3 Quarterbacks Experts Do Not Draft (Fantasy Football)

When preparing for your fantasy football drafts, knowing which players to target and others to avoid is important. The amount of information available can be overwhelming, so a great way to condense the data and determine players to draft and others to leave for your leaguemates is to use our expert consensus fantasy football rankings compared to fantasy football average draft position (ADP). In this way, you can identify players the experts are willing to reach for at ADP and others they are not drafting until much later than average. Let’s dive into a few notable fantasy football players below. And you can check out which players our experts are lower on than our expert consensus rankings using our Fantasy Football Rankings Comparison Tools.

Fantasy Football Draft Advice: Quarterbacks to Avoid

Let’s dive into players our experts like less than the expert consensus rankings.

Players to Avoid

Kyler Murray (QB – ARI)

Remaining healthy all year and completing his first full season since 2020, Kyler Murray finished QB10 overall and QB12 in fantasy points per game (18.1) among quarterback who made multiple starts. It was a bumpy ride to get there, as Murray topped 25 fantasy points four times (three times if you exclude his big game in Week 18) and finished with 12 or fewer fantasy points five times. That’s Murray in a nutshell. He can be wildly inconsistent from game to game – or even from half to half – but his rushing ability makes for a high ceiling. Murray ran for 572 yards and five touchdowns last season. Murray profiles as a boom/bust low-end QB1.
– Pat Fitzmaurice

Jared Goff (QB – DET)

Jared Goff hit career highs in passing yardage (4,629) and TD passes (37) despite a three-year low in pass attempts (539). Goff was ruthlessly efficient, completing 72.4% of his throws and averaging 8.6 yards per attempt – second-best in the league among qualifying QBs in both categories. That helped Goff finish QB6 in overall fantasy scoring and QB7 in fantasy points per game (19.7). But regression could be coming for Goff. He dramatically outkicked his expected fantasy points per game (16.8), and the departure of offensive coordinator Ben Johnson could put a dent in Detroit’s offensive production. It’s best to think of Goff as a midrange QB2 rather than the midrange QB1 he was in 2024.
– Pat Fitzmaurice

Tua Tagovailoa (QB – MIA)

After throwing for a league-high 4,624 yards in 2023, Tua Tagovailoa played only 11 games in 2024, missing four games with a concussion early in the season and then sitting out the final two games of the season with a hip injury. Concussions are an ongoing concern for Tua, who sustained a pair of them in 2022 and played only 13 games that year. When healthy, Tua is a capable pocket passer who offers no rushing upside. He completed a league-best 72.9% of his throws last season, though he averaged only 5.7 intended air yards per pass attempt. He’s averaged a very respectable 7.6 yards per pass attempt over his career. The Miami offensive line could be problematic in 2025, but Tua has a fine pair of receivers in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, along with TE Jonnu Smith and RB De’Von Achane. Regard Tua as a risky QB2.
– Pat Fitzmaurice