see an expanded role, likely resulting in more playing time. In his first game back from injury on Sunday, Walter made an immediate impact, logging 24 minutes and posting 10 points, three rebounds and four assists. His all-around game and ability to contribute in multiple areas should make him a solid option for lineups, especially with the increased opportunity due to the absences of Quickley and Dick.